After strong performances in the challenge, the B1G jumped up to the best conference in college hoops and now occupies seven of top-25 spots in KenPom's rankings:
2 - OSU
4 - MSU
5 - Purdue
7 - Maryland
13 - Michigan
20 - Indiana
23 - PSU
(followed by 39 - Iowa, and 44 - Illinois, for anyone...
Looking forward to my first game since FAU last year. I expect a different result. I'll be singing the anthem before the game — in case anyone here is planning on going, feel free to say hello if you see me!
Also hoping Peters is ok. I would be very surprised if he weren't in concussion protocol now as it looked to me like he may have been knocked out briefly on that hit. IMO if you knock a guy unconscious it should be targeting, end of story — yes, there will be one or two cases where it's the...
Losing by 9 and holding Iowa to 19 in a game with a -2 turnover margin says two things to me:
1) We don't need a favorable turnover margin to be competitive against good teams
2) We should have every expectation of winning our bowl game.
I think Iowa will probably win, but we've shown we can stay competitive in any game this year — so, I already paid my $16 to try and watch in-flight tomorrow and won't regret it regardless of the outcome!
Update through 3 games on our performance re: KenPom's "Four Factors" — effective FG%, offensive rebound %, free throw attempts per FG attempt, and turnover percentage.
eFG% — middle of the road nationally (about 49.4%). Last night was actually our best eFG% of the season, but only by a...
Thinking back on this now, I have to wonder about MSU taking their timeouts during the last goal line stand. It's a tricky situation and not obvious to me which strategy is better.
(Warning - long & winding post ahead)
Advantages to taking your TOs:
- Preserves time if you give up a score
Thanks! Finished my Ph.D. last year and got to live overseas for a few months in the fall, so it was great — and distracting from Illini sports (not that I missed much last year). I do hope to bring back the B1G standings projections this season for hoops, as well as some new stats goodies I've...
I was pretty happy with the win. GCU started the season with a bad loss, but I don't think they're as bad a team as that loss would suggest. True road games are tough — even at 42nd (vs 131st) in KenPom rankings, we were only a 6 point favorite or so. Drop them down to 200th and that's probably...
Maybe not that complicated. There's a pretty well established trend for expected points based on first down position here. Subtract that expectation from the actual points allowed on a given drive and you have a decent metric for how well the D is meeting expectations. Even better if one could...