Yikes. If we were to make it to the sweet 16, UConn then Duke?
Lol... so you're saying there's a chance?
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Lol... so you're saying there's a chance?
TY motherFng RODGERS, break glass. See the Hulk come stepping out of ashes!
Bringing Godzilla energy to Tokyo! He's paid, Play the man.i'd crawl through glass for that be our 1/2 seed matchups compared to other options
Homecoming 2019
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UConn is the worst 2 seed, so this isn't actually that bad a scenario. Though I'd prefer to avoid Duke if we want to hold dreams of a F4
The point is that it will be an AWAY GAME if we fall in their bracket - which absolutely makes it a no thanks scenario.
Last Metrics Bracket update!
Auto bids:
ACC - Duke (1)
B1G - Michigan (2)
B12 - Arizona (3)
WCC - Gonzaga (6)
BE - St. John's (15)
SEC -Arkansas (17)
MW - Utah State (26)
A10 - VCU (43)
American - South Florida (45)
MAC - Akron (54)
SLnd - McNeese (56)
MVC - Northern Iowa (72)
BSth - High Point (76)
CAA - Hofstra (88)
WAC - Cal Baptist (98)
BW - Hawaii (101)
Summit - North Dakota State (114)
SB - Troy (125)
Horz - Wright St. (127)
BSky - Idaho (144)
Ivy - Penn (148)
CUSA - Kennesaw State (155)
OVC - Tennessee State (172)
MAAC - Siena (183)
SoCon - Furman (186)
ASun - Queens (189)
AEast - UMBC (196)
NEC - LIU (198)
MEAC - Howard (203)
Pat - Lehigh (275)
SWAC - Prairie View (300)
At large selections, based on average results rating:
1. Florida
2. Houston
3. UConn
4. Virginia
5. Purdue
6. Michigan State
7. Iowa State
8. Nebraska
9. Alabama
10. Arkansas
11. Kansas
12. Illinois
13. Texas Tech
14. North Carolina
15. Wisconsin
16. BYU
17. Tennessee
18. Louisville
19. Saint Mary's
20. Villanova
21. Miami FL
22. Kentucky
23. Clemson
24. UCLA
25. Georgia
26. UCF
27. Saint Louis
28. TCU
29. Ohio State
30. Miami OH
31. Santa Clara
32. NC State
33. Iowa
34. Texas A&M
35. Missouri
36. Auburn
37. SMU
Just missed:
38. San Diego State
39. Oklahoma State
40. Seton Hall
41. Texas
42. Belmont
43. Dayton
44. Virginia Tech
45. New Mexico
46. Oklahoma
47. Stanford
48. Indiana
I'm not convinced Auburn will get a spot, but their metrics suggest they are right on the edge of the bubble. If South Florida loses I think they sneak in at the end of the bubble. Otherwise I totally see San Diego State in the field.
Seeding is based on average efficiency ratings from NET, KP, BT and BPI (based on efficiency average, auto bids in bold):
1 (1). Duke
1 (1). Michigan
3 (1). Arizona
4 (1). Florida
5 (2). Houston
6 (2). Iowa State
7 (2). Illinois
8 (2). Purdue
9 (3). Gonzaga
10 (3). UConn
11 (3). Michigan State
12 (3). Vanderbilt
13 (4). Virginia
14 (4). St. John's
15 (4). Louisville
16 (4). Tennessee
17 (5). Nebraska
18 (5). Alabama
19 (5). Arkansas
20 (5). Texas Tech
21 (6). Kansas
22 (6). Wisconsin
23 (6). Saint Mary's
24 (6). BYU
25 (7). Ohio State
26 (7). UCLA
27 (7). Iowa
28 (7). North Carolina
29 (8). Kentucky
30 (8). Utah State
31 (8). Clemson
32 (8). Georgia
33 (9). Miami FL
34 (9). Villanova
35 (9). NC State
36 (9). Auburn
37 (10). Saint Louis
38 (10). Santa Clara
39 (10). Texas A&M
40 (10). SMU
41 (11*). TCU
42 (11). VCU
43 (11). South Florida
44 (11*). Missouri
45 (11*). UCF
46 (11*). Miami OH
47 (12). McNeese
48 (12). Akron
49 (12). Northern Iowa
50 (12). High Point
51 (13). Hofstra
52 (13). Cal Baptist
53 (13). Hawaii
54 (13). North Dakota State
55 (14). Troy
56 (14). Wright State
57 (14). Idaho
58 (14). Penn
59 (15). Kennesaw State
60 (15). Tennessee State
61 (15). Siena
62 (15). Furman
63 (16). Queens
64 (16). UMBC
65 (16). LIU
66 (16*). Howard
67 (16*). Lehigh
68 (16*). Prairie View
Good efficiency, didn't have the results: Indiana, Texas, Cincinnati, Oklahoma, Baylor, San Diego State, New Mexico, Washington, Seton Hall
I don't like it, but it looks like Auburn has the metrics despite being 17-16. On both results and efficiency, which is unbelievably annoying. If not them, I think San Diego State is the closest on both sides to get them in. Past that, maybe Texas, but Auburn beat Texas in conference, so if the profiles are close enough for consideration, that has to come into play as well.
