I get the feeling BU is the kind of guy that would take the wins over the accolades anyway. But man…. Give the guy his award!
pure serendipity
I get the feeling BU is the kind of guy that would take the wins over the accolades anyway. But man…. Give the guy his award!
pure serendipity
I think Brad is a great coach and I've liked him going back SFU and those Walkup teams.He’s been overlooked, including by me.
That win in Wisconsin and the adversity the team dealt with, along with his usage of the transfers and emergence of Coleman puts him firmly in the run. The offense alone is incredible without the benefit of an Edey (or Cockburn), which is why he was overlooked in the past.
Gard, Collins, Pikiell, Hoiberg would have been strong candidates at different times in the season.
Painter is the only real contender, imo. But he started with higher expectations and has relied on Edey as mentioned.
We win out, BU is coach of the year no doubt. Beat Purdue, I still think he wins.
He’s not even in the discussion for it. It is what it is.I get the feeling BU is the kind of guy that would take the wins over the accolades anyway. But man…. Give the guy his award!
That’s some cherry picking of data if I’ve ever seen it. I can make the facts much clearer for you:I'm actually going to do a coin flip bracket this year. I'll pick 1 and 2 seeds in the first round, but then every game after this is a coin flip. Heads for the higher seed, talis for the lower seed. I am confident that my coin flip bracket would be in the top half of a bracket challenge pool and would be 70-75% of my "real" bracket.
Just look at past years Look at all of the lower seeds making the Final Four. Facts are facts - the tournament is a random event today.
2011 - #8 seed and #11 seed
2013 - Two #4s and a #9
2014 - #7 and #8
2015 - #7
2016 - #10
2017 - #7
2018 - #11
2021 - #11
2022 - #8 seed
2023 - #4, two #5s and a #9
The last time all four Final Four teams were #4 seeds or higher was 2009 (#1, #1, #2, #3). FIFTEEN years ago. Not sure how much clearer the facts can be.
Just to play devils advocateI think Brad is a great coach and I've liked him going back SFU and those Walkup teams.
However, there are some very valid criticisms of him(most coaches have some).
1. In game coaching/adjustments. I've always been a bit baffled by some of his substitution patterns. Leaving Goode in against MSU while he was getting torched is an example. Also just in general sometimes lacks to adjust his gameplan of it's not working.
2. Roster construction. Been a bit better lately but the Ayo/Kofi teams were basically just Kofi and guards, no length on the wing at all. Now they are lacking at point guard(been hidden by Domask).
3. After Gentry left the offense seemed stagnant though it now looks great, but all of a sudden they can't stop anyone. This year it would be more a question of inbounds plays and being unable to defend inbounds.
But also those Ayo/Kofi teams were early on in a massive rebuild.Just to play devils advocate
1. We are first in the conference in 2nd half scoring margin. There are adjustments almost every halftime. A lot of them just little things that go unnoticed by the common fan.
2. The reason we went guards w/ Kofi is because we were strictly high ball screen with Kofi & Ayo so we needed shooters(every team needs them I get it) in the corners. The only real baffling roster was last year and on paper it looked good.
3. The lack of defending in bounds mostly comes down to lack of focus/awareness by the players….really just one in particular against PSU. They go over at nauseam the opponents top 2-3 BLOBS.
Is it a media voting thing or other B10 coaches? If it’s primarily media, I’m not surprised at all. Those guys don’t know .He’s not even in the discussion for it. It is what it is.
In the years you've listed 26 of 52 were 1/2 seeds, 50% . I'm taking those odds all day long.... And I'm sure going back further that percentage is even higher.That’s some cherry picking of data if I’ve ever seen it. I can make the facts much clearer for you:
2010 - #1, #2, #5, #5
2011 - #3, #4, #8, #11
2012- #1, #2, #2, #4
2013 - #1, #4, #4, #9
2014 - #1, #2, #7, #8
2015 - #1, #1, #1, #7
2016 - #1, #2, #2, #10
2017 - #1, #1, #3, #7
2018 - #1, #1, #3, #11
2019 - #1, #2, #3, #5
2020 - COVID
2021 - #1, #1, #2, #11
2022 - #1, #2, #2, #8
2023 - #4, #5, #5, #9
Look at all those #1s and #2s you left out. With the exception of two tournaments in this time frame, #1s and #2s have been the dominant seeds in the final four. You might want to have the deed for your beach house ready to sign over.
BOLD: THIS!!!Just to play devils advocate
1. We are first in the conference in 2nd half scoring margin. There are adjustments almost every halftime. A lot of them just little things that go unnoticed by the common fan.
2. The reason we went guards w/ Kofi is because we were strictly high ball screen with Kofi & Ayo so we needed shooters(every team needs them I get it) in the corners. The only real baffling roster was last year and on paper it looked good.
3. The lack of defending in bounds mostly comes down to lack of focus/awareness by the players….really just one in particular against PSU. They go over ad nauseam the opponents top 2-3 BLOBS.
Didn’t we discover this fact like 5 games ago? I thought it was an ah-ha moment when that lineup clicked. Harmon in for Guerrier has just been better but we still rarely see that lineup still. And Ty is never on the floor at the end of games.View attachment 31746
Thinking the Top Lineups window from EvanMiya is interesting...
our top five lineup (small sample size) is Domask / Harmon / Hawkins / Rodgers / Shannon
Everything you’re using for stats happened before NIL and the transfer portal. The rules of the game have totally changed.That's one of the things I love about March Madness - everyone has a chance. However, the better your seed is, the better your chances. That fact is pretty clear.
Here are a couple more facts:
13/15 national champions since 2008 were ranked in Torvik's top 10 prior to the tournament.
