Illinois at Maryland, Saturday, October 31st, 11:00am CT, FS1

lstewart53x3 said:

Not sure Nebraska is trending towards a toss up.

SP+ has Nebraska 8.6 points better on a neutral field.

UCLA 7.6 points better, Iowa 5.6, and Northwestern 6.9 points better on a neutral field. So Iowa at home is likely the closest to a toss up.

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I am viewing it from a trend perspective (three weeks ago I would have anticipated the game being at least 2-3 td Nebraska favorite...especially after the Purdue game). Nebraska is reeling a bit with two late game losses and you can see their confidence shaken in Eugene. If they come out flat against Washington out of their bye and lose three and a row, and Illini handle business @MD, then I expect the line to be very much closer to a tossup. That is what I meant by trending toward that direction (I suspect we will be about 3.5 point underdogs when all is said and done).

I believe we will be underdogs in all of the last 4 games, regardless of outcomes this week.