My pre-season predictions:
1. Wisconsin
They return everybody from last year's surprise run to the S16.
2. Michigan State
Schilling's injury knocks them out of the top spot. They lost a lot from last year, but brought in a Kentucky-esque recruiting class.
3. Indiana
Losing Yogi is a huge loss, but they have some nice pieces that make them dangerous.
4. Purdue
They could finish as high as 3rd or as low as 6th depending on how well Spike pans out at PG. Purdue's lack of PG play got badly exposed against UALR in the tourney last year. Still, they return most of their key guys and should be a tough out.
5. Michigan
Made it to the tourney last year without LaVert. And they return all of those key guys that helped them get to the tourney last year.
6. Illinois
Sporting News has Illinois finishing 6th. I've seen other outlets picking them as low as 11th, which is asinine.
Three key players return from injury:
Tracy Abrams. The pessimists claim that he won't impact much this year. I get Abrams isn't elite like a Yogi Ferrell or a Melo Trimble, but let's imagine that former tOSU PG Aaron Craft had another year of eligibility and he chose to come to Illinois. Most fans would be ecstatic. Adding Tracy is essentially like adding an Aaron Craft to the team. Not an elite talent, but has the same tenacity and leadership intangibles that made Craft the most hated player to anyone outside of the state of Ohio.
Leron Black. Pessimists have already written him off as a bust. They seem to forget that he had a few great games his freshman year that showed what he could become. He was a Top 40 recruit for a reason and if he were two inches taller, he would have been a burger boy for sure. In Abrams and Black, Illinois has two players that you love if you're an Illini fan, and you absolutely hate if you are a fan of any other B1G team.
Mike Thorne. Pessimists write him off as the typical Illinois grad transfer who excels during non conference, but then falls back to earth against tougher B1G competition. News flash, KANSAS and KENTUCKY wanted Thorne. This guy is a load and is easily a top 4 big man in the league.
Malcolm Hill said it best in his interview with Joe Crispin. Whenever the team was fully healthy, (and he mentions even then they still weren't all the way healthy with Abrams being out and Leron not being 100%) they beat a NCAA tourney qualifying UAB team by 15. And they were leading Iowa State, the #4 team in the country at the time, in the first half whenever Thorne went down with his injury. CBS's Jon Rothstein says it best, this team is an NCAA tournament team when fully healthy. The Illini will validate that claim this season and get the program trending back in the right direction.
7. Ohio State
This is a dark horse team according to several experts. Their 1-6 rotation is solid, but after that is where their mass exodus of transfers this off season is going to haunt them. They will have their moments this year and get some quality wins, but they simply don't have enough depth to contend this year.
8. Maryland
Another dark horse pick according to some. Dickie V even has them as his pre-season #17 team.
Look, we get how great of a player Melo Trimble is, but let's not pretend like LeBron James is suiting up in College Park this season. The Terps simply lost way too much to be a contender this year. If they'd have brought in the kind of recruiting class that Michigan State did, then they could be taken more seriously.
Bottom line, this team's star is a 6'1" PG; not a 6'8" specimen who can play all 5 positions and single handedly take a team to the promised land.
9. Northwestern
The kitty cats continue to improve under Chris Collins. They aren't quite NCAA tournament ready but they are getting closer. Getting Vic Law back this year will be a huge boost for them.
10. Iowa
They lost everybody except Jok. Jok will be able to keep them in some games but it will be a rebuilding year in Iowa City.
11. Penn State
Talented recruiting class. Hopefully this class can see some success in their careers. Chambers seems like a good dude so hopefully he can keep Penn State respectable.
12. Minnesota
Do Gopher fans miss Tubby yet? The Gophers brought in a decent recruiting class, but they will have their growing pains, which will lead to another basement dwelling season. Little Richard will be feeling the heat.
13. Nebraska
The 'Nebrasketball' hype train has offically derailed. Hopefully Miles can get it back on track though. Watson is a solid piece to build around.
14. Rutgers
Rutgers....