Week of 1/19 Games Thread

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#3      
It's fairly clear that there's a clear cut "tier 1" in the B10:

Illinois, Purdue, Michigan, Michigan State, Nebraska.

Looking at that, it's striking how favorable Purdue's schedule is. They have THREE of the four other teams AT HOME.

Illinois on the other hand, has to go ON THE ROAD to THREE of the four teams.
It’s a deep tier 1. It seems to be 3 or fewer teams from my recollection.

That said, each team appears to belong.
 
#4      
It's fairly clear that there's a clear cut "Tier 1" in the B10:

Illinois, Purdue, Michigan, Michigan State, Nebraska.

Looking at that, it's striking how favorable Purdue's schedule is. They have THREE of the four other teams AT HOME.

Illinois on the other hand, has to go ON THE ROAD to THREE of the four teams.
We also play Nebraska twice. They play none of the other three twice.

Insanely manageable.
 
#7      
Please, please UCLA beat Purdoink.

Honestly, if Purdue wins that, it might be curtains. I usually am never in the business of declaring races over so early, but they get illinois, MSu, and Michigan all at home - none on the road. Nebraska the only one ranked opponent on the road.

If they have USC, Wisconsin, UCLA road games all out of the way. It just seems like tough sledding for everyone else to do that much damage at Mackey
 
#8      
Honestly, if Purdue wins that, it might be curtains. I usually am never in the business of declaring races over so early, but they get illinois, MSu, and Michigan all at home - none on the road. Nebraska the only one ranked opponent on the road.
Nah, it’s wide open between the top 5 until the top dogs start playing each other more… will you be saying the same a week from now if we go 2-0 this week?
 
#9      
Honestly, if Purdue wins that, it might be curtains. I usually am never in the business of declaring races over so early, but they get illinois, MSu, and Michigan all at home - none on the road. Nebraska the only one ranked opponent on the road.

If they have USC, Wisconsin, UCLA road games all out of the way. It just seems like tough sledding for everyone else to do that much damage at Mackey
IMO it's already over. It's over ever since Michigan lost to Wisconsin.

The only way they get to four losses is if BOTH Indiana and UCLA beat them, and that ain't happening. If you think I'm hyperboling, just look up their schedule.
 
#10      
Nah, it’s wide open between the top 5 until the top dogs start playing each other more… will you be saying the same a week from now if we go 2-0 this week?

No, I wouldn't be saying the same thing - but honestly that has more to do with 2-0 meaning Purdue was handed a home loss. Realistically speaking, I think they really need to drop a few road games. I've just seen the carnage at Mackey, and expecting them to lose 2-3 home games is not something im banking on.

But Illinois gets Nebraska, MSU, Purdue on the road. Michigan gets MSU, Illinois, and Purdue on the road. MSU gets Nebraska, Purdue, and Michigan on the road.

Purdue getting only 1 of MSU, Illinois, Michigan and Nebraska on the road is a huge break in comparison.
 
#11      
No, I wouldn't be saying the same thing - but honestly that has more to do with 2-0 meaning Purdue was handed a home loss. Realistically speaking, I think they really need to drop a few road games. I've just seen the carnage at Mackey, and expecting them to lose 2-3 home games is not something im banking on.

But Illinois gets Nebraska, MSU, Purdue on the road. Michigan gets MSU, Illinois, and Purdue on the road. MSU gets Nebraska, Purdue, and Michigan on the road.

Purdue getting only 1 of MSU, Illinois, Michigan and Nebraska on the road is a huge break in comparison.
Purdue also gets 2 each against IU, Wisconsin and Iowa. Illinois' doubles are NW, MD and Nebraska, which is advantage Illinois.
 
#13      
IMO it's already over. It's over ever since Michigan lost to Wisconsin.

The only way they get to four losses is if BOTH Indiana and UCLA beat them, and that ain't happening. If you think I'm hyperboling, just look up their schedule.
Disagree. I think they could lose one home game, and @Nebby is another losable game.

So now we're down to needing two losses out of these road games: @UCLA, @Indiana, @Iowa, @Ohio State (they have other road games remaining, but those are the only four realistic ones IMO).

I think that's a lot more plausible than the scenario you put forth.
 
#14      
Disagree. I think they could lose one home game, and @Nebby is another losable game.

So now we're down to needing two losses out of these road games: @UCLA, @Indiana, @Iowa, @Ohio State (they have other road games remaining, but those are the only four realistic ones IMO).

I think that's a lot more plausible than the scenario you put forth.
All hands on support for UCLA!
 
#15      
Disagree. I think they could lose one home game, and @Nebby is another losable game.

So now we're down to needing two losses out of these road games: @UCLA, @Indiana, @Iowa, @Ohio State (they have other road games remaining, but those are the only four realistic ones IMO).

I think that's a lot more plausible than the scenario you put forth.
It matters when and where these games are scheduled. That Iowa game is right after Nebraska - they aren’t losing two back to back.

OSU maybe, but doubtful.
 
#16      
It matters when and where these games are scheduled. That Iowa game is right after Nebraska - they aren’t losing two back to back.

OSU maybe, but doubtful.
Purdue last season lost 4 games in a row:

IMG_0095.jpeg
 
#17      
Think Purdue’s record is inflated a bit by some luck. I don’t know how he calculates it, but KenPom has them 35th in luck. I haven’t watched a ton of their games but the few I have watched Lady Luck has tilted Purdue.

@Alabama - Philon has a 1&1 to tie the game in the last minute, misses the front end.

Vs Penn State - PSU is without Mingo but still plays them close. Mingo is their leading scorer and also gets 2.4 SPG. Braden Smith goes for 26 and 14 with one TO. Good chance Mingo slows Smith down and picks his pocket a couple of times to maybe turn the game.

@USC - SC mucks up the game but can’t throw it in the ocean, shooting 3-20 from 3 and 5-14 at the line. If USC managed to just shoot their average from the line and 20% from 3 they win.

Compare to our luck:
We have one of the top FT %s in the country. The one clunker we’ve had from the FT line so far is against Bama which cost us the game. Also we were Bama’s next game after Purdue and they had a week to practice. Bama might not play a better game all year.

Nebraska shoots 46% from 3 against us, where if they shoot 42% we go to OT and likely win. Yes our defense was putrid but Nebraska also hit several deep contested 3s, including a borderline prayer for the game winner.

So yes Purdue has the favorable schedule but they are also due for their luck to turn a bit. @Iowa, @Northwestern, @OSU, @Indiana. More than a few potential land mines on their schedule, nevermind the difficult home games, and also @UCLA tonight at the end of a long road trip.
 
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