Too shortWe didn’t want him anyway?
This assumes we get literally no improvement from our returning players and that our two freshman guards do not meaningfully contribute.So we are going to downgrade at the guard spot and be top 5?! How does that make sense?
Sorry but not realistic.I personally want another proven guard. I think that may be considered overkill but this is the time to strike! one of the biggest mistakes we made after 05 was not being able to push all in. Underwood certainly isn't Webber and has the ability to recruit at the highest level.
if not Blackwell, maybe we get McNeil or Terrance Hill. I trust the staff either way they have proven it but would love to have our stud freshman in the McKenney/cason role off the bench like Michigan did last year.
This team should be better. Mirk year 2 should be better than Mirk year 1. Andrej year 2 in our system and with full summer of Fletch should be better than last year. Tomi had a rough year this year so in theory he should be better. Z should also be better. Jake will be Jake. A sophomore Vaaks should be better than a Freshman Vaaks on a crap team. Will Vaaks be able to produce the same numbers as Keaton? Gonna have to wait and see on that one, but probably a small step down is likely. If we go with the freshman to replace Kylan, I think we improve greatly on offense, but lose a bit on defense. Overall this team should be better than last year's team and at the very least, equal to it. That puts this team at top 5 for sure and looking at everyone else right now, we are probably are anywhere from preseason #1 to #3.So, here’s my take if this is our final roster:
Do I think this team is BETTER than last year? Just guy for guy, which team is better… no. I think it’s a slightly less talented team (but not by that much) with what you’re losing in the backcourt.
HOWEVER, and this is a very big however:
Other top teams will be losing their best players. We were a final 4 team last season, and finished 5th in the AP… and returning all of our “returnable” core.
I’ve seen the argument that we’re going “lateral” so how are we better, higher ranked, and have a better season? The answer is exactly that. We’re going lateral with a F4 team while other teams are DOWNGRADING. So, if we’re ranked top 5 preseason or whatever it ends up being… it will be completely justified.
Whether you replicate — or even top your success from a year ago — has no bearing on last year… but where you are THIS year. Bringing back a core that finished as a top 5 team — while other teams lose talent — is an awfully good formula.
We were a top ten team last year and have everyone coming back with two incredible freshman guards and one incredible transfer? Vaaks can literally play PG and so can Mirk. Theres only one ball everyoneSo we are going to downgrade at the guard spot and be top 5?! How does that make sense?
As awesome as the Final Four is, we also need to be realistic. If we switched places with Michigan State, we would have been out in the Sweet 16, and they played UCONN better than we did. Had we switched places with Purdue, we would have been out in the Elite 8.So, here’s my take if this is our final roster:
Do I think this team is BETTER than last year? Just guy for guy, which team is better… no. I think it’s a slightly less talented team (but not by that much) with what you’re losing in the backcourt.
HOWEVER, and this is a very big however:
Other top teams will be losing their best players. We were a final 4 team last season, and finished 5th in the AP… and returning all of our “returnable” core.
I’ve seen the argument that we’re going “lateral” so how are we better, higher ranked, and have a better season? The answer is exactly that. We’re going lateral with a F4 team while other teams are DOWNGRADING. So, if we’re ranked top 5 preseason or whatever it ends up being… it will be completely justified.
Whether you replicate — or even top your success from a year ago — has no bearing on last year… but where you are THIS year. Bringing back a core that finished as a top 5 team — while other teams lose talent — is an awfully good formula.
I think you're overestimatingI think you’re underestimating how much better players can jump year to year at this age and also comparing a finished product team in April with defined roles and development to now.
Keaton in October is not the same Keaton in April.
Look at Ben year 2 vs year 1
There's so many things that are wrong here, not sure where to start.Well that would stink. There was a sizeable step down from Michigan, Arizona, and Duke to the next tier this year. At present we are worse off than last year. Maybe we get a jump in play from all major contributors but that is asking a lot. You would also need Coleman to basically be a top 3 pick instead of Waglers 3 to 7 to improve.
Maybe we will get lucky and the top 3 teams just won't be as good this year. Maybe we will get another very favorable path to the final four. Maybe everyone will be healthy and play better together down the stretch.
Thats a whole lot of maybes. As constructed last year's team would beat this year's team right now.
Ill still enjoy the season like always, but it had a chance to be a special one. Feels like we are tackling the last season before a rebuild 1 stud short.
