Illinois Hoops Recruiting Thread (Week of April 12th, 2021)

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#576      

skyIdub

Winged Warrior
We aren't done....:sneaky:
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#577      
Alright I guess we're doing this. First off, you can't just rely on 247 rankings and take them as gospel. Rivals was the superior service 10 years ago and had guys like DJ and BP3 rated way more highly than 247 does, for whatever reason. Far better to use RSCI since it is a more stable consensus rating over time.

Our 2021 team had 4 guys in the RSCI top 100, all above 50. In every year from 2011-2017 we had at least 4 guys in the RSCI top 100 (many below 50, however). But given that you want to focus on who in those classes was "best", let's highlight two years in particular and compare the rankings to 2021:

2011 = RSCI #24, 29, 35, 49, 65, 76
2012 = RSCI #29, 35, 49, 65, 66, 69, 76, 78
2021 = RSCI #29, 32, 43, 45

Based on individual recruiting rankings it is not at all the case that Underwood has brought in (and accumulated on individual teams) more talent than Weber did during those years. But those teams did not reach similar levels of success b/c the fit was really poor, the talent evaluation was also not as good and didn't appear to include the mental/competitive side in this eval (hence greater attrition), and players did not consistently improve year-in and year-out. Of course you need talent and of course this year's team had some top-end talent, but you also have to be able to fit those pieces together well and get them to function well within a system, and also have glue guys (Giorgi, DMW, Grandy) that make it all work. Most importantly, you need to be able to identify and differentiate between the Brian Cardwells (RSCI 49) and JCLs (38) vs. the Ayos (32) and Kofis (43). There is a reason this team had the most talent since 2005, and that is b/c the BU regime has shown it is far more capable at the above than the prior two regimes.
 
#580      
Alright I guess we're doing this. First off, you can't just rely on 247 rankings and take them as gospel. Rivals was the superior service 10 years ago and had guys like DJ and BP3 rated way more highly than 247 does, for whatever reason. Far better to use RSCI since it is a more stable consensus rating over time.

Our 2021 team had 4 guys in the RSCI top 100, all above 50. In every year from 2011-2017 we had at least 4 guys in the RSCI top 100 (many below 50, however). But given that you want to focus on who in those classes was "best", let's highlight two years in particular and compare the rankings to 2021:

2011 = RSCI #24, 29, 35, 49, 65, 76
2012 = RSCI #29, 35, 49, 65, 66, 69, 76, 78
2021 = RSCI #29, 32, 43, 45

Based on individual recruiting rankings it is not at all the case that Underwood has brought in (and accumulated on individual teams) more talent than Weber did during those years. But those teams did not reach similar levels of success b/c the fit was really poor, the talent evaluation was also not as good and didn't appear to include the mental/competitive side in this eval (hence greater attrition), and players did not consistently improve year-in and year-out. Of course you need talent and of course this year's team had some top-end talent, but you also have to be able to fit those pieces together well and get them to function well within a system, and also have glue guys (Giorgi, DMW, Grandy) that make it all work. Most importantly, you need to be able to identify and differentiate between the Brian Cardwells (RSCI 49) and JCLs (38) vs. the Ayos (32) and Kofis (43). There is a reason this team had the most talent since 2005, and that is b/c the BU regime has shown it is far more capable at the above than the prior two regimes.
Well said
 
#585      
I know you go back a ways 47. Any chance you remember that '44 team at Taylorville led by our very own Johnny Orr? Arguably the best team to ever lace em up in Illinois. Won a state championship with an unblemished record of 47-0 (I think).
My grandfather saw every game Paris played so I am certain he did as I believe the Tigers played Taylorville on the way to the 47 title. But, as my moniker hints, that was the year I was born. Paris had some great battles with Taylorville, Champaign, and Centralia back in the day but before my time. My brother was born in 43 when Paris won their first state title....and Ernie Eveland always asked my Mom and Dad... whenever he saw them...if they were planning on having any more kids!!

By the way, few, if any, here likely know, but Ernie was also the Tigers' cross country coach and coached the Tigers to the first 3 (maybe 4) state titles ever held in Illinois in that sport. A legend indeed.

