Chicago Cubs 2021 season

#276      
Chicagoland
[ W ] #14

Sweep! For all his faults, moments like Javy's HR in the 8th reninds me why I'd love to see him as a Cub for his career.
I agree. If he would keep his head in the game at all times, quit swinging at breaking pitches out of the zone, and run full speed out of the box, he'd be one of the top 5 players in the game. I keep waiting for him to get it, especially knowing that he sees Rizzo play everyday.

I also wonder if anyone made a bag load of money taking the Cubs in both games today?
 
#277      
I think it’s time to unload anyone of value and start over. It looked like we were in line for an epic 5-7 year stretch starting in ‘15. It flamed out really fast, players regressed, and there isn’t enough minor league talent in the system. I would be shocked if there aren’t major deals coming at the deadline.
You are way too quick to pull the trigger. Glad you aren’t the GM! Idiot!
 
#278      
Chicagoland
If you didn't catch the Wednesday night game, it's on replay Thursday at 12 central, but don't hold me to that. Most fun I've had watching the Cubs in awhile!
 
#279      
Montgomery, IL
Alzolay's slider is absolutely filthy. I'm hoping they take off the kid gloves and turn him loose sometime soon. Until Hendricks finds some consistency, you could make the argument that he's the best starter in their rotation.
 
#283      
Cubs are over .500 and only 2 games back in the central.

Did not expect this after the start of the season.

Is this just smoke and mirrors? Bad competition (Dodgers tho), or did we actually turn a corner?
 
#284      
Cubs are over .500 and only 2 games back in the central.

Did not expect this after the start of the season.

Is this just smoke and mirrors? Bad competition (Dodgers tho), or did we actually turn a corner?
I feel that it's a little bit of both. They don't have a bad team, but they aren't a really good team. They're back around 0.500, which is the team I expect them to be at the end of the season (not accounting for a KB trade, of course).
 
#285      
The question I have is what does Ricketts want to do. Blow it up and start over or try to be competitive next season. I know this offseason was weird coming off of the Covid year but they didn't do anything to enhance their postseason chances. So does that mean that Bryant is gone for sure, or do you try to resign him and let everyone else walk and use him as the anchor to build a new team around?
Yes they did, they went from the oldest starting staff to more of an average staff age wise. They upgraded the OF which needed a facelift and Bryant has finally fixed his swing which is what I was saying three years ago. Plus we got rid of a lot of dead weight in Darvish, Q and let Lester go, as much as Lester was a warrior, his arm was toast. We have more flexibility with the lineup where we can plug Bryant all over, interchange players in the infield. As lame as the NL is so far, we have a very good chance of winning the division which I have been saying since March and looking at the landscape, we could win a series or two in the playoffs.
 
#288      
Houston, Texas
The question I have is what does Ricketts want to do. Blow it up and start over or try to be competitive next season. I know this offseason was weird coming off of the Covid year but they didn't do anything to enhance their postseason chances. So does that mean that Bryant is gone for sure, or do you try to resign him and let everyone else walk and use him as the anchor to build a new team around?
Trading Yu should answer that question.
 
#289      
Houston, Texas
Yes they did, they went from the oldest starting staff to more of an average staff age wise. They upgraded the OF which needed a facelift and Bryant has finally fixed his swing which is what I was saying three years ago. Plus we got rid of a lot of dead weight in Darvish, Q and let Lester go, as much as Lester was a warrior, his arm was toast. We have more flexibility with the lineup where we can plug Bryant all over, interchange players in the infield. As lame as the NL is so far, we have a very good chance of winning the division which I have been saying since March and looking at the landscape, we could win a series or two in the playoffs.
Yu was dead weight? Yikes! Second in Cy Young last year, equally as good this year. How you feeling about Zach Davies?
 
#291      
We’ve seen a lot of small sample size flukishness in the early part of the season. The offense isn’t great, but it won’t be as bad as it looked during the first two weeks of the season. Hendricks and Davies won’t continue to post ERAs three runs higher than their career averages for the rest of the season, and both had real nice starts in their last outings. On the other hand, the team won’t keep being on the right side of 1-run games like they have over the last week.

I think barely above .500 is about where they’re going to be until the trade deadline, at which point they’ll need to decide whether to go for it or sell off, and that’s all going to do with where they are in the playoff race. As I don’t see anyone running away in either the Central or Wild Card race, I suspect they’ll make a few marginal additions and try to squeak into the playoffs.
 
#292      
We’ve seen a lot of small sample size flukishness in the early part of the season. The offense isn’t great, but it won’t be as bad as it looked during the first two weeks of the season. Hendricks and Davies won’t continue to post ERAs three runs higher than their career averages for the rest of the season, and both had real nice starts in their last outings. On the other hand, the team won’t keep being on the right side of 1-run games like they have over the last week.

I think barely above .500 is about where they’re going to be until the trade deadline, at which point they’ll need to decide whether to go for it or sell off, and that’s all going to do with where they are in the playoff race. As I don’t see anyone running away in either the Central or Wild Card race, I suspect they’ll make a few marginal additions and try to squeak into the playoffs.
The entire National league is roughly around 500. There is no dominate team. If we had last years team in here now, we would be worse off but not by much. The division is average and I believe the way the NL is that we could slide in to more of a contender. Adbert is coming on and Davies/Hendricks are pitching better. We could have the best starting staff in the NL Central. Especially when Jake comes back. Our staff is light years better than last years staff.
 
