Very random post here, but I was talking to a friend about the CFP and it potentially expanding ... and it got me thinking about what the CFP would look like in recent years for the basketball side of things.
2025
First Round / Sweet Sixteen - Home Games
#9 Texas Tech at #8 St. John's (NY)
#12 Wisconsin at #5 Tennessee
#10 Iowa State at #7 Michigan State
#11 Kentucky at #6 Alabama
Quarterfinals / Elite Eight - Neutral Site Games
8/9 vs. #1 Auburn (Atlanta, GA)
5/12 vs. #4 Florida (San Francisco, CA)
7/10 vs. #2 Duke (Newark, NJ)
6/11 vs. #3 Houston (Indianapolis, IN)
Final Four - San Antonio, TX
2024
First Round / Sweet Sixteen - Home Games
#9 Baylor at #8 Iowa State
#12 Illinois at #5 Tennessee
#10 Creighton at #7 Marquette
#11 Kentucky at #6 Arizona
Quarterfinals / Elite Eight - Neutral Site Games
8/9 vs. #1 UConn (Boston, MA)
5/12 vs. #4 North Carolina (Los Angeles, CA)
7/10 vs. #2 Houston (Dallas, TX)
6/11 vs. #3 Purdue (Detroit, MI)
Final Four - Glendale, AZ
2023
First Round / Sweet Sixteen - Home Games
#9 Baylor at #8 Marquette
#12 Xavier at #5 UCLA
#10 Gonzaga at #7 Arizona
#11 Kansas State at #6 Texas
Quarterfinals / Elite Eight - Neutral Site Games
8/9 vs. #1 Alabama (Louisville, KY)
5/12 vs. #4 Purdue (New York, NY)
7/10 vs. #2 Houston (Kansas City, MO)
6/11 vs. #3 Kansas (Las Vegas, NV)
Final Four - Houston, TX
2022
First Round / Sweet Sixteen - Home Games
#9 Wisconsin at #8 Duke
#12 Texas Tech at #5 Auburn
#10 Tennessee at #7 Villanova
#11 Purdue at #6 Kentucky
Quarterfinals / Elite Eight - Neutral Site Games
8/9 vs. #1 Gonzaga (San Francisco, CA)
5/12 vs. #4 Baylor (Philadelphia, PA)
7/10 vs. #2 Arizona (San Antonio, TX)
6/11 vs. #3 Kansas (Chicago, IL)
Final Four - New Orleans, LA
2021
First Round / Sweet Sixteen - Home Games
#9 Arkansas at #8 Houston
#12 Kansas at #5 Alabama
#10 West Virginia at #7 Iowa
#11 Texas at #6 Ohio State
Quarterfinals / Elite Eight - Neutral Site Games (Using Originally Planned Sites)
8/9 vs. #1 Gonzaga (Denver, CO)
5/12 vs. #4 Michigan (Brooklyn, NY)
7/10 vs. #2 Baylor (Memphis, TN)
6/11 vs. #3 Illinois (Minneapolis, MN)
Final Four - Indianapolis, IN
Just a fun exercise, but we would have two CFP appearances in the last five years, with a close miss in 2022 (we were the #14 overall seed). And these would have been our paths...
2021
Elite Eight: vs. #6 Ohio State or #11 Texas in Minneapolis, MN
Final Four: vs. #2 Baylor, #7 Iowa or #10 West Virginia (Indianapolis, IN)
2024
Sweet Sixteen: at #5 Tennessee
Elite Eight: vs. #4 North Carolina (Los Angeles, CA)
Final Four: vs. #1 UConn, #8 Iowa State or #9 Baylor (Glendale, AZ)
Our actual 2024 path to the Elite Eight was definitely better, IMO, getting to play Iowa State on a neutral floor ... and I doubt we were getting through UConn no matter what, lol. However, that 2021 path of being guaranteed a Sweet Sixteen appearance, playing OSU (who we had recently beat twice) or Texas (who ended up going down in the First Round to Abilene Christian...) to get to the Elite Eight and a presumed rematch with Baylor or POSSIBLY a game vs. Iowa or West Virginia to make the Final Four in front of an Illini home crowd in Indy?? What could have been! Lol.