Recent content by danielb927

  1. danielb927

    12/4 Games

    After strong performances in the challenge, the B1G jumped up to the best conference in college hoops and now occupies seven of top-25 spots in KenPom's rankings: 2 - OSU 4 - MSU 5 - Purdue 7 - Maryland 13 - Michigan 20 - Indiana 23 - PSU (followed by 39 - Iowa, and 44 - Illinois, for anyone...
  2. danielb927

    Illinois 117, Lindenwood 65 POSTGAME

    Thought I heard BU say in the postgame that he'd enforce it the same even if it were his son or a starter in the National Championship game.
  3. danielb927

    Pregame: Illinois vs Lindenwood, Tuesday, November 26th, 7:00pm CT, BTN+

    Looking forward to my first game since FAU last year. I expect a different result. I'll be singing the anthem before the game — in case anyone here is planning on going, feel free to say hello if you see me!
  4. danielb927

    Iowa 19, Illinois 10 POSTGAME

    Great point!
  5. danielb927

    Iowa 19, Illinois 10 POSTGAME

    Also hoping Peters is ok. I would be very surprised if he weren't in concussion protocol now as it looked to me like he may have been knocked out briefly on that hit. IMO if you knock a guy unconscious it should be targeting, end of story — yes, there will be one or two cases where it's the...
  6. danielb927

    Iowa 19, Illinois 10 POSTGAME

    Losing by 9 and holding Iowa to 19 in a game with a -2 turnover margin says two things to me: 1) We don't need a favorable turnover margin to be competitive against good teams 2) We should have every expectation of winning our bowl game.
  7. danielb927

    Pregame: Illinois at Iowa, Saturday, November 23rd, 11:00am CT, BTN

    I think Iowa will probably win, but we've shown we can stay competitive in any game this year — so, I already paid my $16 to try and watch in-flight tomorrow and won't regret it regardless of the outcome!
  8. danielb927

    Illini Basketball 2019-2020

    Update through 3 games on our performance re: KenPom's "Four Factors" — effective FG%, offensive rebound %, free throw attempts per FG attempt, and turnover percentage. Offense eFG% — middle of the road nationally (about 49.4%). Last night was actually our best eFG% of the season, but only by a...
  9. danielb927

    Arizona 90, Illinois 69 POSTGAME

    Rebound-eligible missed shots were actually 31 for us to 30 for Arizona, so it was pretty even.
  10. danielb927

    Illinois 37, Michigan State 34 POSTGAME

    Thinking back on this now, I have to wonder about MSU taking their timeouts during the last goal line stand. It's a tricky situation and not obvious to me which strategy is better. (Warning - long & winding post ahead) Advantages to taking your TOs: - Preserves time if you give up a score -...
  11. danielb927

    Week 11 Games

    FWIW, the moment Illinois can't win the west anymore I will definitely be rooting for Minnesota to win the division over Wisconsin and Iowa!
  12. danielb927

    Week 11 Games

    Thanks! Finished my Ph.D. last year and got to live overseas for a few months in the fall, so it was great — and distracting from Illini sports (not that I missed much last year). I do hope to bring back the B1G standings projections this season for hoops, as well as some new stats goodies I've...
  13. danielb927

    Illinois 83, Grand Canyon 71 POSTGAME

    I was pretty happy with the win. GCU started the season with a bad loss, but I don't think they're as bad a team as that loss would suggest. True road games are tough — even at 42nd (vs 131st) in KenPom rankings, we were only a 6 point favorite or so. Drop them down to 200th and that's probably...
  14. danielb927

    Pregame: Illinois at Michigan State, Saturday, November 9th, 2:30pm CT, FS1

    Maybe not that complicated. There's a pretty well established trend for expected points based on first down position here. Subtract that expectation from the actual points allowed on a given drive and you have a decent metric for how well the D is meeting expectations. Even better if one could...
  15. danielb927

    Game Thread: Illinois vs Nicholls State

    Beat me to it... that's a classic.