#293      
the ole ball coach
has there been any analysis done as to how much money baseball teams lost last season due to covid restrictions on attendance and other factors ?
obviously some teams were hurt more than others. much of baseball revenues and expenses is private info, but I have to believe there are some studies out there that do a good job of guessing.

are the Ricketts's simply gun shy about spending until the park is 100% opened ?
 
#294      
Houston, Texas
The entire National league is roughly around 500. There is no dominate team. If we had last years team in here now, we would be worse off but not by much. The division is average and I believe the way the NL is that we could slide in to more of a contender. Adbert is coming on and Davies/Hendricks are pitching better. We could have the best starting staff in the NL Central. Especially when Jake comes back. Our staff is light years better than last years staff.
The Cubs have the second worst ERA for starting pitchers in MLB. Starters are second to last in WHIP in MLB. Starters are last in MLB in batter average against. How it is light years better than last year's staff?
 
#296      
Geneseo, IL
Yes they did, they went from the oldest starting staff to more of an average staff age wise. They upgraded the OF which needed a facelift and Bryant has finally fixed his swing which is what I was saying three years ago. Plus we got rid of a lot of dead weight in Darvish, Q and let Lester go, as much as Lester was a warrior, his arm was toast. We have more flexibility with the lineup where we can plug Bryant all over, interchange players in the infield. As lame as the NL is so far, we have a very good chance of winning the division which I have been saying since March and looking at the landscape, we could win a series or two in the playoffs.
Hey I know it's way, way early but as of now the Cardinals are playing over .600 ball and the Cubs are a game under so there is little evidence to think they have a very good chance of winning the division.
 
#297      
Hey I know it's way, way early but as of now the Cardinals are playing over .600 ball and the Cubs are a game under so there is little evidence to think they have a very good chance of winning the division.

The playoff projectors I’ve seen at BR, FG, etc. put the Cubs at about 15-20% to make the playoffs and under 10% to win the division, with those numbers basically being cut in half since the start of the season.

There’s some hope for improvement here. The Cubs’ two most proven starting pitchers are posting ERAs over 2.5 runs higher than their career averages and the entire outfield and starting second baseman has an OPS+ at least 40% below their career averages.

The Cubs have way more guys underperforming their career norms than outperforming their career norms, with the major example of the latter (Marsinick) just going on the IL. Regression to the mean should help the Cubs.

The question is how far out of the playoffs will they be by the time the numbers start evening out? Can they right the ship in time to be buyers instead of sellers at the deadline?
 
#298      
Geneseo, IL
The playoff projectors I’ve seen at BR, FG, etc. put the Cubs at about 15-20% to make the playoffs and under 10% to win the division, with those numbers basically being cut in half since the start of the season.

There’s some hope for improvement here. The Cubs’ two most proven starting pitchers are posting ERAs over 2.5 runs higher than their career averages and the entire outfield and starting second baseman has an OPS+ at least 40% below their career averages.

The Cubs have way more guys underperforming their career norms than outperforming their career norms, with the major example of the latter (Marsinick) just going on the IL. Regression to the mean should help the Cubs.

The question is how far out of the playoffs will they be by the time the numbers start evening out? Can they right the ship in time to be buyers instead of sellers at the deadline?
Who knows how all this will play out but I would think they would still be in the wild card chase at the deadline, the question being what you have stated, is it worth going all out to try and make the playoffs, and what assets do you have to trade.
 
#299      
The playoff projectors I’ve seen at BR, FG, etc. put the Cubs at about 15-20% to make the playoffs and under 10% to win the division, with those numbers basically being cut in half since the start of the season.

There’s some hope for improvement here. The Cubs’ two most proven starting pitchers are posting ERAs over 2.5 runs higher than their career averages and the entire outfield and starting second baseman has an OPS+ at least 40% below their career averages.

The Cubs have way more guys underperforming their career norms than outperforming their career norms, with the major example of the latter (Marsinick) just going on the IL. Regression to the mean should help the Cubs.

The question is how far out of the playoffs will they be by the time the numbers start evening out? Can they right the ship in time to be buyers instead of sellers at the deadline?
I don’t think this is a farm system that can afford to be buyers, at least to any significant degree, at the deadline. I know the thought is to sneak into the playoffs and anything can happen but the starting pitching, uggh. I am willing to watch young guys for a few years to rebuild the system.
 
#300      
Who knows how all this will play out but I would think they would still be in the wild card chase at the deadline, the question being what you have stated, is it worth going all out to try and make the playoffs, and what assets do you have to trade.
I think the front office's priority will be to improve the long term outlook of the franchise, rather than try to chase a wild card birth. I think they have done a reasonable job of putting together a competitive team with very limited resources this offseason. (especially the bullpen, which I assumed would be terrible) The quarter of a billion dollar question is, what is the salary budget moving forward?
If the team starts playing well is keeping KB, Baez, Rizzo, & Contreras long term even financially feasible? Are these guys consistent and healthy enough at this stage to be worth the dollars they will command on the open market? KB is actually playing like a star the 1st month and a half of the season, is it a foregone conclusion that he won't be on the team in August? (As most assume)

Hard to tell where Jed is going to land on these questions.