Pregame: Illinois vs Rutgers, Saturday, November 1st, 11:00am CT, NBC

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#177      
Lol....ok...so I watch one of the absolute worst P5 football programs in the country go from a historic steaming pile of dairy cow sh@t to the CFP in consecutive years, and probably an undefeated season....and I raise my expectations for Illinois Football success....I've lost my mind!!!!

Bring on 8 win seasons every year!! YAY!!! We're Iowa!!

Can we call it Cignetti Derangment Syndrome?
maybe I'm deranged, but if we can replicate Iowa's success, I will be ecstatic
 
#179      
maybe I'm deranged, but if we can replicate Iowa's success, I will be ecstatic

Replicating Iowa's success means being competitive in our losses.

Look at how Iowa handled Indiana, heck look at how Michigan State handled Indiana!

Go watch the Maryland vs. Washington game from early October too. You're telling me we can't even be as competitive as MSU and MD against similar teams??

For the last time, if we hadn't been embarrassed in these two losses, the fan perspective would be much different right now.


I and many others would be ecstatic with 8-4 and competitive losses much like the 2022 season. Regardless of record, why have we regressed from there?
 
#180      
I also see a defense that is lifeless. Zero aggressiveness. Moving Jacas all over the line to create mismatches and playing the corners up to the line of scrimmage will help. We need to start blitzing more as we have nothing to lose at this point.
I watched Jacas for much of the game and could not believe that Henry didn’t even try to exploit him against Washington’s 2nd string LT and 3rd string TEs. Looked like he was instructed to simply contain.
 
#181      
To me, it’s not THAT we lost to Indiana, OSU and Washington, it’s the WAY we lost — with the defense getting gashed and looking completely not competitive. Three close, competitive losses still would have been a bummer, but aggravating in a much different way.

Bret preaches “smart/tough/dependable.” The defensive side of the ball hasn’t been that. Big problem.
 
#182      
We talk about recruiting and the portal quite a bit, but it seems we don't discuss returning/current player development as much as we should. Probably not suited to be its own thread, but I think it needs to be brought up because I'm just not seeing enough player development across the roster, particularly on the defensive side of the ball, to take the team to a higher winning level. It's disappointing given how many players we had coming back and now, 8 games in, so many of them seemed to have not taken another step in their development. Thoughts?
 
#183      
wild stuff. did we even average 8 wins a season in the 80s, our most successful decade since, what, leather helmets were the norm?

if we did, that should tell you something. if we didn't, that should tell you even more.
1981 to 1990 (which encompasses all but 2 of the Mike White & John Mackavic years) we had 68 wins, for an average of 6.8/season. That was the era of the 11-game regular season and potentially a bowl invitation.
 
#184      
We talk about recruiting and the portal quite a bit, but it seems we don't discuss returning/current player development as much as we should. Probably not suited to be its own thread, but I think it needs to be brought up because I'm just not seeing enough player development across the roster, particularly on the defensive side of the ball, to take the team to a higher winning level. It's disappointing given how many players we had coming back and now, 8 games in, so many of them seemed to have not taken another step in their development. Thoughts?
Is your comment intended to encompass the entirety of Bret's tenure in Champaign, or just the 8 games played so far this season?

If the former, I think your comment is inaccurate. If the latter, I tend to agree with your assertion --- but the 4-1/2 seasons trump the last 8 games. I think he's earned the benefit of the doubt.
 
#185      
1981 to 1990 (which encompasses all but 2 of the Mike White & John Mackovic years) we had 68 wins, for an average of 6.8/season. That was the era of the 11-game regular season and potentially a bowl invitation.
Laughing that we claimed that decade belonged to us, while averaging (less than) 7-4 seasons. Yet similar results today (8-4 Iowa-ish) some find lacking.
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#187      
maybe I'm deranged, but if we can replicate Iowa's success, I will be ecstatic
Wait, is the fan narrative we aren't satisfied with being Iowa now?

From 2001 to 2024, Iowa went 200-107 averaging 8.33 wins per season.
Over that same 24 year stretch, we went 122-169 averaging 5.08 wins per season.

Our literal average is missing a bowl game.

In that same stretch Iowa made 23 bowls (they missed just one bowl game in 24 years!)
And we made just 8 bowls (missing a bowl game altogether 16 out of 24 years).

Btw, Iowa's average is 8.3 wins per year, but they won 10 or more 8 times in the past 24 years. They won 10 or more as many times as we made bowl games!

And we aren't happy being Iowa!? What's going on here?
Dare To Dream GIF by Paula Baines

I think you can simultaneously be happy with the growth of the program & upset about how the season has gone

(For the record, I’m cool with being new Iowa & being in the running for the CFB Playoff every 2-3 years)
 
#188      
Replicating Iowa's success means being competitive in our losses.

Look at how Iowa handled Indiana, heck look at how Michigan State handled Indiana!

Go watch the Maryland vs. Washington game from early October too. You're telling me we can't even be as competitive as MSU and MD against similar teams??

For the last time, if we hadn't been embarrassed in these two losses, the fan perspective would be much different right now.


I and many others would be ecstatic with 8-4 and competitive losses much like the 2022 season. Regardless of record, why have we regressed from there?
I think it may be as simple as Midwest teams flying across the country to the West Coast don't often play that well. The same goes for our new conference members flying east. There are obvious exceptions like Oregon and Ohio State, which are power houses. Washington has had some trouble traveling these past two years. Look at USC, who I think is pretty good, got shoved around by the Illini and Notre Dame. I wasn't optimistic at all about Illinois winning last Saturday, I figured it would probably be by at least 10 points.
 
