The staff is shifting their attention to 2027 preps, so let's take a look back at the 2026 class with the recruiting review. This class is uniformly viewed as the best Illinois prep class since at least 2009, but how good is it compared to previous prep recruiting? Let's take a look!
Lots of (reasonable) discussion about the value of recruiting rankings, so consider that as you consider some of these data points. Also, this is why there is a strong emphasis placed on (a) # of offers and (b) # of P5 offers for each recruit and each class. Here are the numbers:
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A couple data descriptors to make:
- Special teamers are not included in here (rankings are useless there, offers are close to useless)
- Any players that are not evaluated at all (certain JuCos, late class adds) are not included unless/until they are rated
- Median rankings were used to avoid awkward weighting issues with class size (e.g., if you have a 12-person class and one is the 5th ranked prospect)
- One change I made for this class was I didn't change the rankings of prospects from the moment they committed to Illinois (for the Illinois commits tank their ranking group). Only person that changed was Barnett because he de-committed, but was re-locked when he re-committed.
You can see the sizable jumps in this chart that are reactive to the improvement of the on-field performance. The 2026 jump is especially noteworthy because jumping from an average of 5 offers (per recruit) to 10 is a huge improvement but an attainable one because there is a large pool of recruits that receive ~10 offers, but jumping up to 15-17 is a much smaller pool. A couple context points
- The average 2026 recruit has 11 other P5 offers (beyond Illinois). The entire 2022 Illinois recruiting class has 48 offers from other P5 programs.
- Other context, there are 65 other P5 programs. The program went from 0.5 other P5 offers for their recruits to 11.
- I'm still running the numbers for other B1G programs, but I want to compare Illinois' 2026 recruiting success to previous B1G success. Nebraska had the 22nd best class in 2025 with 14 (!) 4-stars. They had an average of 17 offers and 12 P5 offers for their class.
- All the more impressive with this class having 29 recruits. This isn't "greasing" the numbers through small volume. This is high volume
and high quality.