37/60 Final Four teams since 2008 were ranked in Torvik's top 10 prior to the tournament.
It's a wild coincidence that teams who prove to be the best at basketball from November to March are also the best at flipping coins in March and April.
Just to play devils advocate
1. We are first in the conference in 2nd half scoring margin. There are adjustments almost every halftime. A lot of them just little things that go unnoticed by the common fan.
2. The reason we went guards w/ Kofi is because we were strictly high ball screen with Kofi & Ayo so we needed shooters(every team needs them I get it) in the corners. The only real baffling roster was last year and on paper it looked good.
3. The lack of defending in bounds mostly comes down to lack of focus/awareness by the players….really just one in particular against PSU. They go over ad nauseam the opponents top 2-3 BLOBS.
1. The lack of adjustments is mostly a concern of mine defensively and goes back to prior years. Despite the poor defensive I actually think they have done a better job this year of adjusting their scheme instead of continually letting the same thing cook them. Notably the Maryland game they started blitzing Young on the pnr and he was way less efficient late. However in the past I remember them stubbornly attempting the same thing over and over like trying let Kofi guard Edey 1 on 1 and never sending doubles and then allowing TJD to go off last year.Just to play devils advocate
1. We are first in the conference in 2nd half scoring margin. There are adjustments almost every halftime. A lot of them just little things that go unnoticed by the common fan.
2. The reason we went guards w/ Kofi is because we were strictly high ball screen with Kofi & Ayo so we needed shooters(every team needs them I get it) in the corners. The only real baffling roster was last year and on paper it looked good.
3. The lack of defending in bounds mostly comes down to lack of focus/awareness by the players….really just one in particular against PSU. They go over at nauseam the opponents top 2-3 BLOBS.
During basketball season my tv is parked on BTN. I don’t know if I have ever heard his name mentioned for COTY ever! Kinda baffling when you consider the dung heap he started with. My theory is instead of getting lucky and catching lightning in a bottle for one season, he built the program for the long haul and now it is expected that he will contend for the BT title every season. So there is no way to over-acheive in the voters eyes. He might not ever win the award, but it’s my opinion that Brad and Painter are probably the two best coaches in the conference long term. But I still yell at Brad through my TV sometimes.He’s not even in the discussion for it. It is what it is.
I would like to think so but Edey also had a big week.So is MD the favorite for POTW? 26.5p 7.5rb 4a, team goes 2-0 including big win in madison. I'd say he should win it.
They only had one game, msu at home. He had a good game, but I'd hope MD having 2 strong performances would secure it.I would like to think so but Edey also had a big week.
Without PSU and MSU "chokejobs" on the road, winning Purdue game on Tuesday could be for reg season title.NW 41% W
PU 45% L ( we got outrebounded by 15)
MSU 42% W
Md 46% L (we shot 33%)
MI 48% W
Ru - 37% W
NW - 55% L OT (problem was we shot 41%)
IU - 46% W (despite ILL shooting 37%)
OSU- 50% W
Neb 43% W
MSU 53% - L (problem was we shot 43%)
MI 43% - W
MD 41% - W
PSU 54% - L (we shot 48%, but had 18 turnovers)
IA 48% - W
Mn 60% - W
JMO - combination of recency bias and bad optics from high scoring games . MN win, PSU loss, and NW loss were only games where we allowed opponent to shoot 51% or better. Mn shooting 70% from 3 on 20 attempts may not happen again in another 20 years. Take away the PSU choke job and people would be clammering for a #2 seed.
Our offense became more high powered/shoot faster once TSJ returned.
People have expectation we should be blowing teams out by 20 points like we did early in year. It turns out that beating up FAU and Missouri was fools gold. We outscore our competitors by 12 ppg for the year. That is good enough.
I think Brad is only concerned about stacking wins and staying healthy for the big dance. Imagine the discussion board if TSJ had not gotten the injuction. Be thankful for what we have. #2 team in B10. Everybody healthy. High ceiling with 3 headed monster TSJ, Marcus and Domask.
As much as I love Ty. You probably want to have 5 shooters on the court at all time. Would be a good time for Goode to regain some confidence.Didn’t we discover this fact like 5 games ago? I thought it was an ah-ha moment when that lineup clicked. Harmon in for Guerrier has just been better but we still rarely see that lineup still. And Ty is never on the floor at the end of games.
I would love to see that lineup extensively against Purdue - bigs kill us anyway so why not just accept it and get a smaller guard on the floor to create more offense/ on ball D
HawkinsAs much as I love Ty. You probably want to have 5 shooters on the court at all time. Would be a good time for Goode to regain some confidence.
Think a lineup with Ty and 4 shooters works for stints with Ty setting ball screens. Other then that get Goode and Guerrier in. Might also be a decent spot for Moretti.
Edey can't guard out to the perimeter so Illini need to make them pay for it that by knocking down shots.
Goode doesn't play much because he is too slow to defend. I just hope Quincy can hold the guy who avgs. About 4 points considerably under the 23 he got in first game.As much as I love Ty. You probably want to have 5 shooters on the court at all time. Would be a good time for Goode to regain some confidence.
Think a lineup with Ty and 4 shooters works for stints with Ty setting ball screens. Other then that get Goode and Guerrier in. Might also be a decent spot for Moretti.
Edey can't guard out to the perimeter so Illini need to make them pay for it that by knocking down shots.
Also, this year just seems particularly random.Everything you’re using for stats happened before NIL and the transfer portal. The rules of the game have totally changed.
Big deal about what happened in the past about different rules. The pendulum was already shifting toward more random results even before the rules of the game completely changed. Of course a couple of high seeds will always go deep. They are always playing minnows early which are essentially guaranteed wins.