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World Series 2021: Atlanta Braves v Houston Astros
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<blockquote data-quote="champaignchris" data-source="post: 1669191" data-attributes="member: 26283"><p>Nice work!</p><p></p><p>I think the playoffs are a crap shoot, with teams for all practical purposes having even odds once they get past the Wild Card round. </p><p></p><p>There’s a further issue of the fact that a roster constructed to win in the regular season isn’t necessarily optimally constructed to win the post season. For example, a deep bullpen isn’t anywhere near as important when your team is getting every third day off. Your top few guys are going to be able to pitch in 67% of your games instead of 50% of your games. So, resources used on the 4th-7th man in the bullpen, which will help you win during the season, are better used on other areas of the team. </p><p></p><p>The same goes for starting pitchers where your 4th and 5th guys go every 5 or 6 days in the regular season. In the playoffs, your #4 guy will probably only start once or twice during the entire playoffs and you probably won’t even carry the #5 guy at all. </p><p></p><p>Once you’re in the playoffs, tactical strength - inning to inning and at bat to at bat - becomes more important than strategic strength - series to series, week to week. So guys who can bunt, steal, field well get more valuable, while guys who eat innings or consistently hit .290 get less valuable. The long haul, “it’ll all even out,” law of averages aspect of the regular season goes away and the playoffs become all about the small sample size. </p><p></p><p>Similarly, the “grind it out” style of offense, working deep into the count and running up number of pitches, doesn’t work as well when the opposing pitching staff has its full range of bullpen and a spare starter available every single game.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="champaignchris, post: 1669191, member: 26283"] Nice work! I think the playoffs are a crap shoot, with teams for all practical purposes having even odds once they get past the Wild Card round. There’s a further issue of the fact that a roster constructed to win in the regular season isn’t necessarily optimally constructed to win the post season. For example, a deep bullpen isn’t anywhere near as important when your team is getting every third day off. Your top few guys are going to be able to pitch in 67% of your games instead of 50% of your games. So, resources used on the 4th-7th man in the bullpen, which will help you win during the season, are better used on other areas of the team. The same goes for starting pitchers where your 4th and 5th guys go every 5 or 6 days in the regular season. In the playoffs, your #4 guy will probably only start once or twice during the entire playoffs and you probably won’t even carry the #5 guy at all. Once you’re in the playoffs, tactical strength - inning to inning and at bat to at bat - becomes more important than strategic strength - series to series, week to week. So guys who can bunt, steal, field well get more valuable, while guys who eat innings or consistently hit .290 get less valuable. The long haul, “it’ll all even out,” law of averages aspect of the regular season goes away and the playoffs become all about the small sample size. Similarly, the “grind it out” style of offense, working deep into the count and running up number of pitches, doesn’t work as well when the opposing pitching staff has its full range of bullpen and a spare starter available every single game. [/QUOTE]
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World Series 2021: Atlanta Braves v Houston Astros
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