So, here’s my take if this is our final roster:
Do I think this team is BETTER than last year? Just guy for guy, which team is better… no. I think it’s a slightly less talented team (but not by that much) with what you’re losing in the backcourt.
Well, here are the two rosters:I think you’re underestimating how much better players can jump year to year at this age and also comparing a finished product team in April with defined roles and development to now.
Keaton in October is not the same Keaton in April.
Look at Ben year 2 vs year 1
I agree here, I think players can make a jump but having one more “it” guy would be huge to put us in the upper echelon. I worry with huge portal and recruiting class teams building via spending like Indiana, Louisville, and Mizzou; though coach and culture of Illinois will be far superior. Many of the great teams last year are (likely) losing players, which helps.Well that would stink. There was a sizeable step down from Michigan, Arizona, and Duke to the next tier this year. At present we are worse off than last year. Maybe we get a jump in play from all major contributors but that is asking a lot. You would also need Coleman to basically be a top 3 pick instead of Waglers 3 to 7 to improve.
Maybe we will get lucky and the top 3 teams just won't be as good this year. Maybe we will get another very favorable path to the final four. Maybe everyone will be healthy and play better together down the stretch.
Thats a whole lot of maybes. As constructed last year's team would beat this year's team right now.
Ill still enjoy the season like always, but it had a chance to be a special one. Feels like we are tackling the last season before a rebuild 1 stud short.
Get on the Jalen Cox bandwagon. I hope we get him.Don't expect Blackwell at this point.
This is a top five team already.
I still think at some point they are going to add one more, either a guard or four.
Your points are valid, but the concern stems from us wanting Blackwell to begin with. Our staff likely knew where they stood with guys coming back and newcomers, yet they still want Blackwell. What leads them to believe Blackwell is needed for this roster? And why wouldn't we need to replace a guy we wanted? This would be like the Bears making a major push for Maxx Crosby to become Super Bowl favorites. Then missing out on him before saying "we don't need a good rusher anymore."There's so many things that are wrong here, not sure where to start.
1) Look around the country. There are not going to be five teams with a better roster than Illinois. There are blue bloods with three to five players total on their roster as we stand with not much runway to add.
2) A lot of people in here said the team before the season started last year was not going to be very good or was super flawed. Illinois just returned 3 guys would would have been TOP FIVE portal players. They also just added a five star level freshman and maybe the best possible (top 15 transfer) portal guard fit for their system.
Quentin Coleman does not need to be as good or better than Wagler to have a better team than last year. Tomi (knock on wood) will be healthier. Mirk DID NOT EVEN GET AN OFFSEASON last year. Imagine what he is going to look like with another seven months working with Fletch. Andrej is likely to make a leap in year two.
Also, Lucas Morillo is getting massively overlooked here. They think Ethan Brown can contribute as well as a depth add. Depending on if Lee sticks around or they add a veteran guard to replace him, that's more depth than you had there this past season.
QC, Vaaks, Drej, Mirkovic, Tomislav, Jake, Big Z, Morillo, Lee (add if he goes), Brown.
That is one of the best rosters in the country next season and can win a title.
Seldom does a player at this level fail to improve considerably from year to year. Actually...almost never. However, they need to be used in a manner that it shows.Hoping TSJ type second year jump.
Vaaks/Coleman is at least = to Boz/Wagler. Much better 3pt shooting on paper.Well, here are the two rosters:
Keaton / Kylan / AS / Mirk / Tomi. Bench: Jake / Ben / Z
Vs
Vaaks / Coleman / AS / Mirk / Tomi. Bench: Jake / Morillo / Z.
If I had to bet, Morillo would be a slight downgrade from Ben — though it could be a wash by the end. However, I don’t think the backcourt is as potent as last year (especially if it’s pre injury Kylan we’re talking about).
The returners should make a year 2 jump no question — which would definitely bridge the gap in the backcourt from a year ago. It’s why I said “slightly” as it’s close.
However, the guy for guy perspective has zero to do with our success being better or worse. It’s where you are in the current landscape of all other teams that matters. Michigan will be losing guys, Purdue will be losing guys, MSU etc etc.
It’s the main thing I tried to outline in that post.
I'm not disagreeing with anything you are saying. if that's the roster as is, I'm as excited going into next year at I have been in 20 years and totally agree that's a top 5 team right now.There's so many things that are wrong here, not sure where to start.
