I don't think it'd be like that because it was apparent Wagler would start over Petro, at least in the 1-2 months leading up to the season.
Keaton came off the bench for exactly zero games last year.
And even before Ty got hurt -- Ben or Mirk were seen as the likely starters at the 4.
So, neither of them were the likeliest starters.
Lets go back to August 2025-26 Illini thread.
People are talking about Wagler maybe being a good 6th man. There's a Werner update in there talking about Wagler could be the best freshman and push for a 6th man role.
Then, lets go back to when Ty got hurt (June 16, 2025)
People are talking about how Mirk and Ben will have to step up because we just lost a starter at forward. Most everyone still hated Ben at this point (and also there are actually a couple of comments pointing out correctly that Ty was a guard/ballhandler and not a PF).