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Jordan Goodwin commits to SLU
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<blockquote data-quote="The Pontiff" data-source="post: 1226904" data-attributes="member: 11046"><p>Good question. If JGood ends up being ranked in that range and at SLU, he'll be somewhat of a rarity. Looking at Rivals' rankings (since I just happen to have that data and not RSCI handy) for guys ranked 45-65 in the 2008-2011 classes, here's what one finds...</p><p></p><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Of the 84 players in this data set, 77 ended up attending a P5 or a similarly prominent program, specifically Memphis or UNLV, with only 7 attending a smaller school or a JC/D3 program.</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Of the 7 smaller school players, 1 was drafted and played in the NBA, Kawhi Leonard, San Diego St. (I debated whether SDSU was also prominent enough but didn't think it had the history of Memphis or UNLV.)</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Of the 77 larger school players, 11 were drafted and 16 (21%) ended up playing in the NBA, with easily Klay Thompson as the most notable. But while most of these kids didn't get to the NBA, almost 70% did end up being starters for their school with 18% of them starting as true freshman. (Starting = starting for more than half of the games played.)</li> </ul><p>As mentioned, it's fairly rare for kids rated in this range to not go to a more prominent P5-type school. But because of this small sample size for the non-P5ish players, one can't really extrapolate too much beyond that, as 1 out of 7 getting to the NBA is probably too generous. Would need to go back possibly into the 90s to get enough of a population. </p><p></p><p>By the way, the 2012 class and later have too many guys still playing in college, so those years couldn't be included in the analysis.</p><p></p><p>Go <img src="/inc/shield.gif" class="smilie" loading="lazy" alt=":shield:" title="Shield :shield:" data-shortname=":shield:" /></p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="The Pontiff, post: 1226904, member: 11046"] Good question. If JGood ends up being ranked in that range and at SLU, he'll be somewhat of a rarity. Looking at Rivals' rankings (since I just happen to have that data and not RSCI handy) for guys ranked 45-65 in the 2008-2011 classes, here's what one finds... [LIST] [*]Of the 84 players in this data set, 77 ended up attending a P5 or a similarly prominent program, specifically Memphis or UNLV, with only 7 attending a smaller school or a JC/D3 program. [*]Of the 7 smaller school players, 1 was drafted and played in the NBA, Kawhi Leonard, San Diego St. (I debated whether SDSU was also prominent enough but didn't think it had the history of Memphis or UNLV.) [*]Of the 77 larger school players, 11 were drafted and 16 (21%) ended up playing in the NBA, with easily Klay Thompson as the most notable. But while most of these kids didn't get to the NBA, almost 70% did end up being starters for their school with 18% of them starting as true freshman. (Starting = starting for more than half of the games played.) [/LIST] As mentioned, it's fairly rare for kids rated in this range to not go to a more prominent P5-type school. But because of this small sample size for the non-P5ish players, one can't really extrapolate too much beyond that, as 1 out of 7 getting to the NBA is probably too generous. Would need to go back possibly into the 90s to get enough of a population. By the way, the 2012 class and later have too many guys still playing in college, so those years couldn't be included in the analysis. Go :shield: [/QUOTE]
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