Week of 2/24 Bracketology

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#126      
Illini2010-11
AyoDos11 said:
USC has dropped to 77 in the NET, meaning our loss to them is now a Q3 loss. We NEED to root for them when they play on Wednesday vs Washington and on Saturday @ UCLA and hopefully they can move back up.🤞🏻
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Honestly, having that loss as quad 3 will make absolutely no difference when it comes to seeding. If they looked at that loss, they will see that KJ was out. No need to fret if the loss stays Quad 3. The committee will largely discount that game.
 
#129      
OrangeBlue98
Illini2010-11 said:
Whatever 2/3 seed is in Illini's bracket will be disappointed, especially if the Illini of today show up.
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I texted this to my brothers in our group chat: “This is the most bipolar sports team I’ve ever seen. But some 2 seed is going to absolutely s*** a solid gold brick when they see Illinois as a 7 seed in their bracket.”
 
#130      
sacraig
Illini2010-11 said:
Whatever 2/3 seed is in Illini's bracket will be disappointed, especially if the Illini of today show up.
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This is still the same roster that has garnered a few whispers of being Final Four capable in early January. If we do regain form between now and then, there will be some really pissed fanbases in our bracket.

I suspect we may show up in a few places as someone's Final Four dark horse pick for that reason.
 
#131      
From the cheap seats
Beat Purdue and win one in the B1G Tourney and I can’t imagine not being a 6 or a 5 seed when you look at the mixed bag of teams outside the top 10 or 12. Heck, make the finals of the B1G and a 4 seed might even be possible…for a team some thought might be on the bubble if it had lost to Iowa.
 
#132      
lstewart53x3
Coming into the Michigan game: 8 seed
After the win: 7 seed
Beat Purdue: 6 seed
Win two games in the BTT: 5 seed
Win three games in the BTT: 4 seed?

In that final scenario, we’d likely be top 12 in NET (up from 22 to 16 after tonight) and we’d be 11-10 in Q1 games + 6-1 in Q2 games (assuming USC climbs a few spots).

4 seeds last year in Q1 games:

Auburn: 3-7
Alabama: 7-11
Duke: 6-4
Kansas: 7-10

We’d have more Q1 wins than Q1 games both Auburn and Duke played last year.

My guess with that final finish is we’d be right in the mix of a 4/5 seed. Which way we fall would likely be determined by how the committee views injuries during the season. We’ve now played 13 of 29 games (45%) without at least one starter.

To have a season where we’re top 20 in both NET and KenPom while missing that much time from key players, after losing 92% of our minutes and two first team all big ten ten guys (one all american) from the year before is marvelous coaching.
 
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#133      
DeonThomas
lstewart53x3 said:
Coming into the IOWA game: 8 seed
After the MICHIGAN road win: 7 seed
Beat Purdue: 6 seed
Win two games in the BTT: 5 seed
Win three games in the BTT: 4 seed?

In that final scenario, we’d likely be top 12 in NET (up from 22 to 16 after tonight) and we’d be 11-10 in Q1 games + 6-1 in Q2 games (assuming USC climbs a few spots).

4 seeds last year in Q1 games:

Auburn: 3-7
Alabama: 7-11
Duke: 6-4
Kansas: 7-10

We’d have more Q1 wins than Q1 games both Auburn and Duke played last year.

My guess with that final finish is we’d be right in the mix of a 4/5 seed. Which way we fall would likely be determined by how the committee views injuries during the season. We’ve now played 13 of 29 games (45%) without at least one starter.

To have a season where we’re top 20 in both NET and KenPom while missing that much time from key players, after losing 92% of our minutes and two first team all big ten ten guys (one all american) from the year before is marvelous coaching.
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Accurate.

Very nicely summarized! (Oh -- and I tweaked it for you).
 
#134      
Brosky
I don't know what thread this is most appropriate for, but today's Pomeroy rankings has Illini at #19, Kansas #21 and Michigan #29. FWIW. To me, Michigan looked soft and the announcers pointed out several times they won several games by the skin of their teeth. The ball simply bounced their way. Facing the facts: they're overrated and it may show in the BTT.
 
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