2013-14 2016-17
F/C Nnanna Egwu > F/C 5th Year Player (potential to be = or < )
F Tyler Griffey < F Michael Finke
G D.J. Richardson = G Jalen Coleman-Lands
G Tracey Abrams > G Tracey Abrams or Tejon Lucas
G Brandon Paul < G Malcolm Hill
F Sam Mclaurin < F Leron Black ( > or = if it's a transfer)
G Joe Bertrand < G Kendrick Nunn
F Mike Shaw = F/C Maverick Morgan
G/F Myke Henry > G/F DJ Williams (potential to be <)
G/F Devin Langford < G Aaron Jordan
G Ray Rice (RS) < G/F Kipper Nichols
G Mike LaTulip < G Tejon Lucas
Depends on our Transfer players and Leron Black but this team looks to be better than Groce's only acceptable season
Interesting to look at this way, my take away is more break it down by position & to keep it honest looked up stats for 2012-13, ignored everyone below Henry since those were mop up minutes, rounded up on minutes for starters due to subtracting sub minutes. For next year, didn't try to add to 40, instead giving Black/Finke/Mav 25 mpg (Egwu was a warrior and averaged 25.4 mpg; 30 year prior), used MH/KM/JCL current year mpg 35/35/24 & we are well over 80 already at 2/3 before you throw in AJ/DJ/Kipper.
Player GP MIN PPG RPG APG SPG BPG TPG FG% FT% 3P%
Brandon Paul 36 32.0 16.6 4.4 2.7 1.2 0.6 2.7 .401 .738 .325
D.J. Richardson 36 33.8 12.3 3.9 1.6 1.3 0.2 1.4 .363 .815 .322
Tracy Abrams 36 28.7 10.6 3.5 3.4 1.4 0.1 2.6 .394 .748 .272
Joseph Bertrand 35 22.7 7.3 4.1 0.6 0.9 0.2 1.1 .502 .773 .321
Tyler Griffey 36 21.8 7.2 3.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 .434 .686 .347
Nnanna Egwu 36 25.4 6.5 4.9 0.5 0.6 1.4 1.0 .460 .636 .167
Sam McLaurin 36 20.7 3.8 3.4 0.4 0.3 0.7 0.8 .444 .585 .500
Myke Henry 35 10.6 3.2 2.1 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.7 .345 .708 .317
Mike LaTulip 16 2.4 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 .364 1.00 .333
Mike Shaw 14 3.6 0.9 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 .444 .500 .500
Kevin Berardini 10 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 .000 .833 .000
Devin Langford 22 4.3 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 .364 .200 1.00
Ibby Djimde 11 1.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 .500 .000 .000
5 - 26/14 Egwu/McLaurin............... vs. 25/15 Mav/Finke (or Black)
4 - 22/7/? Griffey/McLaurin/Henry... vs. 25/10/5? Black/Finke/Hill?/Kipper
2/3 - 34/23/22/ DJ/Bertrand/Paul.. vs. ? - 35/35/24/ Hill/Nunn/JCL/AJ/DJ
1 - 29/10 Tracy/Paul................... vs. ? Tracy/TJL/Tate/Hill
My concern when you look at it this way, we are likely significantly down at 1 & 5, roughly a wash at 2-4 (assuming Black is back & healthy). We quickly run out of minutes at 2/3 where next year's team looks better on the bench, so we are likely stuck at playing wings out of position again, still questions on defense at 1,4,5, still will have our rebounding woes, and have no good back up plan if something happens to a big or they can't go 25 mpg. If you want to break down 2 - 3 further I probably give the 3 to 12/13 (& Paul) since Malcolm likely spends as much time at 1 & 4; the 2 position to next year's team since Nunn is more versatile than Richardson. If Tracy or TJL can equal Tracy back then, & we are able to bridge the defensive gap at 5 with improvement from our bigs and the addition of big that is ready to contribute, then I think our ceiling is that team.