There was an article in The Athletic last month which researched and reported that over 70% of Top 50 quarterbacks now transfer from their original school. Here’s the summary: “Based on these recent classes, if a top-50 QB signee doesn’t start one game in his first two years on campus, there’s an 87 percent chance he’ll end up leaving the program. But among the quarterbacks who did earn a start in their first two years, more than 60 percent still ended up transferring during their careers.”
So, I don’t really worry anymore if we miss on a top HS QB target; it’s more likely than not that he, or others who are better and more mature, will be available through the portal.