Auto bids:
ACC - Duke (1)
B1G - Michigan (2)
B12 - Arizona (3)
WCC - Gonzaga (6)
BE - St. John's (15)
SEC -Arkansas (17)
MW - Utah State (26)
A10 - VCU (43)
American - South Florida (45)
MAC - Akron (54)
SLnd - McNeese (56)
MVC - Northern Iowa (72)
BSth - High Point (76)
CAA - Hofstra (88)
WAC - Cal Baptist (98)
BW - Hawaii (101)
Summit - North Dakota State (114)
SB - Troy (125)
Horz - Wright St. (127)
BSky - Idaho (144)
Ivy - Penn (148)
CUSA - Kennesaw State (155)
OVC - Tennessee State (172)
MAAC - Siena (183)
SoCon - Furman (186)
ASun - Queens (189)
AEast - UMBC (196)
NEC - LIU (198)
MEAC - Howard (203)
Pat - Lehigh (275)
SWAC - Prairie View (300)
At large selections, based on average results rating:
1. Florida
2. Houston
3. UConn
4. Virginia
5. Purdue
6. Michigan State
7. Iowa State
8. Nebraska
9. Alabama
10. Arkansas
11. Kansas
12. Illinois
13. Texas Tech
14. North Carolina
15. Wisconsin
16. BYU
17. Tennessee
18. Louisville
19. Saint Mary's
20. Villanova
21. Miami FL
22. Kentucky
23. Clemson
24. UCLA
25. Georgia
26. UCF
27. Saint Louis
28. TCU
29. Ohio State
30. Miami OH
31. Santa Clara
32. NC State
33. Iowa
34. Texas A&M
35. Missouri
36. Auburn
37. SMU
Just missed:
38. San Diego State
39. Oklahoma State
40. Seton Hall
41. Texas
42. Belmont
43. Dayton
44. Virginia Tech
45. New Mexico
46. Oklahoma
47. Stanford
48. Indiana
I'm not convinced Auburn will get a spot, but their metrics suggest they are right on the edge of the bubble. If South Florida loses I think they sneak in at the end of the bubble. Otherwise I totally see San Diego State in the field.
Seeding is based on average efficiency ratings from NET, KP, BT and BPI (based on efficiency average, auto bids in bold):
1 (1). Duke
1 (1). Michigan
3 (1). Arizona
4 (1). Florida
5 (2). Houston
6 (2). Iowa State
7 (2). Illinois
8 (2). Purdue
9 (3). Gonzaga
10 (3). UConn
11 (3). Michigan State
12 (3). Vanderbilt
13 (4). Virginia
14 (4). St. John's
15 (4). Louisville
16 (4). Tennessee
17 (5). Nebraska
18 (5). Alabama
19 (5). Arkansas
20 (5). Texas Tech
21 (6). Kansas
22 (6). Wisconsin
23 (6). Saint Mary's
24 (6). BYU
25 (7). Ohio State
26 (7). UCLA
27 (7). Iowa
28 (7). North Carolina
29 (8). Kentucky
30 (8). Utah State
31 (8). Clemson
32 (8). Georgia
33 (9). Miami FL
34 (9). Villanova
35 (9). NC State
36 (9). Auburn
37 (10). Saint Louis
38 (10). Santa Clara
39 (10). Texas A&M
40 (10). SMU
41 (11*). TCU
42 (11). VCU
43 (11). South Florida
44 (11*). Missouri
45 (11*). UCF
46 (11*). Miami OH
47 (12). McNeese
48 (12). Akron
49 (12). Northern Iowa
50 (12). High Point
51 (13). Hofstra
52 (13). Cal Baptist
53 (13). Hawaii
54 (13). North Dakota State
55 (14). Troy
56 (14). Wright State
57 (14). Idaho
58 (14). Penn
59 (15). Kennesaw State
60 (15). Tennessee State
61 (15). Siena
62 (15). Furman
63 (16). Queens
64 (16). UMBC
65 (16). LIU
66 (16*). Howard
67 (16*). Lehigh
68 (16*). Prairie View
Good efficiency, didn't have the results: Indiana, Texas, Cincinnati, Oklahoma, Baylor, San Diego State, New Mexico, Washington, Seton Hall
I don't like it, but it looks like Auburn has the metrics despite being 17-16. On both results and efficiency, which is unbelievably annoying. If not them, I think San Diego State is the closest on both sides to get them in. Past that, maybe Texas, but Auburn beat Texas in conference, so if the profiles are close enough for consideration, that has to come into play as well.
You can say the same thing about all the other 2 seeds though. I personally think Iowa State's defense would be a much bigger issue for us than Houston's.
