The question overhanging Michigan is Yaxel's health. When assembling the field, do you assume he'll be full-strength or do you assume he's hobbled? Because those are two very different Michigans.
Week of 1/19 Bracketology
- Status
lstewart53x3
- Scottsdale, Arizona
Yeah, they have the most Q2 wins, but doesn’t the committee value Q1 wins more than Q2?
Either way, up to this point they’ve played just 1 Q1A game, but they have 8 remaining, so we’ll find out soon enough if they’re as good as their metrics suggest:
Q1 is more significant, but Q2 wins are a factor as a "tourney-quality wins" factor. Plus the way they won most of those games was eye opening and efficiency-setting. From the beginning of the season through Jan 2, Michigan was the #1 efficient team by a mile with the #2 resume. Since then, they've been the 13th best team by efficiency. Effectively it takes them back to the pack overall, as they're still #1 efficiency everywhere (though they did just drop to #2 on KP today since AZ won by 30)
the whole season counts so I hear what you are saying. I do think they will need to bump up the resume soon to match their metrics. I'm curious if they can because if you can make their bigs guard the perimeter they are mortal in defense. Nebraska, Michigan State and Illinois will make you pay for that.
We jumped to #6 in NET. Here's what the top 10 looks like right now.
Sounds like an easy way to game the system to me. Just schedule a bunch of low tier Q2s and avoid Q1s, esp ranked Q1s, and get a 1 seed. Beating a bunch of Out of conference Q2s is not impressive.
Maybe their efficiency is boosted by playing so few Q4.
Gonzaga: 18 of their 22 games are non-Q1s (13 of them Q3/4... Miami-OH has 14 for comparison)
Imagine playing the Washington Generals every game and being 4th in NET
Maybe the algorithm needs some adjusting lol
lstewart53x3
- Scottsdale, Arizona
I will say that Gonzaga still has to prove it with resume. Last year they finished the season #8 in KenPom (and #7 in NET) and they were the only team in the top 27 to get lower than a 7 seed:
Attachments
Delete
But when they do play better teams they do well, and generally their performance in the NCAA tournament aligns with their seed. Also the formula does adjust for strength of schedule, there is a reason that they are only 9th in Kenpom even though they have only lost once. They are higher in the NET because they are 10-1 in road/neutral games.
They don't always do well when they play better teams. They lost to Michigan by 40. Being 9th in KP just lines right up with me questioning why they're ranked so highly in NET.
. . . and six games against the Top Ten. Very impressive.
I have to believe Texas Tech is very close to #10, so make it 7 games with a present 2 - 2 record.
on3 moved us to a 2 seed facing the winninger of Kentucky and New Mexico with ETSU in round 1.
Fansided still has us at 3, but winner of Lville and SDSU with ETSU also the first opponent.
And i think id rather be the 3-seed given those two options hah. Really is a matchup tournament
Fansided still has us at 3, but winner of Lville and SDSU with ETSU also the first opponent.
And i think id rather be the 3-seed given those two options hah. Really is a matchup tournament
Apparently the selection committee will release their top 16 ranking on Saturday the 14th of March.. day before the full selection show… isn’t this typically out early to mid February?
What’s wrong with him?
Source?
NET has been oddly stubborn on Texas Tech
very odd. they beat houston and dropped a spot ha
This year as always the 1 seeds will be chosen before the big championship game.
He started the season with a hand injury that he's since recovered from and he's been playing with a leg injury he picked up against USC that he's mostly recovered from. If you look at Michigan's scoring margins they pretty much mirror "how healthy is Yaxel?"
It's funny, in a circular way I think our loss to Alabama is keeping Gonzaga above us in NET, because they beat Alabama.
- Status