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Recruiting Talent vs. Conference Standings
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<blockquote data-quote="FeelYourPaign" data-source="post: 1410044" data-attributes="member: 8127"><p>Obelix,</p><p>While I agree that factoring playing time into the analysis of how a team performed is valid, it seems to me that this somewhat ruins the predictive power of the exercise. I say "somewhat" because some of the playing time analysis reflects the decisions that the coach makes about who to play and who to sit, but some of the analysis excuses the coaches' inability to develop that talent and therefore sidestep that deficiency. </p><p></p><p>I suppose the question is whether you want a better fit of the talent / performance data to reality or whether you want a better predictive vision of what the past suggests about the future. In the first example (looking back with a better perspective), then playing time is appropriate. I would argue that in the other example (using the past to predict the future), playing time adjustments can cloud the analysis.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="FeelYourPaign, post: 1410044, member: 8127"] Obelix, While I agree that factoring playing time into the analysis of how a team performed is valid, it seems to me that this somewhat ruins the predictive power of the exercise. I say "somewhat" because some of the playing time analysis reflects the decisions that the coach makes about who to play and who to sit, but some of the analysis excuses the coaches' inability to develop that talent and therefore sidestep that deficiency. I suppose the question is whether you want a better fit of the talent / performance data to reality or whether you want a better predictive vision of what the past suggests about the future. In the first example (looking back with a better perspective), then playing time is appropriate. I would argue that in the other example (using the past to predict the future), playing time adjustments can cloud the analysis. [/QUOTE]
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Recruiting Talent vs. Conference Standings
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