You're right, but the silver lining is that it allows some level of free-market economics which seem to be rewarding positive recruiting and player development (on aggregate) rather than roster building with guys like AJ Storr every year. Even with the rapid inflation of "the bag", I'm curious what his "bag" has looked like from KU to Ole Miss to UNLV.
I think there is enough body of evidence that teams generally will perform better by first recruiting their core internally and building around those guys rather than doing a fresh rebuild every year by throwing $20M around Kentucky-style.
For us, the good part is it seems to allow much more ceiling when you have so much more flexibility with recruitment, assuming you have the monetary, cultural and development foundation required to keep guys. It then puts the onus back on teams to build a place where guys want to be, but fortunately we've done a great job of that.
Hopefully free-market economics will continue to reward continuity and dissuade mercenaryism, and it seems hellacious trying to implement any sort of guardrails or regulation now that the NIL cat has been out of the bag for a few years.
The positives is that if you're at the top of CBB, you never have to "rebuild". Every year there is a chance to build a high potential roster.
This simply doesn't apply to about 320 other CBB programs. Cinderella's are dead, all talent generally consolidates across about 30 programs. There is a second tier of good, not great capable programs that will hang around (think NC State, Iowa), but never have the chance to win a title. Mid Majors anywhere past the round of 32 is gone.
Sans Michigan's title last year, which was lightning in a bottle roster construction, it's become fairly evident that wisely supplementing around a core retained talent is the master plan. That supplementation could be with a top transfer, a OAD freshman or a euro.
If we were to look at the other F4 teams last year, it was primarily that. AZ built around Bradley and Krivas (PG & Center would be the two primary positions I'd retain as a HC), Boswell/Ivisic, Uconn = Reed, Karaban, Ball.
Duke had Foster, Evans and Ngongba, Florida had their big 3 FC if to complete was was the best 6 teams in the country.
This year will be interesting as there are multiple teams going for the 26 Michigan model in Tennessee, Louisville. Texas & Kentucky are only bringing back their centers. I'm personally routing against all these teams.