Bowls/CFP Projections

ChiefGritty · 2026-11-09T10:26:48-0600

Illini2010-11 said:
The problem is that Oregon would also be 9-3. We would have the head to head win, but Oregon would likely look better to the committee. That Purdue loss would really hurt us there.

Hard to see the committee taking two 9-3 teams from the B1G. Oregon winning out is not good for Illinois.

I think we would deserve that slot over Oregon with the head-to-head win.

The problem is we probably wouldn't deserve it over a BYU or Wake Forest.

We are way, way out on the limb of hypothetical here though. The CFP and the Frisco Football Classic is quite a range of postseason projections.

Illini2010-11 · 2026-11-09T10:32:08-0600

ChiefGritty said:
I think we would deserve that slot over Oregon with the head-to-head win.

The problem is we probably wouldn't deserve it over a BYU or Wake Forest.

We are way, way out on the limb of hypothetical here though. The CFP and the Frisco Football Classic is quite a range of postseason projections.

Agree 100% here. If Illini pull off major upset Friday night, the calculus changes substantially.

FWIW, I think that Oregon loses one of their next 3 games.

Illinois simply needs to take care of their own business. Get to 9-3, and Citrus Bowl or ReliaQuest being the floor would be incredible for the season. 7-5 would also be a very good season too.

ChiefGritty · 2026-11-09T10:36:11-0600

Illini2010-11 said:
Agree 100% here. If Illini pull off major upset Friday night, the calculus changes substantially.

FWIW, I think that Oregon loses one of their next 3 games.

Illinois simply needs to take care of their own business. Get to 9-3, and Citrus Bowl or ReliaQuest being the floor would be incredible for the season. 7-5 would also be a very good season too.

Now that we have our bowl eligibility, my next request is spoiling the Mildcats party in their white elephant European soccer stadium.