Week of 2/16 Bracketology

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#2      
From the cheap seats
Really hoping that the Illini at least finish in the top 4 and get the triple bye in the B1G Tourney. Would seem that they have to go 4-1 to achieve that given the tie-breakers that Wisconsin and MSU hold. Sweep and a #2 seed seems to be the worst they would end up in both the B1G and the NCAA. It's so much fun to be relevant nationally this late in the season.
 
#3      
Homecoming 2019
#5      
Piotyr
Homecoming 2019 said:
I thought I was crazy hearing the cbs guys keep calling us a solid 3 seed in the half time and post game show. Seems cbs is the odd one out.
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CBS was still using Jerry Palm (who based his brackets on RPI and refused to change when the NCAA did) as late as last year, and this year it appears they're instead using the AP poll rankings to bracket teams.
 
#6      
RollChief
From the cheap seats said:
Really hoping that the Illini at least finish in the top 4 and get the triple bye in the B1G Tourney. Would seem that they have to go 4-1 to achieve that given the tie-breakers that Wisconsin and MSU hold. Sweep and a #2 seed seems to be the worst they would end up in both the B1G and the NCAA. It's so much fun to be relevant nationally this late in the season.
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It seems like a lot would have to go wrong for Illinois and right for the other top 5 teams to not get a top 4 in the B1G Tourney.

See the remaining top 6 opponents for the top 6 in the B1G currently, along with their record and likelihood to win out:

1771255886995.png


Editing this post to also include the table below, not made by me but a good reference point:

1771256468591.png
 
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#7      
Homecoming 2019
RollChief said:
It seems like a lot would have to go wrong for Illinois and right for the other top 5 teams to not get a top 4 in the B1G Tourney.

See the remaining top 6 opponents for the top 6 in the B1G currently, along with their record and likelihood to win out:

View attachment 47592

Editing this post to also include the table below, not made by me but a good reference point:

View attachment 47593
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We all are massive Purdue fans tomorrow.
 
#8      
From the cheap seats
RollChief said:
It seems like a lot would have to go wrong for Illinois and right for the other top 5 teams to not get a top 4 in the B1G Tourney.

See the remaining top 6 opponents for the top 6 in the B1G currently, along with their record and likelihood to win out:

View attachment 47592

Editing this post to also include the table below, not made by me but a good reference point:

View attachment 47593
Click to expand...
If the Illini go 4-1, I would agree a top 4 or better is likely in the B1G.
However, if they lose 2 of the last 5 and the other top teams win as expected, the Bracket Generator puts them 5th behind Michigan, Nebraska and Purdue and tied with Wisconsin at 15-5 — with Wisconsin winning the tie-breaker.
 
#10      
ChiefGritty
RollChief said:
It seems like a lot would have to go wrong for Illinois and right for the other top 5 teams to not get a top 4 in the B1G Tourney.

See the remaining top 6 opponents for the top 6 in the B1G currently, along with their record and likelihood to win out:

View attachment 47592

Editing this post to also include the table below, not made by me but a good reference point:

View attachment 47593
Click to expand...
Oh no, we're all Purdue fans now
 
#13      
BrownTown
I think Purdue losing is actually the best possible outcome. A loss for Purdue means a better chance at a 2 seed.

I think us winning out the regular season + a Michigan loss (or 2) is very likely.

Call me pessimistic. But West coast road trip+Michigan at home seems like a tall task.

Do think we can beat Oregon at home and Maryland away. 25 wins would be a great shot at a high 2.
 
#14      
BrownTown
NarrowJ said:
Wisconsin 33, Indiana 34, Northwestern 77 in NET

Those 3 really hurting us right now being just outside Q1s

View attachment 47594
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Think Wisconsin will end up a Q1 loss.
Northwestern has 3 or 4 games left they could win, but they could also lose to Purdue by 30 and fall completely out of the 70s NET.

Indiana I have the least hope of becoming a Quad 1. Lamar Wilkerson is legit though, can't count them out when he puts up 30.
 
#15      
Altuve27
This road trip is a huge opportunity. The LA roadie is certainly not easy, but both games are quad 1 opportunities and both USC and UCLA are decent but very winnable IF we play like we are capable of playing.
 
#16      
Illini2010-11
chadbrochill420 said:
If Purdue doesn't win tomorrow, scUM is getting an outright title. No one else on their schedule can beat them but us
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Obviously you are strictly speaking of B1G teams. Duke can also easily beat them on Saturday. I also would not sleep on the road game they have @Iowa if they play the way they did in Evanston.

It would not be shocking if Michigan has a similar week that Arizona had last week. It really is that difficult of a week for Michigan.
 
#17      
CentralILLini
Illini2010-11 said:
Obviously you are strictly speaking of B1G teams. Duke can also easily beat them on Saturday. I also would not sleep on the road game they have @Iowa if they play the way they did in Evanston.

It would not be shocking if Michigan has a similar week that Arizona had last week. It really is that difficult of a week for Michigan.
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If only Duke counted as a conference game..
 
#18      
Chase321
Illini2010-11 said:
Obviously you are strictly speaking of B1G teams. Duke can also easily beat them on Saturday. I also would not sleep on the road game they have @Iowa if they play the way they did in Evanston.

It would not be shocking if Michigan has a similar week that Arizona had last week. It really is that difficult of a week for Michigan.
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@Iowa...hopefully they got the bad game out of their system this weekend...and MSU are still potential losses for Michigan. Don't put it past Izzo to muck the game in AA up enough to pull out a W.
 
#23      
Homecoming 2019
BrownTown said:
I think Purdue losing is actually the best possible outcome. A loss for Purdue means a better chance at a 2 seed.

I think us winning out the regular season + a Michigan loss (or 2) is very likely.

Call me pessimistic. But West coast road trip+Michigan at home seems like a tall task.

Do think we can beat Oregon at home and Maryland away. 25 wins would be a great shot at a high 2.
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I want a banner much more than I want to be a 2 seed!
 
#24      
Illini2010-11
fatboyslim said:
Seems like I hear this all the time about Wisconsin going into the tournament and they usually don’t live up to the hype. It’s like they peak too early or something.
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I am not sure we are in position to be making this argument. We have had a lot of hype the last few years and made it to the second weekend once. Wisconsin had made it to the second weekend six times the last 15 years, including two final four appearances.

It is hard to win consistently in the tourney, where upsets happen consistently.
 
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