Illini2010-11
- Sugar Grove
I hope you are wrong here. That would mean Rutgers pulled off an amazing upset tomorrow night.
Week of 3/2 Bracketology
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I’m not sure I’m as interested in the 3-seed as I am with not drawing Purdue as the 5-seed - assuming ofcourse, we don’t drop the Maryland game.
With the way Purdue is playing, I am curious if Wisconsin winning there is more likely than Iowa beating Nebraska.
Btw, intrigued tonight in Evanston. Purdue has not played well there and I think that might cause a Boiler fan implosion - unfortunately though, it seems the Wisconsin game is the only one that really matters for Purdue moving backwards from the 5 line
With the way Purdue is playing, I am curious if Wisconsin winning there is more likely than Iowa beating Nebraska.
Btw, intrigued tonight in Evanston. Purdue has not played well there and I think that might cause a Boiler fan implosion - unfortunately though, it seems the Wisconsin game is the only one that really matters for Purdue moving backwards from the 5 line
Fighter of the Nightman
- Chicago, IL
The main appeal of the #3 seed vs. #4 seed for me (besides me and presumably a lot of other Chicago Area fans actually being able to attend the evening game!) is that we get two non-Michigan games before Selection Sunday, with the assumed toughest test being a rematch with MSU on a neutral floor ... and both paths will be two Quad 1 opportunities.
The #3 seed just seems like you are getting the same credit for having to do WAY less work, haha.
Wish list for me is 3 seed with Wisconsin or UCLA as the 6 and MSU as the 2, just get the full breadth of showing they can win against those teams. I am somewhat skeptical that Michigan goes all out in the BTT because they know they're a 1 seed in the Midwest and the conference tournament really doesn't matter.
GIGANTIC disagree here. It doesn’t impact BTT seeding, but it ABSOLUTELY impacts NCAA Tournament seeding. Illinois and MSU are very close on the S curve right now. MSU winning at Michigan would be very bad.
Furthermore, Michigan blowing them out wouldn’t hurt either. A loss in a tight game for MSU also doesn’t help us.
Fair point on looking further downstream the bracket. Also on game times. Agree with you
Definitely want MSU to stay behind us in the list of 2 seeds.
I do not believe either one will overtake us. Iowa State if they win the B12 tourney could move to the 2 line and Purdue is a train wreck right now. Losing big to OSU puts them squarely on the 3 line, maybe a 4 if Virginia gets to the ACC championship game. I do not see Houston dropping lower than a 2. I still feel that it’s Duke, AZ, Michigan and Florida/UConn with the loser between the 2 gets the top 2 seed. MSU even if they lose to Michigan will get a 2 with Houston and Illinois as 2’s. Nebraska, Purdue, Virginia and Iowa State are the 3s with KU, Gonzaga, Tech with Vandy or Louisville as 4’s. The top 16 are pretty easy to see.
Just a side note: Michigan will only go to Philadelphia if they are the number one OVERALL seed. Otherwise it’s not in their hands and they’d be sent to Buffalo.
I lost my interest in the NCAAT those dark years. Absolute blasphemy.
I think the question will be if Illinois will either be playing PU or Wisky. Personally, I'd love to see the Badgers.
Purdue has better analytics but either would be a good Q1 win
I could be wrong, but I believe the sites are solely based on mileage. Only the number 1 overall seed gets to "choose" where they play and that's why Michigan came out and said they would choose Philly if they were the number 1 overall seed. So, at the moment, I believe they would be in Buffalo.
LouHenson
- Naples Florida
I was at the UCLA game, and you could tell it was just huge to have us collapse like that. The first 10 minutes of the game we were just clowning them the crowd everything. Then.... please call a TOAs someone who was there, it was indeed a blast! I too am hoping that Illini fans flood the UC, but there are two things that might hinder that, at least a little.
(1) If we are the #4 seed, we will play during the day on Friday and fans who otherwise would have gone but cannot take off work will be forced out. This unfortunately describes my wife and me, and we are super bummed as we thought we were a near lock for the evening session (i.e., #2 or #3 seed) a couple weeks ago.
(2) If we are the #4 seed, we have also locked ourselves into the morning session with Michigan for both Friday and Saturday if we make it. That doesn't just suck because Michigan will certainly probably have a good showing themselves, as I am sure MSU would also bring a lot of fans if we were in the evening session with them. What sucks the most about this is Michigan fans have known they'd be the morning session for Friday and Saturday for well over a week now, giving them an edge on scooping up tickets. By contrast, assuming Illinois beats Maryland, we wouldn't know for sure if we were the #4 seed (morning session) or #3 seed (evening session) until like 6:00 pm on Sunday night. The odds are pretty heavy that we are the #4 seed, but that is only because people are assuming Nebraska will beat Iowa at home.
So, I will be pulling HARD for Iowa this Sunday, as a Hawkeyes win would set up the Illini BTT experience to be SO much better. Getting to avoid Michigan until Sunday, facing MSU instead of Purdue on Friday, being in the evening session with presumably way more Illini fans for Friday and Saturday, etc. As someone who desperately wants to go to the BTT this year but can't miss work next Friday, the MSU, Wisconsin and especially UCLA losses are REALLY starting to sting, lol...
. Anyways, yes that loss was really painful for seeding in both the BTT and really a little in the NCAAT.
personally after the Michigan loss, I no longer care about the seed we get in the big ten tourney. I want to win but really all I want that tourney to do is prepare us for the NCAA tournament!
elite 8 or better is reasonable for a 2 seed team that has been top 6 in metrics since December and has all time offense!
elite 8 or better is reasonable for a 2 seed team that has been top 6 in metrics since December and has all time offense!
Well that's a fun stat. This girls team is #1 in the nation in freethrow %
Has to do with record against whomever when they go (i.e., Michigan, Michigan State, etc.).
They beat MSU and we did not. It’s descending order from the top — neither beat Michigan, then MSU.
I feel like if Iowa beats Nebraska, this is our best case scenario.
Pretty much a revenge tour for the Illini, unless a double digit seed upsets someone!
Illini in Indiana
- Indiana
We just need to win first. Wisconsin is running the same kind of scenario (if we lose).
If Iowa beats Nebraska AND Wisconsin beats Purdue, we will be the 3 and face UCLA as the 6.
Agreed- I was referring to the OP who was referring to the BTT calculator - yes for NCAA seeding we want MSU and Nebraska to lose as much as possible
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