Pregame: Illinois vs Purdue, Saturday, October 12th, 2:30pm CT, FS1

Status
Not open for further replies.
#351      
Based who was hired that next cycle, looks like we could have been choosing from P.J. Fleck, Luke Fickell, Matt Rhule, or Jeff Brohm... Maybe even Lane Kiffin...
Would we though? How many actually would have been interested in the Illini job at that time? The program search years before could only muster a Tim Beckman (and the program sank even further since that time); it is possible, and even likely, that Illinois would have been shutout from all of those options.
 
#352      
Updated Sellout Watch for Purdue:
I'm a little surprised we're not a bit further along given the buzz around the program and the extra time to buy tickets. I suppose most people are getting their tickets to the Michigan game if they are wanting to come out to a single game in the next few weeks.

The tracker is showing just over 51,000 sold, but in comparing it section-by-section with the Central Michigan tracker, it appears the Purdue game has sold slightly more tickets in most sections. The exception there being the Horseshoe which was sold out for Central Michigan and still has 167 tickets still showing available for the Purdue game.

At this point, I'm confident attendance will exceed Central Michigan (51,498), but not sure 55,000 is in the cards.

View attachment 36670
What’s the link for the sell out tracker?
 
#353      
Would we though? How many actually would have been interested in the Illini job at that time? The program search years before could only muster a Tim Beckman (and the program sank even further since that time); it is possible, and even likely, that Illinois would have been shutout from all of those options.
It's funny to kind of retroactively reapply some of those narratives to that period, because one thing the Lovie hire did was prove a lot of beliefs Illinois' own fans had about the job wrong.

A lot of those beliefs had always been nonsense, as I had spent years saying, but the level of money that was made available for Lovie & staff surprised even me.

The demonstration that the University was capable of caring about winning at sports, completely out of nowhere mere months after "not ideal" was mana from heaven, we were all just so pleasantly surprised by it all.
 
#354      
Power Sweep...
LLINOIS by 28 over Purdue - Purdue leads the series 48-46-6 and has won 7 of the last 8 while winning the last 6 in Champaign (4-2) since ‘12. Last time here (‘22), tied 21-21 4Q, Purdue held Illinois scorelss on 3 of their 4 4Q possesions to win 31-24 (+14) win as a DD away dog. Last year (E), Illinois had the slight yards edge 200-188 at H down 16-13 but gave up 3 td’s in 4 2H possesions again falling 44-19. Last week, Purdue (+11’) was a DD dog for the second straight week and was outgained 589-216, were shutout while being outscored 31-0 in the 2H, losing 52-6. Illinois is coming off a bye and two wks ago lost to Penn St 21-7, HC Bielema is 39-29-2 ATS off a SU loss. Purdue is playing their 3rd road game in 4 weeks and are allowing 504.3 YPG in FBS play we will go with the Illini by 4 td’s!
 
#355      
A lot of those beliefs had always been nonsense, as I had spent years saying, but the level of money that was made available for Lovie & staff surprised even me.

The demonstration that the University was capable of caring about winning at sports, completely out of nowhere mere months after "not ideal" was mana from heaven, we were all just so pleasantly surprised by it all.
Completely agree; which is why the Lovie hire was so important when it happened. It brought positive attention and press to the program, when it had been ridiculed in media and fanbase by the whole Beckman scandal and subsequent failure of administration to clean up the mess. The program was a literal dumpster fire when Whitman was hired.

This all coincided with donations flowing in (upgrades to facilities, etc.) and a general excitement to the fanbase (in a good way) -- we sold out the game vs North Carolina (not happening if Cubit was coach). The Lovie hire did not go the way we had all wished, but it did bring about positive developments in areas of need, which set up the building block for bringing in Coach B. Waiting an entire year of status quo or extending Cubit would have been a much worse outcome than what Whitman did in bringing in Lovie (which is why I find the hindsight argument so crazy).
 
