Pregame: Illinois vs Wisconsin, Friday, March 13th, 1:30pm CT, BTN
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Usually players seem to miraculously get better just in time to play us, lol. Just something I've noticed over the years.
4-4 in L8 is one way to frame it (without any context- overtime games vs tough opponents, players injured, other top teams with similar # of losses in same timeframe, etc)
As many have pointed out, most of the top 10-15 are taking on losses at a similar rate so there is some bigger picture aspect here
The shooting is in a rut though, have to get legs fresh and lock in (focus)
Fighter of the Nightman
- Chicago, IL
If anyone is looking for a silver lining, Wisconsin shoots 36.3% from three on the year compared to the Illini at 34.9%. This is Wisconsin's last 3 games...
44.7% at Washington (23.1% better)
48.2% vs. Maryland (32.8% better)
52.9% at Purdue (45.7% better)
---> Have not shot below their average in 3 games, since at Oregon on February 25
... and here are our last 3 games...
31.0% vs. Michigan (11.2% worse)
27.8% vs. Oregon (20.3% worse)
20.8% at Maryland (40.0% worse)
---> Have not shot above our average in 4 games, since at USC on February 18
Maybe, just maybe ... we get a bit of a reversion to the mean for both teams. I think if we shoot 34%+ from three and limit Wisconsin to below 36%, we will win tomorrow.
44.7% at Washington (23.1% better)
48.2% vs. Maryland (32.8% better)
52.9% at Purdue (45.7% better)
---> Have not shot below their average in 3 games, since at Oregon on February 25
... and here are our last 3 games...
31.0% vs. Michigan (11.2% worse)
27.8% vs. Oregon (20.3% worse)
20.8% at Maryland (40.0% worse)
---> Have not shot above our average in 4 games, since at USC on February 18
Maybe, just maybe ... we get a bit of a reversion to the mean for both teams. I think if we shoot 34%+ from three and limit Wisconsin to below 36%, we will win tomorrow.
i'm not feeling very much like we beat wisconsin but i'd love to be wrong.
They are currently using up all of their 3s....they'll surely run out of them for tomorrow /s
Chuck Nuggets
Dip your nuggets in my staff source sauce.
I look at tomorrow as a no-lose situation for Illinois.
A win is obviously good.
A loss gives this team a couple more days of what I believe is needed rest. Some small part of me prefers a loss. Based on what I have seen from this team, they are tired. Winning the BTT doesn't move them to a 1 seed. I think they're locked in at 2 no matter what.
A win is obviously good.
A loss gives this team a couple more days of what I believe is needed rest. Some small part of me prefers a loss. Based on what I have seen from this team, they are tired. Winning the BTT doesn't move them to a 1 seed. I think they're locked in at 2 no matter what.
We just cannot let both Boyd and Blackwell go off. Cannot be a 25 and 30 point game for them. Hold one of them under 20 and we can outscore them IF we hit a decent percentage of our threes.
This is precisely why I said earlier in the thread that we need to start the game attacking the rim repeatedly. Get some layups, draw some fouls, get the tourney nerves out, and eventually it will pay off with better looks from 3.
It also matters WHO takes our 3s. Right now it should be Keaton and Mirk getting the most looks. If Kylan and Stoj are shooting most of the 3s, we're in trouble.
Alright People, revenge tour starts tomorrow. Score 90 and we win. Badgers legs should start going out at half. I expect them to come out strong and eventually we pull away in the last 5 mintues of the game.
I don’t love this, lol
I assume then that Kylan and Stoj should attack the rim so Keaton and Mirk may hang around the arc. What about the fifth player, position for a rebound?
Dan
Admin
BTN (Jeff Levering, Don MacLean & Rick Pizzo)
4 Seed Illinois Opens Big Ten Tournament Friday at United Center - University of Illinois Athletics
Illini begin postseason run in Big Ten Tournament Quarterfinals.
fightingillini.com
My intent wasn't to create any lineup specifically. Obviously we are pretty much an 7/8 player rotation so fill it in however you like.
Please include Jake Davis.
I think some people have talked themselves into this Wisconsin team being on par with the 16-17’ Warriors and 95-96’ Bulls.
i replied to myself and added Jake....was too late to edit my original post
Go Illini. Drain the honey from the Badgers.
Fighter of the Nightman
- Chicago, IL
Our social media has seemed to always post pictures of our guys wearing the orange 1LL1NO1S uniforms in these types of pregame posts, likely because all of those photos were taken a long time ago and are easy to use, lol. I will choose to optimistically assume that we plan to rock the Navy Flyin' Illini uniforms tomorrow and let Wisconsin wear white or red, as they choose! Here's to hopin'!!
BTN (Jeff Levering, Don MacLean & Rick Pizzo)
4 Seed Illinois Opens Big Ten Tournament Friday at United Center - University of Illinois Athletics
Illini begin postseason run in Big Ten Tournament Quarterfinals.
Who would those people be? Andy Katz is a Wisconsin Alum and he sees the Badgers as a 4/5 seed. which if they beat us is a possibilty. Wisconsin is not a strong defensive or rebounding team.
When we played them in Champaign we used a 6 man rotation and we went 11-19 from the line. I will say it again - we are 3 missed FTs, a defensive box out and a lane violation away from being a 1 seed (27- 4 with 2 more quad 1 wins). Right now we are a 3 seed (according to Lunardi).
So tomorrow we get to see what we are made of. Regardless of the outcome, its been a great year for Illini men's basketball.
Ironically, not the national media lol.
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