BananaShampoo
Captain 'Paign
- Phoenix, AZ
Have to remember how weak the bubble has been in the last 4-5 years. We already have 4 (5 if Winthrop keeps winning) top 100 wins and 4 of those teams could finish the year in the top 50. Our worst loss is against RPI 104, and because of how strong the bottom of the big ten is this year (Rutgers could still finish in the top 100 RPI) we don't have another opportunity at a really bad loss. In other words, we have already played 7-8 top 100 teams, and could end the year with 23-26 games against the top 100. Even if we finish 9-9 in conference that's probably 12-13 top 100 wins,and 8-9 vs the top 50. Add in our very strong NonCon SOS, overall SOS and a top 50 RPI...I still think we can make the tourney with just 20 wins total.
Good points. Luckily our B1G schedule favors us, also. The committee does use Last 10 Games as a factor in their determinations. It just so happens our last 10 games (minus the BTT potentially) happen to be the softest part of our schedule.