#189      
To me, it’s not THAT we lost to Indiana, OSU and Washington, it’s the WAY we lost — with the defense getting gashed and looking completely not competitive. Three close, competitive losses still would have been a bummer, but aggravating in a much different way.

Bret preaches “smart/tough/dependable.” The defensive side of the ball hasn’t been that. Big problem.
I didn't really think they got "gashed" by OSU, and I thought they matched their physicality, which was good. I'm with you that Indiana and Washington were very poor performances, which is stating the obvious.
 
#190      
The disappointment is more about what could have been. We have a QB with skills we haven't had in 25 years, and an offense that is averaging 32.9 points per game. You should win every game you score 33 points in.

Meanwhile, our defense is currently 89/136 NCAA, and 14/18 B1G teams in points per game allowed (27.5 pts.) and 85/136 NCAA and 16/18 B1G teams in yards per game allowed (381 ypg). Our defense is better than only Purdue and Rutgers in the B1G. That means three of the last four teams we will play have a better defense than ours, currently.

This could have been a very special year if we had a top 1/3rd B1G defense.
You say we should win every game you score 33 points in. That's what we have done this year, no?

Wins (all greater than 33)
52-3 Western
45-19 Duke
38-0 W Michigan
34-32 USC
43-27 Purdue

Losses (all much less than 33)
10-63 IU
16-34 OSU
25-42 UW
 
#191      
Replicating Iowa's success means being competitive in our losses.

Look at how Iowa handled Indiana, heck look at how Michigan State handled Indiana!

Go watch the Maryland vs. Washington game from early October too. You're telling me we can't even be as competitive as MSU and MD against similar teams??

For the last time, if we hadn't been embarrassed in these two losses, the fan perspective would be much different right now.


I and many others would be ecstatic with 8-4 and competitive losses much like the 2022 season. Regardless of record, why have we regressed from there?
Iowa lost 2 games to sub-.500 teams last year. We haven't lost to a team with a below .500 record in over 750 days.

We haven't lost a game as a favorite since the '23 season. We have won 5 games as underdogs in that time frame. That's incredible.

It is so awesome that we are in a spot some folks are griping about us relative to Iowa, or getting mad that we aren't better than the one team that has gone nuclear the last 2 years. What an awesome place we are in that those are the complaints vs. what we all have dealt with most of our lives. 😁
 
#192      
this is very simple, rush 5 and play man. If we lose because of it we lose but at least you aren't playing scared.

I honestly can't believe we are still playing zone, it doesn't even make sense at this point.
Doing this like75% of the time at least gives you a CHANCE. Make them beat you, don't fall back and take it as a given.
 
#195      
No, I want a championship. 8 wins a year wont cut it. If that is then bar, then we have a different idea on what the bar should be. I want to compete for the playoffs every year. We can do that but it will take Bret to change his philosophy of ball control slow running plays offense. We need a dynamic OC who will open the playbook and put pressure on the opposing D. A high energy DC who will rush more than 3 and who will play at bump and run defense in which we occasionally blitz. Henry is completely scared and play us a weak zone that a good HS team could figure out. We need a complete staff overhaul except for Stepp. Everyone else is expendable.
 
#196      
And your way of thinking is the old way and why Illinois will be in the Quick Lane Bowl in Detroit Tony The Tiger Sun bowl , or The Las Vegas Bowl in Bielema’s 5th year while Cignetti is in year 2 with a bunch of James Madison players in the Playoffs competing for a National Championship. I love Cignetti because he’s shaking things up and eliminating the we’re just happy with mediocrity. We are just happy with getting to a bowl game Illinois fans . I guess that’s why Indiana locked him down with a 93 million dollar contract. If you think Cignetti and Indiana are going anywhere then you’re greatly mistaken. You don’t go 19-2 in two years with a dumpster fire garbage irrelevant program like Indiana and disappear. Cignetti and Indiana are going to be thorn in the side of Purdue and Illinois especially. I respect Cignetti because Finally a coach that’s coaching and not crying about we can’t compete with Ohio State,Oregon Penn State, Michigan because we’re Indiana or Illinois
 
#197      
In the current 12-team CFP environment, Ferentz's Hawkeyes would have made the playoff in 2002, 2003, 2004, 2009, and 2015. They also would have possibly been in the CFP in 2019 (better team but not in B1G championship) and 2021 (worse team but in B1G championship.
 
#199      
For anyone saying “we aren’t meeting expectations!”, here were the expectations coming into this season:


A whole lot of 9-3 and 8-4s in those predictions, both of which are still on the table.

As disappointed as I am in the loss, we’ve done exactly as I (and many others) predicted so far this season:

View attachment 44496

https://www.illinoisloyalty.com/post/2025-season-predictions-thread.39342/post-2285642
Well apparently I liked this, so you still have my support! 🤣
 
#200      
I completely agree with the criticism of our defense. That being said I have complete faith in Bret.
I’m on board with this. I’ve spent the week talking Illini fans off the ledge.

At the same time, the defense clearly isn’t meeting expectations and changes likely need to be made on that side of the ball at the end of the season.
 
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