Mirk averaged 0.276 in 29.5 minutes per game. At 68 team possessions (per 40) and 32 minutes per game:
0.276 x 68 = 18.768 per 40
(18.768 / 40) x 32 = 15.01 points per game
I will say that it's generally unlikely for bigs to play 32min/game (~30 would be more realistic). If Mirk averages 17/game, it likely has to do with significant improvement to his game, rather than just increased volume.
With Andrej, the scoring talent is so readymade. Plus, there's lots of room for that 3pt shot to improve. He just needs to stay healthy (and preferably not have two leg injuries in a season's span).
I don't think we can extrapolate numbers from last year because the whole dynamic of what we had last year changes and roles change. Keaton became the ball dominant player on the roster and it wasn't by a little, it was by a lot. That's what happens with lottery picks. The rise of Wagler's numbers were the demise of other players, most notably Boswell and Andrej. I'm guessing that Drej was supposed to be that guy or at very least, share duties with Kylan.
Drej also for injured, which ultimately resulted him coming off of the bench.
There was a lot of unusual things that occurred last year that nobody planned on.
Does anyone know what Drej's role is going to be? Was he promised that role that Keaton had? If so, his responsibilities change enormously. Does Vaaks and Coleman turn into NBA caliber players and one being the go to guy? Do neither? Does Drej continue the effort we saw on defense on the NCAA Tournament or does it revert?
We, very much including me, have a recency bias with Drej. Without that Big Ten Tournament and NCAA Tournament exhibition, he wouldn't have made it to the combine and the feeling that we absolutely need him to come back wouldn't be the story of the off-season. We would have been looking for an upgrade.
NCAA Tournament Adrej is All Big Ten with honorable mention All America. December, January and February Drej and the frustration with him because of the uneven play and poor decision making will be the result and the discussion with turn to 5 for 5.
Quite frankly, I have never seen Vaaks play for 1 live second, we don't know of the growth of Coleman and the guy that people are leaving out is Tomi. He was very, very poor for a LONG stretch of the season. Some even went in record as saying he was unplayable. Then, the BTT and NCAAT came and he was back. If we get NCAAT Tomi back, the offense will run through him, which again changes everything. Z went on a stretch where he couldn't throw it into the ocean. More people went on record in saying he was unplayable.
We went on a stretch where we lost 4 of 6. It aligned with the injuries and guys coming back.
We can't ignore these things because they can't reoccur for us to get where we all want to be. Nuclear Keaton isn't walking through those doors, so the entire style will be reimagined. When that happens, some thrive, some stay as is and some regress.
It's going to be extremely interesting, especially early. My hope is that Drej isn't automatically assuming the role of the ball dominant player on the roster and he's not getting 19 points on 7 of 22 shooting.
The take away is that extrapolation isn't going to work because it means that someone like Tomi had a bad year. Two years ago, he was the most pivotal guy on the roster and the focus. My guess is that Brad is banking on that resurgence and what that means for shots....who knows.