Illinois at Texas Tech, Tuesday, November 10th, 7:00pm CT, Peacock

#176      
I don't have a good feeling on this game. I love our freshmen, but this will be a tough one for them. A true road game against a top-20 opponent. Seems like one of those games you wish you had more veterans available to play (Mirk & Jake). We'll see. I predict Tech wins this one, 84-73.
Look, in college basketball, who knows what will happen? But I'm a noted pessimist and I feel very differently. So far, I've seen a readiness to play at this level in our freshmen that I would have never expected headed into this season. I think they rise to this occasion. Am I just high on orange koolaid? Maybe. I'm really excited for this game, though.
 
#177      
Traveling down to Texas to play an undersized but athletic defensive-minded team in front of a hostile crowd.

Worked out pretty well for us last time šŸ˜

Without Mirk and Jake, it'll be important for QC, Andrej, Vaaks, et al. to not get sped up and make the right reads. Forcing what isn't there and turning it over is where I could see this one going awry.

Feel like we get it done though.

Illini pull away in the last 10 minutes to win by 8.
 
#178      
97-73 good guys.

QC locks down DGL with a significant block party by Tomi/Z/LW on his attempted drives.

TTU gets frustrated with AS driving and getting whatever he wants over the top and starts hacking. AS ends up with 10+ from the free throw line and 26+ total.

Vaaks, EB and ZZ combine to shoot over 50% from 3.

Tomi has 8+ assists.

Rebound margin isn’t even close.
 
#180      
Illinois averages 13.9 seconds per offensive possession.

Texas Tech averages 15.4 seconds per offensive possession.

Illinois averages 15.9 seconds per defensive possession.

Texas Tech averages 18.9 seconds per defensive possession.

Illinois offense vs Texas Tech defense:

13.9 + 18.9 =32.8
32.8 / 2 =16.4 seconds per possession.

Texas Tech offense vs Illinois defense:

15.4 + 15.9 =31.3
31.3 / 2 =15.65 seconds per possession.

16.4 + 15.65 =32.05 seconds per cycle.

There’s 2,400 seconds in a 40 minute college basketball game.

2,400 / 32.05 =74.883 possessions per team.

…..

I think both teams will be good offensively.

So in a 75 possession game — let’s say Illinois scores 1.25 points per possession (what we averaged last year), and let’s say Texas Tech scores 1.177 points per possession (what they averaged last year).

Score prediction:
Illinois: 94
Texas Tech: 88


(P.S. this math is just for fun and definitely wrong for several reasons, one of which being that an offense has way more control over possession length than the defense does. Illinois will definitely have more urgency to push the pace, than Texas Tech will!)
 
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#181      
Traveling down to Texas to play an undersized but athletic defensive-minded team in front of a hostile crowd.

Worked out pretty well for us last time šŸ˜

Without Mirk and Jake, it'll be important for QC, Andrej, Vaaks, et al. to not get sped up and make the right reads. Forcing what isn't there and turning it over is where I could see this one going awry.

Feel like we get it done though.

Illini pull away in the last 10 minutes to win by 8.
Whole offense is based on speeding up!
 
#183      
another worthless prediction with no value at all ..............

Illini 91
TT 77

OIP (13).jpg


I'm getting closer to my home.................I really really am ......................
 
#184      
What is Team Noah on AS's shirt?
I was wondering, too, and since, as I am writing this, no one has educated us, I thought I might as well see if I could find an answer. I found the following. I am guessing it is what the T-shirt is referencing.

Team Noah is a fundraising group inspired by Noah Moore, a congenital heart defect survivor, that has raised over $1 million for the American Heart Association to support heart research and awareness. The team participates in the annual American Heart Association Beach Ride, which is a five-day equestrian event aimed at combating heart disease and stroke.

Good for Andrej
 
#186      
If you're buying TTU stock, I'm selling it.

...

This is a Texas Tech team that, so far, likes to play slow and barely out-rebounded Jackson St and Bethune-Cookman. People have been making the Baylor comparison, but frankly, the comparison ends at rebounding. We're going to demolish them on the boards. They only play a 7-8 man rotation currently and they're going to have a much harder time slowing us down than we will have speeding them up, especially as the game goes on.

Give me Illinois 106-74.

Not going to predict that big a blow-out, but I do like the match-up. Think the size advantage will make it a lot harder for them to rebound and close us out. Watched some of their highlights, and without Toppin, just don't see them as a top-25 team.
 
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