I hope I'm wrong. I'm happy to eat crow on this one. But reading some of the stuff Kofi has said about OA, it honestly doesn't feel like this is 100% about NIL $. If it were I think it'd be easier to sell him on coming back. It kind of seems like he's not interested in coming back without OA here.
It certainly may be about more than just the NIL dollars. I don't have any insider information and I don't know Kofi or anyone connected with him. I am just saying that this situation is so new that we really don't have a good sense of what is going to be the new normal, and this early in the process, many people will come to different conclusions until some general trends start to emerge.
Otherwise, if the OA situation is the main factor, I think it might be a half empty vs. half full situation (at least related to the relatively little information we all have available). Maybe he's not interested in coming back without OA. Or perhaps he's just not 100% sold on coming back without OA.
No one really knows but Kofi and his confidants. Even the insiders here are only able to relay what they hear from program insiders, and those opinions will, more often than not, have an orange and blue tint to them.