Ernie left Paris a couple of years before I got to high school. However, I was coached by two coaches who came from legendary coaching trees. Rich Maack played for Virgil Fletcher at Collinsville. Our primary man offense was named "Kahok". He left after my soph. season and was replaced by Bret Brown who played for Ernie Eveland, and will always be fondly remembered for what he did for me.
 
#587      
I was just about to post the same. Looks like they bumped us up.

According to 247 our recruiting rankings with Underwood:

2017: 30 (Mark Smith, Trent Frazier both 4 stars,
2018: 25 (Ayo, Tevian Jones both 4 stars)
2019: 69 (Kofi 4 stars)
2020: 16 (Miller, Curbelo both 4 stars)
2021: 27 (Good and Melendez 4 stars, Podz 3 stars! WTF?)

I do question 247's value. I was surprised to see how many years 247 considered Bruce Weber's recruiting to be top 25, which differs from my recollection. Perhaps the difference is Underwood seems to do a great job of landing 4 star recruits who play above their rankings and are impactful (Ayo, Kofi, Curbelo, Miller).
Ayo’s class also had Giorgi and Samba Kane, no?
 
#588      
Ayo is the 2nd highest rated recruit that Illinois has had since 2003, according to 247. Adam Miller is the 4th best, Curbelo is the 8th best and Kofi is the 9th best. Recruiting class rankings don't tell the whole story. This team had the most pure talent of any Illini team since 2005 and it's not even close.

Underwood's first class had 7 kids and only 3 are going to end their careers with the Illini (Ayo, Giorgi, and Feliz). His 2nd class had Kofi, BBV, Hamlin, and Kouma.

So out of 11 kids in his first two classes, 4 are going to finish their careers with Illinois. I have no idea what the national average is, but that doesn't scream special to me.
2011 was a team that had more talent,
imo.

Jereme and Meyers were both 5 star kids in some services.

Dmac, Paul, Richardson, and Head were all 4 stars.

plus some guys that over played their rankings in Tisdale and Davis.

Bruce not being able to do more with that roster is one of the real tragedies of Illinois basketball. He was either too stubborn or incapable of change.
 
#589      

JW

Vancouver
Ayo’s class also had Giorgi and Samba Kane, no?

I think so. I just listed the 4 star recruits, and Podz for 2021. The idea being ratings, rather than potential. Not every 4 star recruit lives up to their ranking, but I would rather Underwood land 4's rather than 3's. But that's just me.
 
#592      
Alright I guess we're doing this. First off, you can't just rely on 247 rankings and take them as gospel. Rivals was the superior service 10 years ago and had guys like DJ and BP3 rated way more highly than 247 does, for whatever reason. Far better to use RSCI since it is a more stable consensus rating over time.

Our 2021 team had 4 guys in the RSCI top 100, all above 50. In every year from 2011-2017 we had at least 4 guys in the RSCI top 100 (many below 50, however). But given that you want to focus on who in those classes was "best", let's highlight two years in particular and compare the rankings to 2021:

2011 = RSCI #24, 29, 35, 49, 65, 76
2012 = RSCI #29, 35, 49, 65, 66, 69, 76, 78
2021 = RSCI #29, 32, 43, 45

Based on individual recruiting rankings it is not at all the case that Underwood has brought in (and accumulated on individual teams) more talent than Weber did during those years. But those teams did not reach similar levels of success b/c the fit was really poor, the talent evaluation was also not as good and didn't appear to include the mental/competitive side in this eval (hence greater attrition), and players did not consistently improve year-in and year-out. Of course you need talent and of course this year's team had some top-end talent, but you also have to be able to fit those pieces together well and get them to function well within a system, and also have glue guys (Giorgi, DMW, Grandy) that make it all work. Most importantly, you need to be able to identify and differentiate between the Brian Cardwells (RSCI 49) and JCLs (38) vs. the Ayos (32) and Kofis (43). There is a reason this team had the most talent since 2005, and that is b/c the BU regime has shown it is far more capable at the above than the prior two regimes.

Yep, we are doing this.

You literally replied to a post that cited 247 team recruiting rankings.

