Pat Embleton is the GM and responsible for all recruiting including transfers. The there are 2 or 3 people on staff - all they work on is the transfer portal 12 months a year. We will hear from them when something is going to happen. Illinois is typified as a "developmental program" meaning they can get the players that don't start at Ole Miss, Georgia or Florida state or who are dominant at Grambling or non P-4 schools into a position to play in the NFL. "We've done it before..." We ran the numbers (i.e. correlation to wins vs. recruiting rankings) and prior to the 2021 there was a correlation to 9+ win seasons and number of 5 - star high school recruits. But that correlation is barely statisitically significant in 2025.
Based on the three years of data we have, there is 0 (zero) positive correlation to transfer rankings and team wins. Candidly I need more data but we are well over 5,000 players at this point.
We also tried to find a way to get PFF grades (how existing players actually performed) impacted their new teams. We have used every AI tool we have. Can't get enough data.
One positive I am noting is where Illini players are now transferring to (the schools). That is really helpful as a recruiting tool. "If if doesn't work out, we can help you transfer to a school that is a better fit."
Now with all that said, other than McCollum, the players leaving aren't all that good (PFF wise) and we've seen them play. Given that there is only one portal period and players that haven't transferred yet are for the most part back in classes, we wont see much in terms of news for a bit.
The staff hasn't changed its focus. They question we need to answer - has our D been less competitive over the past 3 years owing to coaching, players or both. The confusing part for me is how can our players be transferring to better schools, when their actual performance on the field isn't so great? How can the coaches be helping them find spots at West Virginia, MSU and Purdue, when those players weren't great performers?
I don't think Xaver Scott or Matt Baily returns to Illinois if there wasn't some kind of plan in place.