Last edited:
#356      
Would we though? How many actually would have been interested in the Illini job at that time? The program search years before could only muster a Tim Beckman (and the program sank even further since that time); it is possible, and even likely, that Illinois would have been shutout from all of those options.
I mean, it's not impossible that any of these guys could have been interested in the job. Purdue was in an awful place too, and Jeff Brohm had more of a connection to Illinois than Purdue at the time. Matt Rhule was going from Temple to a Baylor program that was coming out of an awful scandal, and they had an awful first year. Luke Fickell was taking over a Cincinnati program that was nothing special at the time, and maybe he would have taken a bite at being a B1G head coach over a G5 coach. Maybe PJ Fleck was the hotness and went to a better off Minnesota program, but I mean he is an Illinois guy, so it could have happened. And as for Lane Kiffin, maybe he went to FAU for a reason where he could just run a program his way without any interference, and maybe Josh had no interest in bringing in a guy like Lane at that time. But still, you have to consider that maybe he could have accepted a job at a B1G school over FAU.

Would we have gotten pick of the litter? Probably not. Is there reason to think that we would have been the universal last choice of Minnesota, Purdue, Baylor, FAU, and Cincinnati in December 2016, I don't think so.
 
#357      
I mean, it's not impossible that any of these guys could have been interested in the job. Purdue was in an awful place too, and Jeff Brohm had more of a connection to Illinois than Purdue at the time. Matt Rhule was going from Temple to a Baylor program that was coming out of an awful scandal, and they had an awful first year. Luke Fickell was taking over a Cincinnati program that was nothing special at the time, and maybe he would have taken a bite at being a B1G head coach over a G5 coach. Maybe PJ Fleck was the hotness and went to a better off Minnesota program, but I mean he is an Illinois guy, so it could have happened. And as for Lane Kiffin, maybe he went to FAU for a reason where he could just run a program his way without any interference, and maybe Josh had no interest in bringing in a guy like Lane at that time. But still, you have to consider that maybe he could have accepted a job at a B1G school over FAU.

Would we have gotten pick of the litter? Probably not. Is there reason to think that we would have been the universal last choice of Minnesota, Purdue, Baylor, FAU, and Cincinnati in December 2016, I don't think so.

This. People would have thought about Fleck a LOT different if he ended up here, and Fleck has done well for Minnesota even if his schtick might not be well-versed for long exposure.

2016 Minnesota won 9 games! With a starting QB who had a 56.7% completion percentage and a 8/12 TD-to-INT ratio! And they fired their interim coach anyways!

They did have a big scandal off the field with 10+ football players involved in sexual assault investigation that was likely part of the UM admins' decision to start fresh with a new coaching staff.
 
#359      
This. People would have thought about Fleck a LOT different if he ended up here, and Fleck has done well for Minnesota even if his schtick might not be well-versed for long exposure.

2016 Minnesota won 9 games! With a starting QB who had a 56.7% completion percentage and a 8/12 TD-to-INT ratio! And they fired their interim coach anyways!

They did have a big scandal off the field with 10+ football players involved in sexual assault investigation that was likely part of the UM admins' decision to start fresh with a new coaching staff.
Minnesota went to five straight bowl games prior to Fleck, so Minnesota was definitely in better program shape at the time. He has kept the boat afloat and sailing for seven years now, but I suspect it is headed for a cliff soon. I personally did not like his schtick at Western Michigan, so I would have been highly disappointed if Illini got him as coach, but that is just me. He has proven able to win, but I am not sure if his persona would have met well here, and I have doubts that his schtick would actually be able to build up a power conference program that was in shambles like Illinois was.
 
Last edited:
#360      
Would we though? How many actually would have been interested in the Illini job at that time? The program search years before could only muster a Tim Beckman (and the program sank even further since that time); it is possible, and even likely, that Illinois would have been shutout from all of those options.
pretty sure Fleck would have taken it

not sure at all about the others
 
#366      
when " Coach Guenther " was here, he wanted all his coaches to look good in a blue blazer , starched white oxford shirt, orange-blue repp tie, and khakis.
He would have never hired a guy like BB or Kill
ECI bros (mafia)
 
#367      
All I gotta say is leave my name off the Lovie Smith thank you card. Guy sucked as a CFB coach and the product on the field was a massive embarrassment. Let's just celebrate Bret and his actual success rather than trying to retrofit silly narratives
 
#368      
Waiting an entire year of status quo or extending Cubit would have been a much worse outcome than what Whitman did in bringing in Lovie (which is why I find the hindsight argument so crazy).
I mean the counter-argument or different pathway for this would be if in December 2016 we hire a coach who brings somewhat less excitement (though I don't know how reasonable it is to assume that Whitman would make a hire that bummed people out in the moment, he's literally never done that), but who has the right plan to put the program on the right track, unlike Lovie are we further along the road right now because we didn't so badly waste 2017-18?

