0440, close haha.
But there isn't always some deeper meaning behind things.....kids just struggling right now.
Week of 3/3 Bracketology
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But there isn't always some deeper meaning behind things.....kids just struggling right now.
So currently, if you were guarantee we win our first game in the BTT and you used efficiency metrics, the odds of us playing Michigan is about:
.070*.178+.651*.403+.184*.354+.094*.058 = 34.5%
So relatively high, considering how much variability there is right now.
For reference, as of today, this would be be the likelihood of who we'd play in the BTT quarterfinals if we were to win our first game:
Michigan: 34.5%
MSU: 19.4%
Maryland: 16.1%
Purdue: 12.5%
Other: 17.5%
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Steelyunk
- Tobacco Road
Apparently kids aren’t allowed to be struggling and then be visibly frustrated that they are struggling. DGL is competitive. He wants to win, play minutes, and make plays. He’s frustrated and that’s okay. Remember Dain end of last year? He’ll be fine.
Illinell
'03 IMPE All Star
- Bridgeport, Chicago
I'm not gonna lie, I just blacked out trying to follow the math, but you used a lot of numbers so I'm with you
Jokes aside, thanks for breaking it down. I wouldn't be afraid of Michigan again and in general I think we're playing quite a bit better.
Mint - the standard we have set against Michigan especially with our defense
Chocolate - sweet taste of 9 game win streak
Chip - what exists on our shoulder when we enter crisler
LouHenson
- Naples Florida
I totally agree with this, IF we won out we are a 3 seed not a 4/5. I think we either need to win 2/3 (losing in the quarters and beating PU?) which gets us a 6 I believer or win out to get off the 4/5 line. What I hope does not happen is us spend all the energy to get to the BTT finals and lose only to get a 5 seed?
OrangeBlue98
Iowa is not in a great spot right now (LvilleILL1)
- Des Moines, IA
I'm REALLY hoping to get Drake in the first round in a 6-11 or 7-10 game. Illinois would be an absolute matchup nightmare for them because of our positional size. Drake's tallest player is 6-8. I get they are well-coached and very disciplined, but we might be one of the worst matchups for them imaginable. They do not have anyone who would be able to guard Ivisic, and I think Boswell would do a more than credible job on Bennett Stirtz, who is the odds-on favorite to win MVC player of the year.
godrakebulldogs.com
2024-25 Men's Basketball Roster - Drake University Athletics
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OrangeBlue98
Iowa is not in a great spot right now (LvilleILL1)
- Des Moines, IA
Bigtex
- DFW
DGL strength is penetration and scoring in the lane. He is a 25% shooter from 3 and shouldn't be chucking away. unfortunately the last 2 games all of his shots have been from 3 (0-5) and his minutes (9+13) match the effort.
I mean DGL's shots the past few games have almost exclusively been wide wide open in rhythm attempts. Those are extremely high quality high efficiency looks for most players and the type of threes you want your players to take. Now I'm in agreement that we seem to have major issues making those type of shots all season, but man, Jaxon freakin Kohler of all people hit those at an 80% clip against us. DGL needs to shoot those. He just isn't making them. Along with most of our team it seems. But that goes back to the argument of you either are allowed to shoot threes or you aren't. If you are, you shoot those.
And really, the reason we blew out Michigan that 2nd half is that we finally started making open threes. I have no issue with DGL taking those shots, just wish they would have gone down for him
Illini2010-11
- Sugar Grove
Especially given the way the team was crashing the offensive glass. You can get away with missing a lot of 3's when you get a lot of those misses (something that did not happen in the two week slide). If the team is hungry in hunting down offensive rebounds, then I am fine with shooting volume open/in-rhythm 3's.
Hopefully seeing the ball go through the hoop a bit the last two games will be a sign of things to come.
None of that matters one bit.
For a picture of where we stand, I look at the others around our seed, and the seeds we aspire to. [Record, Bracket matrix, KP / Miya seed range]
BM 8s:
19-11 Illinois 19 / 9-10 (highest in that range though)
21 - 8 BYU 25 / 6-8
20 - 9 Creighton 37 / 6-8
20-9 UCONN 36 / 6-8
7s
20-9 UCLA 27 / 6-8
20 -9 Miss 26 / 6-8
20-9 Miss St 31 / 3-5
24-5 Memphis 48 / 6-8
6s
21-8 OR 33 / 3-5
27-4 St. Mary's 20 / 6-8
19-10 KS 21 / 6-8
23-6 Louisville 24 / 3-5
For sure some of these teams will pick up another loss or two. I'd guess we're on the 8/9 line today and capable of passing all but a couple of these teams. We might get the benefit of the doubt in seeding from having significant injuries/illness combined with how high our ceiling is. As fans, nobody wants to see them up against a #1 seed before the weekend is over so hopefully they can work back to at least a 7. If they do it, a BTT run would add several quality wins to the resume.
Just asked a simple question dude? Never stated that he can't struggle or be in a slump. Just wanted to see what the Insiders were hearing because DGL is one of my favorite players.
But Dain ended up leaving...
Homecoming 2019
- Chicago
The Sunday game doesn't matter, so I really don't think there's anyway we get better than a 4.
Think we are here:
Worse case high 8 if we lose next 2
Beat Purdue, worse case is high 7
Win next two and lose Friday/Saturday of BTT, 50/50 on getting a 5 or 6
Beat Purdue and get to the BTT final, 4 seed
Worse case high 8 if we lose next 2
Beat Purdue, worse case is high 7
Win next two and lose Friday/Saturday of BTT, 50/50 on getting a 5 or 6
Beat Purdue and get to the BTT final, 4 seed
RabidDawgClassic
- Los Angeles, CA
I think I’d rather have a 6 seed than a 4 or 5.
If you read the tweet that Dan linked, there are actually 0 probabilities that they end up with the 3 seed. 5 seed is absolute ceiling in my opinion for BTT seeding.
Only happens if Purdue loses to Rutgers in West Lafayette tomorrow night. IU beating Oregon in Eugene tomorrow night means 7 seed is worst case scenario for BTT seeding.
Or if NW beats UCLA tonight.
Doesn't have to be tonight necessarily. Could still get it if USC beats their rivals this weekend.
You are right. Illini have the tie break against Oregon and ucla
Oregon has eight losses, so if Iilini win Oregon wins Illi oil has tie break
Right but If IU wins, then both they and Oregon will have 9 conference losses and what would happen on Friday wouldn't matter for anything below a 7 seed.
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