2. It looks like @IlliniInBuckeyeState has his final estimate at 46,546, with the caveat that he expected day-of sales to push us over 47,000. He has also been very clear the whole time that his tracker is meant to be somewhat conservative. So, given that we were seeing estimates of SIGNIFICANTLY lower ticket sales, a big hats off to his amazing work, as our final attendance ended up being 48,898!
I said on a few occasions that 48,000+ was in play - I guess I got skittish seeing the lower estimates thrown out by people very much more in the know than me. But the fact of the matter is that the data available through the ticket office site just didn't support attendance in the low 40s. Having an announced attendance over 48,000 felt like strong validation of my methodology. Consider this my victory lap.
Like you, I'm encouraged by the strong showing for Toledo and think that there's potential for an even better crowd against Penn State. The ticket prices are understandably much more expensive though, so I'm curious to see if that impacts how many single game tickets can get moved in the next 10 days.