We over emphasize the importance of each game. But Illini will shock us tomorrow with a 13 point win. And I’m there tomorrow and ready with my Larry Nassar counter-chants. Who’s with me?
I spit this out last evening at the end of a long day. The follow-on is that, as our brother @Piotyr helpfully notes regularly via his EM postings on the BT (https://www.illinoisloyalty.com/post/games-thread.33610/post-2011617) what matters is our pts per possession (PPP) compared with our opponents' points per possession and the net efficiency measure (EM.)My criticism the past month is that, while our shooting has seemed fairly solid (all those missed bunnies and finishes at the hole aside) our defense has not, and we've allowed opponents to shoot well.
Did a quick calc of the eFG% the past several games. The Maryland game was our only poor shooting performance (IU wasn't great, either). Yet only Rutgers, which has by far the worst offense in the BT, fared poorly shooting against us. We're playing soft D and that's what worries me for March.
ILL 48% NEB 51%
ILL 58% OSU 53%
ILL 43% IU 46%
ILL 48% NW 63%
ILL 56% RUT 40%
ILL 53% MICH 50%
ILL 38% MD 49%
Play D like we were earlier in the season and that's plenty good enough to win a ton of gamesWe're shooting just over 46% overall and 34% from three. Not terrible, but not particularly great.
Yep, this team hasn't come close to peaking yet, IMOStill a ways to go to reach our ceiling, which we will eventually hit. I truly believe that.
I know MSU is at home and desperate and the Illini only won by 3 at home...but TSJ was gone. Doesn't that change the dynamics of match ups? What position is MSU better?MSU opens as a 2.5 favorite.
The thing Illinois does at an elite level offensively is shot volume. Even when they aren't shooting well, they're such a good rebounding team that they get multiple chances per offensive trip.I spit this out last evening at the end of a long day. The follow-on is that, as our brother @Piotyr helpfully notes regularly via his EM postings on the BT (https://www.illinoisloyalty.com/post/games-thread.33610/post-2011617) what matters is our pts per possession (PPP) compared with our opponents' points per possession and the net efficiency measure (EM.)
On that matter, we're doing well, which apparently overcomes our poor shooting defense for now. For now, he said, with hope in his heart.
View attachment 30977
Kenpom has us a 1.5 pt dogs… Vegas isn’t so far off.Unless someone being out we are getting punked by Vegas +3
Not good...
But we control our Narrative
It’s seems like a ridiculous play unless you are setting a pick.But it takes time for the offensive players to get into that space when they begin out-of-bounds on the baseline. The inbounder has five seconds to get the ball in. If players are stacked parallel to the upper portion of the paint, they are in space within one second of breaking, and can set picks quickly or disperse. If they start on the baseline, they use up at least two seconds getting to a position where the ball can reach them, maybe 3. The time limit in itself makes it completely dissimilar to football. Seems to me that it's much less useful, and much more likely to fail.
@illini0440, thanks for the Yahoo article. I skimmed it quickly. Will go back and read it thoroughly when I have time.
crystal ball meth. even though it was nerve racking, I'll keep the win at MdWhat is CBS smoking?View attachment 30980
Nice chart. The MSU game is very important. Would love to see a win up there; let's put more daylight between us and the Badgers.I spit this out last evening at the end of a long day. The follow-on is that, as our brother @Piotyr helpfully notes regularly via his EM postings on the BT (https://www.illinoisloyalty.com/post/games-thread.33610/post-2011617) what matters is our pts per possession (PPP) compared with our opponents' points per possession and the net efficiency measure (EM.)
On that matter, we're doing well, which apparently overcomes our poor shooting defense for now. For now, he said, with hope in his heart.
View attachment 30977
FIFYMaybe the long break between games will allow players to shoot a lot and get right while BU and team scheme some new offense. We are bigger at every position besides center but Mady Slug-Face-O doesn’t scare me.
Very True. I'm still mad about the swinging karate chop/punch that connected on Ayo a few years back.I've seen this one before. A 5 loss Illinois team travels to East Lansing in February to face a 9 loss MSU team fighting for their tournament lives. Hope we wear helmets.
I checked my carbon monoxide detector after reading this CBS article. Turns out it's just Gary Pear who's brain-dead. He and the CBS staff clearly don't know anything about Illinois basketball, nor do they care to. Whatta joke lolWhat is CBS smoking?View attachment 30980
I feel like their players play well some games, others fade, but in different games; inconsistent. Which might be why they Sometimes they blow out opponents, other times they lose a head scratcher.I think MSU is pretty bad. If we rebound, make layups & get back in transition we should win this one. We own their senior class.
Haha exactly what I was alluding to. The circumstances around that game were uncannily similar to this one.Very True. I'm still mad about the swinging karate chop/punch that connected on Ayo a few years back.
Very True. I'm still mad about the swinging karate chop/punch that connected on Ayo a few years back.
They mixed us up with Sparty. They're 1-5 in road games with the only win by two in College Park.What is CBS smoking?View attachment 30980