The data would tell otherwise more recently.
Illinois has been a top-tier home team in the Big Ten over the last four seasons, generally ranking in the top 3 to 4 in the conference for home-court winning percentage.
While teams like Purdue have had historic runs at home recently, Illinois’ consistency at the State Farm Center puts them ahead of traditional powers like Michigan State and Indiana over this specific four-year stretch.
Big Ten Home Record Comparison (2021–2025)
Approximate totals based on regular season home games.
| Team | Est. Home Record (Last 4 Seasons) | Home Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Purdue | 60–6 | 90.9% |
| Illinois | 56–12 | 82.4% |
| Michigan State | 53–14 | 79.1% |
| Indiana | 50–17 | 74.6% |
| Wisconsin | 48–18 | 72.7% |
How Illinois Compares
* The "Mackey" Factor: Purdue is the clear leader in this category. Their home-court dominance at Mackey Arena included a 26-game home winning streak that was only recently snapped in 2025.
* Elite Consistency: Illinois is one of the few teams in the conference that has not had a "down" year at home. Even in seasons where they struggled more on the road, they consistently won 75%+ of their games in Champaign.
* Attendance Impact: Illinois consistently ranks in the Top 10 nationally and Top 3 in the Big Ten for home attendance. In the 2024-25 season, they averaged over 15,000 fans per game, trailing only Indiana in total conference attendance.
* Toughness vs. Top Opponents: Since 2021, Illinois has been particularly effective at home against ranked Big Ten opponents, holding a winning record in those specific "quadrant 1" home matchups.
Current 2025-26 Context
As of late January 2026, the Illini are continuing this trend with a 9–1 start at home this season, keeping them neck-and-neck with Purdue and Michigan State for the best home record in the conference once again.
Appreciate compiling the stats, and this was an interesting read. My only two gripes would be these:
1) There is something to be said for the eye test. If a top 15 Illinois team goes 13-2 at home but wins a couple too-close-for-comfort games, loses its 2 biggest matchups of that season and plays just as well on the road as they do at home ... that IS evidence of a general lack of home court advantage. Which brings me to my second point.
2) A good team will win most of its games, and its record will necessarily be better at home than on the road, especially because of early season cupcake games. I would view a team's "home court advantage" in two chunks. A first part is totally subjective and has nothing to do with data ... we had our best crowd of the last several years for a 4-point loss to Arizona. The fact we lost doesn't mean it wasn't a huge home court advantage, Arizona simply overcame it. The second, more objective measure would be measuring how much better a team is at home than its away games.
So if we just look at Big Ten games (easiest to track and helps make this more apples to apples by ignoring cupcakes in the non-con), this would be the data since 2022. By the way, the totals aren't completely even due to some cancelled games.
Overall Big Ten Record
Purdue: 68-22 (.750)
Illinois: 59-29 (.670)
Michigan State: 56-31 (.644)
Wisconsin: 54-34 (.614)
Indiana: 44-44 (.500)
Big Ten Home Games Only
Purdue: 39-5 (.886)
Michigan State: 34-9 (.791)
Illinois: 34-10 (.773)
Wisconsin: 30-14 (.682)
Indiana: 28-16 (.636)
So we have the second best record but third best home record out of this group. However, this is what I would argue is interesting. First is how each of these teams rank by looking at how much better their home records are than their overall records. Second is the same thing but comparing it instead to non-home games.
Ratio of Home Winning Percentage to Overall Winning Percentage
Indiana: 27.3% better in home games
Michigan State: 22.8% better in home games
Purdue: 18.2% better in home games
Illinois: 15.3% better in home games
Wisconsin: 11.1% better in home games
Ratio of Home Winning Percentage to Non-Home Game Winning Percentage
Indiana: 75.0% better in home games
Michigan State: 58.1% better in home games
Purdue: 44.4% better in home games
Illinois: 36.0% better in home games
Wisconsin: 25.0% better in home games
Now, this isn't like explicitly bad news. If you have THAT much better of a record in your home games, it simply has to mean you are also losing a lot of road games to make the math work out ... in other words, we don't WANT to be in Indiana's position, haha. However, this does sort of confirm that we have been rather exceptional on the road over this stretch, so it is sort of frustrating to fans that dropping some surprise home games here and there are having surprisingly big effects as far as maybe dropping us down a seed line or eliminating us from contention in Big Ten title races. Fans understandably want to feel like the House of 'Paign isn't just a serviceable home court atmosphere where a good Illini team will most likely beat the probably-inferior opponent most of the time. We want our home court environment to provide such an edge that (A) surprise losses like Maryland 2022, PSU 2023, Maryland 2024, USC 2025, etc. are just way more rare than they have been and (B) we can more often get over the hump in some of these marquee matchups where we might otherwise be underdogs like Purdue in 2022 and 2024.
TL;DR
Yes, we have had a good record at home ... but I would argue that is because we have just had good basketball teams, not because the House of 'Paign is elevating our prospects of a win night in and night out. In other words, we have mostly been good everywhere, and playing at SFC rarely seems to give our fans "extra" confidence. SFC is also just simply not passing the smell test for being an intimidating or cool atmosphere lately.
EDIT: Sorry
@Dan, I had started typing all of this before there was a dedicated SFC thread!