Reading the tea leaves:
Nolley is an Illinois lean trying to pull the class together. Prediction: Illinois.
Ayo is enjoying the process and doesn't reveal much. His final decision is open, between 3 or 4 schools with a slight Illinois lean. Prediction: Illinois
Castleton will hold out until the door opens or closes at Florida. Illinois is second choice. Prediction: Florida
Conditt has been pushed toward Iowa State but likes Illinois better--that's what creates the conflict. Decision could go either way. Prediction: Illinois
THT is in no rush to make a decision. On the surface, he is the least proactive and his recruitment is the least open. Any prediction is a blind guess. Prediction: 50-50 chance for Illinois if we lose either Ayo or Nolley.
Most likely class in order of verbals: Conditt, Nolley, Ayo.
Will it happen? To make that bet, I would need odds. Too many variables still in play, but there is reason to be optimistic.