Game Notes!
1. It wasn't a pretty game, offensively. Plus, Henry and the defense deserve some assists for putting the offense in a fortunate position.
2. That said, I want to defend the offense for a few points:
- Connelly predicted 21 Illinois points, they hit the number.
- Worst passing game in a while, especially damning with Will Johnson out most of the game, but the strategy started to tilt late in the second quarter. Bielema and staff realized that Michigan was going to struggle to score and that ball control was going to be the most important. Part of that is inferred in Altmyer making quicker decisions to scramble.
- the PFF run blocking grades are poor and that's unfair. Here are the team running stats for each Michigan game this season:
Fresno State - 22 rushing attempts for 9 yards (0.9 yards/game)
Arkansas State - 25 rushing attempts for 58 yards (2.3)
Texas - 32 attempts for 143 yards (4.5)
USC - 21 attempts for 96 yards (4.6)
Minnesota - 25 attempts for 38 yards (1.5)
Washington - 35 attempts for 114 yards (3.3)
Illinois - 38 attempts for 187 yards (4.9)
3. Season stat - Illinois is second in B1G for explosive play rate (20+ yard plays) behind Indiana. For a team that's had excellent special teams + excellent explosive play rate, it's a great combo.
4. I'm happy for Laughery having a strong game, plus a strong finish from McCray. The passing blocking rates are saying McCray is the only option that isn't a complete zero. Josh, please stay healthy.
5. Last offensive season stat - Third down conversion rates for Illinois offense since 2016:
2016 - 28.3%
2017 - 33.5%
2018 - 34.5%
2019 - 35.4%
2020 - 38.0%
2021 - 38.2%
2022 - 38.2%
2023 - 36.0%
2024 - 43.4%
6. Gabe Jacas had been living too much off of his reputation earlier this year but he has had a big breakout the past two games - Eight hurries over the past two games. Back-to-back career highs. Him and TeRah provided a great tandem on Saturday.
7. I'm happiest for Zeke Holmes. He's been at Illinois since 2018. Multiple season-ending injuries. So many months of rehab over the years. Six years after starting at Illinois, with his team having their biggest home game in years, possibly decades, he sets a career high in snaps and gives his best career performance.
8. After being harshly criticized after his Penn State performance, Rosiek has been great the past two games. Games like Purdue and Michigan are better fitting for his strengths. Oregon....is not. Let's hope the recent improvement shows a step forward.
9. Ryan Meed might be unplayable and the staff is starting to throttle down his snaps. Question is whether there is a reasonable replacement? Kreutz has been up-and-down and the club hand is restricting his performance. Hood played for the first time since EIU but only one snap. The answer might be moving Bailey further into the box and rolling with him and Rosiek. Yesterday was a first success that having one LB and moving a safety down can still keep the team successful against the run (smashing success). If this is sustainable, it's going provide more options to give snaps to the secondary depth than the LB corp.
10. 120th (out of 133) in turnover margin in 2023! 2024? 34th!
11. Not sure how better to say this beyond the simple, what a team performance. The defense answered the bell after the doubts from the Purdue game by allowing the least amount of points scored by Michigan in 10 seasons. The offense, with doubts about running the ball all year and facing the best defensive line they'll face all season, put up the best rushing performance against UM all year.