Illini Basketball 2026-2027

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#326      
doowink
Fly Illini Fly! said:
If the question is asking whether it’s more likely than not? Within the next 10 years? The smarter bet would be no.

I don’t think we’ll be that great defensively. To win the whole thing nowadays, you need to be ELITE on offense AND defense (top 5). We’re in the era of super teams; a decade ago that was probably a little different. SEVEN of the 8 one seeds the past two years have had +35 ratings on Kenpom. That’s completely unprecedented historically, and the top of the sport is operating at a different level.

I think our formula is good for multiple Final Fours; however, you’re inevitably going to run into that juggernaut team on both ends (Michigan, UCONN two years ago, etc).
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squirrel GIF
....I don't know...if we keep making final 4's...what's the old sayin....even a blind squirrel will eventually find a nut...:LOL:
 
#327      
Calvin
Joel Goodson said:
https://twitter.com/x/status/2057600170003439676
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At this point, he's very low risk, high proven ability, but I still think it's better to have a lot of retention comp to keep the base down. Others:
Keep it rolling!
 
#329      
grue2
At this point, he's very low risk, high proven ability, but I still think it's better to have a lot of retention comp to keep the base down. Others:
Keep it rolling!
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I'm curious what Zach's responsibilities are at this point. I thought Crocker took over the defense responsibilities, and I'm not seeing Zach as recruiting any of the bigger names. Some statistical analysis? What else?
 
#338      
Fly Illini Fly!
Fly Illini Fly! said:
I don't think people realize how good Andrej could be.

This past year, he averaged 13.5 points on 26.3 minutes per game. The totals come out to 459 points in 895 minutes.

If we take that exact points per minute rate (0.513) and just multiply it by 31 minutes, he's at 15.9 points per game. Add in the fact he'll make improvements to his game, get more usage... that's very realistically a 17 point per game scorer next year (or more).
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A little more on this:

So, Andrej last season averaged 0.312 points per possession (second on the team; Keaton was 0.322).

Illinois averaged 65.7 possessions per 40 minutes and Andrej played 26.3 minutes per game.

How we mathematically get to his season average of 13.5 points per game:

0.312 x 65.7 =20.498 points per 40

(20.498 / 40) x 26.3 =13.477 points per game

However, I think it’s reasonable to think that both our pace and Andrej’s minutes will increase from this year to next.

Our poss per 40 of 65.7 ranked in the 300s this past season. Just as a guess, let’s say it increases to 68.0 next season (which would rank around 200 nationally).

Now, let’s say Andrej’s minutes increase to 32.0 per game.

Taking the exact ppp rate he had last year (0.312), here’s his projected point per game in that circumstance:

0.312 x 68.0 =21.216

(21.216 / 40) x 32 =

16.973 (would be shown as 17.0 on all the stats sites since they round to tenth)

Really think he’s the sleeper B10 POY candidate no one’s talking about.
 
#339      
Brosky
Don't have anything new, but with Stoyakovic we're a legitimate threat to win a NC. But so are a bunch of other teams. Have to try and remember ONLY ONE gets the title.
 
#340      
WhereDoWeStandWithStorr?
Fly Illini Fly! said:
A little more on this:

So, Andrej last season averaged 0.312 points per possession (second on the team; Keaton was 0.322).

Illinois averaged 65.7 possessions per 40 minutes and Andrej played 26.3 minutes per game.

How we mathematically get to his season average of 13.5 points per game:

0.312 x 65.7 =20.498 points per 40

(20.498 / 40) x 26.3 =13.477 points per game

However, I think it’s reasonable to think that both our pace and Andrej’s minutes will increase from this year to next.

Our poss per 40 of 65.7 ranked in the 300s this past season. Just as a guess, let’s say it increases to 68.0 next season (which would rank around 200 nationally).

Now, let’s say Andrej’s minutes increase to 32.0 per game.

Taking the exact ppp rate he had last year (0.312), here’s his projected point per game in that circumstance:

0.312 x 68.0 =21.216

(21.216 / 40) x 32 =

16.973 (would be shown as 17.0 on all the stats sites since they round to tenth)

Really think he’s the sleeper B10 POY candidate no one’s talking about.
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I think All American is a lot more likely than big ten player of the year. Jeremy Fears is a very good player, and will put up big numbers.
 
#342      
GatorMcKlusky
Are we cooked? This doesn’t seem logical from NCAA, which I guess is to be expected
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It comes out on a Friday before a Memorial Day weekend? That's usually when politicians release bad news they don't want anyone to be made aware of.
 
#343      
Fly Illini Fly!
This would be my best guess at our scoring (keep in mind it's pre decimals):

Andrej - 17
Mirk - 14
Vaaks - 13
Tomi - 12
Coleman - 10
Z - 7
Jake - 5
Morillo - 4
#9thMan (my bet would be Zens) - 2
 
#345      
Acacia82
stevej64 said:
10 cent Sunday night draft beer at Kams in the summer. No foam in those though.

Thursday Lil Kings buckets at Cochrans. Can’t remember prices. But we set the world record twice. Fought it out with Buckeyes. Opened up at 9am for those 2 events.

Mid 80s
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I believe it was 3 for $1
 
#346      
ChiefGritty
From the cheap seats said:
With Wednesday being the deadline to withdraw from the NBA draft, any concern that Andrej has not made his decision known publicly?
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I don't think the timing is particularly relevant but in terms of the substance of the decision...I just wish my negative spidey senses would shut up about this.
 
#347      
Illini B-Ball Fan
Calvin said:
At this point, he's very low risk, high proven ability, but I still think it's better to have a lot of retention comp to keep the base down. Others:
Keep it rolling!
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Wow, what a bump for Tyler!
 
#350      
lstewart53x3
ChiefGritty said:
I don't think the timing is particularly relevant but in terms of the substance of the decision...I just wish my negative spidey senses would shut up about this.
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I think we’re going to be alright here.

— Goodman tweeted those interviews he did with 10 NBA execs. All 10 said Andrej should return to college.

— Jeremy Werner is very confident Andrej will return and that usually comes from sources inside the building.

— We haven’t been linked to any Andrej replacements. If we start recruiting slashing wings in the next 48 hours, then I’ll be worried.
 
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