1) Look around the country. There are not going to be five teams with a better roster than Illinois. There are blue bloods with three to five players total on their roster as we stand with not much runway to add.
2) A lot of people in here said the team before the season started last year was not going to be very good or was super flawed. Illinois just returned 3 guys would would have been TOP FIVE portal players. They also just added a five star level freshman and maybe the best possible (top 15 transfer) portal guard fit for their system.
Quentin Coleman does not need to be as good or better than Wagler to have a better team than last year. Tomi (knock on wood) will be healthier. Mirk DID NOT EVEN GET AN OFFSEASON last year. Imagine what he is going to look like with another seven months working with Fletch. Andrej is likely to make a leap in year two.
Also, Lucas Morillo is getting massively overlooked here. They think Ethan Brown can contribute as well as a depth add. Depending on if Lee sticks around or they add a veteran guard to replace him, that's more depth than you had there this past season.
QC, Vaaks, Drej, Mirkovic, Tomislav, Jake, Big Z, Morillo, Lee (add if he goes), Brown.
That is one of the best rosters in the country next season and can win a title.
The thing i feel will happen is that Vaaks will be one of the top 3pt shooters in the country. The shots he had and took last season were much more difficult and at a very high number. In this system with our core the quality of shots he takes should be much better. The departure of Bam on D may be missed but one thing i think Coleman will do is shoot the ball much better than Bam did. I feel like our offense will have much better shooting from 3 and that is saying something. I know Keaton shot it over 40% but i think Vaaks can shoot much much better than 35% here with this group and AC will too. I hope Mirk just can stay around his 38% mark or do even better. If we have 3 starters around or even better than 40% with Jake off the bench then look out. I honestly think Vaaks and AC could both be over 40% from 3.There's so many things that are wrong here, not sure where to start.
1) Look around the country. There are not going to be five teams with a better roster than Illinois. There are blue bloods with three to five players total on their roster as we stand with not much runway to add.
2) A lot of people in here said the team before the season started last year was not going to be very good or was super flawed. Illinois just returned 3 guys would would have been TOP FIVE portal players. They also just added a five star level freshman and maybe the best possible (top 15 transfer) portal guard fit for their system.
Quentin Coleman does not need to be as good or better than Wagler to have a better team than last year. Tomi (knock on wood) will be healthier. Mirk DID NOT EVEN GET AN OFFSEASON last year. Imagine what he is going to look like with another seven months working with Fletch. Andrej is likely to make a leap in year two.
Also, Lucas Morillo is getting massively overlooked here. They think Ethan Brown can contribute as well as a depth add. Depending on if Lee sticks around or they add a veteran guard to replace him, that's more depth than you had there this past season.
QC, Vaaks, Drej, Mirkovic, Tomislav, Jake, Big Z, Morillo, Lee (add if he goes), Brown.
That is one of the best rosters in the country next season and can win a title.
What I am saying is that we were lacking a piece last year to jump into that top tier. We were in the next year down from the top teams.Arizona and Duke? Those teams lost a lot more than we did. Even Michigan will too. All of them have a lot more question marks right now than us.
I don’t think you truly know if teams you’re comparing us to are gonna be better or worse vs this year because of those gains and construction unless all you’re speaking to is our preseason rank (which I get if that’s the exercise)Well, here are the two rosters:
Keaton / Kylan / AS / Mirk / Tomi. Bench: Jake / Ben / Z
Vs
Vaaks / Coleman / AS / Mirk / Tomi. Bench: Jake / Morillo / Z.
If I had to bet, Morillo would be a slight downgrade from Ben — though it could be a wash by the end. However, I don’t think the backcourt is as potent as last year (especially if it’s pre injury Kylan we’re talking about).
The returners should make a year 2 jump no question — which would definitely bridge the gap in the backcourt from a year ago to make it close. It’s why I said “slightly.”
However, the guy for guy perspective has zero to do with our success being better or worse. It’s where you are in the current landscape of all other teams that matters. Michigan will be losing guys, Purdue will be losing guys, MSU etc etc.
It’s the main thing I tried to outline in that post.
It's wild that we are consistently beating Wisconsin out for their states top recruits.The Wisconsin Mr. Basketball is like the 9th or 10th man in our rotation right now.
This is the greatest timeline.![]()
Team will be good but definitely not final four good with out Blackwell