That's a possible outcome. Though Lovie did leave behind more talent than it initially appeared.

All's well that ends well, and there were benefits to the mid-March, Whitman Day 1 Lovie Revolution that go beyond just the field of play, but ignoring the reality of how badly conceived and badly executed it was on the field would be an improper calculation of the situation.

BEAT PURDUE
 
#371      
I mean the counter-argument or different pathway for this would be if in December 2016 we hire a coach who brings somewhat less excitement (though I don't know how reasonable it is to assume that Whitman would make a hire that bummed people out in the moment, he's literally never done that), but who has the right plan to put the program on the right track, unlike Lovie are we further along the road right now because we didn't so badly waste 2017-18?

That's a possible outcome. Though Lovie did leave behind more talent than it initially appeared.

All's well that ends well, and there were benefits to the mid-March, Whitman Day 1 Lovie Revolution that go beyond just the field of play, but ignoring the reality of how badly conceived and badly executed it was on the field would be an improper calculation of the situation.

BEAT PURDUE
No doubt Lovie failed at coaching Illinois (like nearly all recent head coaches here), and you will never see me sign a thank you note to Lovie, as the on-field results speak for themself.

With that said, the Fall of 2016 with new leadership and a new even-keeled head coach (with major name recognition) was much needed fresh air for the program at a time when perceptions of the program were in the dump from both the media and the general fanbase. It drew away much of the negative press, that was sure to remain if Cubit were still the coach. Would things have turned out differently had Whitman waited a year to make his hire? Maybe; but then he would have been obligated to either extend Cubit initially (to preserve any semblance of recruiting) or face a lot of pressure to ace a hire in the fall with the fanbase even more demoralized (hard to forget that basketball was also in rough shape at this time). What would have been even worse was if Cubit was maintained in 2016 and somehow went 6-6 without a contract extension. You would be firing a guy who made a bowl game, who would have also been handcuffed in recruiting (due to the "not ideal" contract he was given by the administration). The Lovie hire was the only reason why I held on to my season tickets in 2016, as I felt that the DIA was actually willing to compete.

I will never second-guess Whitman's shock announcement on 3/6/16. The excitement that many of us had, as well as the positive news coming from Champaign across nearly all media was much needed and took a lot of pressure off Whitman. This allowed Whitman to work his magic with donors, work on upgrading facilities, and really inject much needed investments into a football program that was lagging peers. From a results standpoint, Lovie's tenure was a complete failure (and should have ended a couple of years sooner), but it is hard to fault Whitman for the move he made as "badly conceived". He was literally placed in a terrible lose-lose situation with no good option at hand. My only gripe was that the Lovie Experiment lasted two seasons too long.

Here's to hoping that a Bielema statue gets erected 10-20 years from now and a return of the Cannon on Saturday night (and the Illibuck on Sat Dec 7)!
 
#373      
All I gotta say is leave my name off the Lovie Smith thank you card. Guy sucked as a CFB coach and the product on the field was a massive embarrassment. Let's just celebrate Bret and his actual success rather than trying to retrofit silly narratives
I dont think anybody is saying Lovie was a successful coach, but just because he was a failure that doesn’t necessarily mean it was a bad or wasted hire.
 
#374      
I hope none of our players or coaches is taking Purdue lightly; potential trap game there. I personally don't care if we win by 30 or by one. Just as long as we win. The time for worrying about Michigan is next week.
 
#375      
It drew away much of the negative press, that was sure to remain if Cubit were still the coach.
Sure, but the thing is, we can't forget how bad the situation got once again in November 2018 when we're losing 63-0 to Iowa on Senior Day.

Hypothetical Other Better Coach is making some progress by then. We had to wait three more years.

(Incidentally, that is the most points Iowa has scored since Hayden Fry poured 66 on Northern Iowa in 1997, featuring LB coach Bret Bielema)

(Okay more research, that's Iowa's most points and biggest win in a road conference game since winning 64-0 at 1981 Northwestern, very possibly the worst major college football team of all time.)
 
Last edited:
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back