CFB Playoff
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Illini2010-11
- Sugar Grove
4 B1G schools will be in first projected CFP bracket (Oregon, Ohio State, Penn State, and Indiana). I expect all of them to be ranked in top 10.
Obviously it will change, but that would be a fun playoff because there would be no rematches until the semi's. I wish they made a rule about rematches, similar to how march madness does.
Do you reckon there is a team left out of that Top 12 that could win the championship?
Really don't understand how Penn State still gets ranked higher than Indiana.
Yea sure, Indiana's schedule has been charmin soft, but it's not like they're a MAC team scraping by every week and are still undefeated longer than anyone thought, they are KILLING high major big ten middle tier teams.
Penn State has had their only 2 tough games at home, and lost one of them.
If Indiana had "Michigan" on the fronts of their jersey and kept everything else the same about their season, they'd be the #2 ranked team in the country. But where they're at now, they're going to get dropped from the top #12 all together for some 2 loss SEC team when they lose @ Ohio State
Yea sure, Indiana's schedule has been charmin soft, but it's not like they're a MAC team scraping by every week and are still undefeated longer than anyone thought, they are KILLING high major big ten middle tier teams.
Penn State has had their only 2 tough games at home, and lost one of them.
If Indiana had "Michigan" on the fronts of their jersey and kept everything else the same about their season, they'd be the #2 ranked team in the country. But where they're at now, they're going to get dropped from the top #12 all together for some 2 loss SEC team when they lose @ Ohio State
No one outside the top 12 could win a championship. No one outside the top 5 can win a championship.
If you're actually Mike Tisdale and your first post is about how great Indiana football is, this is incredible.
BZuppke
- Plainfield
No most likely not, but people are arguing rankings, home field advantage etc. My point has always been that for those who destroyed the big bowls their argument was that subjectivity would be removed from the process but it’s as subjective as ever. It’s always been about the money. No one ever says this.
Speaking of history and (perceived) progress....interesting to note that the old BCS formula produces 11 of the same 12 teams as the CFP Committee, with the only difference being the BCS adds SMU at #12, vs. CFP having Boise at #12.
Within those same 11, the BCS has Indiana and Tennessee flipped, vs. the CFP
Within those same 11, the BCS has Indiana and Tennessee flipped, vs. the CFP
it’s called bias . it’s not going away .
life’s not fair either
Illini2010-11
- Sugar Grove
Time will actually take care of this paricular bias. IU has opportunity against Ohio State (only ranked game of year). Would not be too concerned about "biases" at this point. Penn State was not going to get punished too much for losing a close game to Ohio State.
IU has the actual possibility of going 11-1 with no ranked wins and still make playoff. That is quite amazing.
Illini in Italy
- Illini HQ, Florida Panhandle
It's unbelievable how weak their schedule is this year. Their opponents have a combined record of 40-52, and only two teams actually have a winning record (Nebby, and Washington).
Illini2010-11
- Sugar Grove
It is crazy for Illinois as well. The schedule looked intimidating pre-season, but a lot of teams ended up much worse than expected (same goes for IU but on steroids).
Late last night, an elaborate analysis of playoff probabilities (College Football Network) gave Illinois a small but nonzero chance to make the playoffs:
"Other teams with high playoff probability not in the top 25:
Louisiana: 48.30%
Tulane: 9.90%
Illinois: 6.58%
Arizona State: 4.49%"
Hard to believe. but OK.
collegefootballnetwork.com
"Other teams with high playoff probability not in the top 25:
Louisiana: 48.30%
Tulane: 9.90%
Illinois: 6.58%
Arizona State: 4.49%"
Hard to believe. but OK.
Updated College Football Playoff Chances: Projections and Probabilities for 12-Team Field Ahead of Week 12
Which teams have the best chances to make the College Football Playoffs in 2024? Our exclusive probability model hands out the latest projections.
collegefootballnetwork.com
Do you have a beach house?
RabidDawgClassic
- Los Angeles, CA
I wonder what improbable cascasde of events would be required for that 6.58% to pay off.Late last night, an elaborate analysis of playoff probabilities (College Football Network) gave Illinois a small but nonzero chance to make the playoffs:
"Other teams with high playoff probability not in the top 25:
Louisiana: 48.30%
Tulane: 9.90%
Illinois: 6.58%
Arizona State: 4.49%"
Hard to believe. but OK.
Updated College Football Playoff Chances: Projections and Probabilities for 12-Team Field Ahead of Week 12
Which teams have the best chances to make the College Football Playoffs in 2024? Our exclusive probability model hands out the latest projections.
Illini in Italy
- Illini HQ, Florida Panhandle
UGA loses 2 more, ND loses 2 more, A&M loses 2 more, LSU loses 1 more, Mizzou loses, somehow someway B12 and ACC only get 1 team each... maybe that way? Idk... totally speaking off the top of my head.
6.58% actually kinda seems too high.
Battle89
- Cary-Grove, the better Trojan team
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