I could be wrong but I think it means if you put a conference teams in ranking order, the top four of that conference need to be separated if they're in the top four seeds (meaning if they're top 16 overall), unless they have more than four teams appearing in the top 16 overall. But I believe they would at least separate them out more than you did, so rather than 2, 2, 1 like you did it would be 2, 1, 1, 1. (Which is what you pointed out would be swapping us with Gonzaga.)
I just feel like we would be able to exploit Iowa State’s trapping defense. Any team you play in the sweet 16 and beyond is going to present major challenges. No question.
Last bracket guess:
East - Washington, DC
March 19/21 Greenville, SC
1. Duke
16. Lehigh/Prairie View
8. Georgia
9. Villanova
March 19/21 Portland, OK
4. Tennessee
13. Hawaii
5. Nebraska
12. High Point
March 19/21 Buffalo, NY
2. Purdue
15. Siena
7. Kentucky
10. SMU
March 19/21 Portland, OR
3. Gonzaga
14. Idaho
6. BYU
11. VCU
South - Houston, TX
March 20/22 Tampa, FL
1. Florida
16. UMBC
8. Iowa
9. Miami FL
March 20/22 Tampa, FL
4. Virginia
13. Hofstra
5. Texas Tech
12. Akron
March 19/21 Oklahoma City, OK
2. Houston
15. Kennesaw State
7. Ohio State
10. Texas A&M
March 20/22 Philadelphia, PA
3. Michigan State
14. Wright State
6. Saint Mary's
11. South Florida
Midwest - Chicago, IL
March 19/21 Buffalo, NY
1. Michigan
16. Queens
8. Clemson
9. Auburn
March 19/21 Oklahoma City, OK
4. St. John's
13. North Dakota State
5. Arkansas
12. McNeese
March 20/22 St. Louis, MO
2. Iowa State
15. Furman
7. UCLA
10. Santa Clara
March 19/21 Greenville, SC
3. Vanderbilt
14. Troy
6. Wisconsin
11. TCU/Missouri
West - San Jose, CA
March 20/22 San Diego, CA
1. Arizona
16. LIU/Howard
8. Utah State
9. NC State
March 20/22 San Diego, CA
4. Louisville
13. Cal Baptist
5. Alabama
12. Northern Iowa
March 20/22 St. Louis, MO
2. Illinois
15. Tennessee State
7. North Carolina
10. Saint Louis
March 20/22 Philadelphia, PA
3. UConn
14. Penn
6. Kansas
11. UCF/Miami OH
If Wichita State wins, they'll be swapped in for South Florida. I might slide South Florida in as an at large in that case in place of Auburn.
If this is wrong in any way, I would guess that San Diego State is in and Auburn is out.
East - Washington, DC
March 19/21 Greenville, SC
1. Duke
16. Lehigh/Prairie View
8. Georgia
9. Villanova
March 19/21 Portland, OK
4. Tennessee
13. Hawaii
5. Nebraska
12. High Point
March 19/21 Buffalo, NY
2. Purdue
15. Siena
7. Kentucky
10. SMU
March 19/21 Portland, OR
3. Gonzaga
14. Idaho
6. BYU
11. VCU
South - Houston, TX
March 20/22 Tampa, FL
1. Florida
16. UMBC
8. Iowa
9. Miami FL
March 20/22 Tampa, FL
4. Virginia
13. Hofstra
5. Texas Tech
12. Akron
March 19/21 Oklahoma City, OK
2. Houston
15. Kennesaw State
7. Ohio State
10. Texas A&M
March 20/22 Philadelphia, PA
3. Michigan State
14. Wright State
6. Saint Mary's
11. South Florida
Midwest - Chicago, IL
March 19/21 Buffalo, NY
1. Michigan
16. Queens
8. Clemson
9. Auburn
March 19/21 Oklahoma City, OK
4. St. John's
13. North Dakota State
5. Arkansas
12. McNeese
March 20/22 St. Louis, MO
2. Iowa State
15. Furman
7. UCLA
10. Santa Clara
March 19/21 Greenville, SC
3. Vanderbilt
14. Troy
6. Wisconsin
11. TCU/Missouri
West - San Jose, CA
March 20/22 San Diego, CA
1. Arizona
16. LIU/Howard
8. Utah State
9. NC State
March 20/22 San Diego, CA
4. Louisville
13. Cal Baptist
5. Alabama
12. Northern Iowa
March 20/22 St. Louis, MO
2. Illinois
15. Tennessee State
7. North Carolina
10. Saint Louis
March 20/22 Philadelphia, PA
3. UConn
14. Penn
6. Kansas
11. UCF/Miami OH
If Wichita State wins, they'll be swapped in for South Florida. I might slide South Florida in as an at large in that case in place of Auburn.
If this is wrong in any way, I would guess that San Diego State is in and Auburn is out.
UConn is not going to be a 3 seed.
Just curious: is Auburn your last team in (since you mention possibly swapping them out)? If so, why do you have them as a 9 seed?
Teams are seeded by efficiency metrics, but selected by result metrics. According to result metrics, Auburn is the last team in.
The refs can call a timeout for injury and the player that is injured can stay in?
UConn a 3?
Get a Life man!
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