Tevian Jones, Alan Griffin, Samba Kane, Anthony Higgs, BBV, Hamlin, Kouma, Lieb. That's literally 7 players who will contribute almost 0 on the floor to Illinois basketball. And 1 who was a minor contributor for 1 year. That's A LOT of whiffs in 3 years.

Man, Underwood's talent evaluation record is just spotless.

Channel 9 Reaction GIF by LEGO Masters Australia


The difference, so far, between Underwood and Weber's recruiting is that Ayo and Kofi became Ayo and Kofi and not Richmond and Leonard 2.0, as college players. We'll see what happens from here.
 
#593      
Yep, we are doing this.

You literally replied to a post that cited 247 team recruiting rankings.

Tevian Jones, Alan Griffin, Samba Kane, Anthony Higgs, BBV, Hamlin, Kouma, Lieb. That's literally 7 players who will contribute almost 0 on the floor to Illinois basketball. And 1 who was a minor contributor for 1 year. That's A LOT of whiffs in 3 years.

Man, Underwood's talent evaluation record is just spotless.

Channel 9 Reaction GIF by LEGO Masters Australia


The difference, so far, between Underwood and Weber's recruiting is that Ayo and Kofi became Ayo and Kofi and not Richmond and Leonard 2.0, as college players. We'll see what happens from here.
No, the difference is the four stars that Brad got were guys that other major programs wanted and were rising. Where as the Stan Simpson and Crandall Heads of the time were being recruited by mid majors and plummeting in the rankings. But whatever story you’d like to tell.
 
#594      

Joel Goodson

respect my decision™
I think so. I just listed the 4 star recruits, and Podz for 2021. The idea being ratings, rather than potential. Not every 4 star recruit lives up to their ranking, but I would rather Underwood land 4's rather than 3's. But that's just me.
Obviously. Thing is, one man's 3 star is another's 4 star. And vice versa. I trust our staff's talent evaluation far more than the rating services, especially with kids outside the top 50. Covid has made evaluation even more difficult. Evaluation isn't science, it's a subjective art.
 
#595      
Yep, we are doing this.

You literally replied to a post that cited 247 team recruiting rankings.

Tevian Jones, Alan Griffin, Samba Kane, Anthony Higgs, BBV, Hamlin, Kouma, Lieb. That's literally 7 players who will contribute almost 0 on the floor to Illinois basketball. And 1 who was a minor contributor for 1 year. That's A LOT of whiffs in 3 years.

Man, Underwood's talent evaluation record is just spotless.

Channel 9 Reaction GIF by LEGO Masters Australia


The difference, so far, between Underwood and Weber's recruiting is that Ayo and Kofi became Ayo and Kofi and not Richmond and Leonard 2.0, as college players. We'll see what happens from here.
Ehh, this fails to acknowledge that some of these players were recruited last minute out of desperation.

Samba Kane, Anthony Higgs, and Kouma. All recruited at the very last second. Also I don't know how you can count Kouma when he didn't even end up on campus

Hamlin and Lieb are both projects, which are always going to be hit or miss. The verdict isn't out on Lieb yet. He's got plenty of time to show us something. Also, Alan Griffin average 9ppg off the bench his last year in Orange & Blue. Minor contribution?
 
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#596      
2011 was a team that had more talent,
imo.

Jereme and Meyers were both 5 star kids in some services.

Dmac, Paul, Richardson, and Head were all 4 stars.

plus some guys that over played their rankings in Tisdale and Davis.

Bruce not being able to do more with that roster is one of the real tragedies of Illinois basketball. He was either too stubborn or incapable of change.

We literally had 2 All-Americans this year. Both of whom started or turned 21 this season.

Basketball is a game of stars, even at the college level.
 
#599      

JW

Vancouver
Alright I guess we're doing this. First off, you can't just rely on 247 rankings and take them as gospel. Rivals was the superior service 10 years ago and had guys like DJ and BP3 rated way more highly than 247 does, for whatever reason. Far better to use RSCI since it is a more stable consensus rating over time.

Our 2021 team had 4 guys in the RSCI top 100, all above 50. In every year from 2011-2017 we had at least 4 guys in the RSCI top 100 (many below 50, however). But given that you want to focus on who in those classes was "best", let's highlight two years in particular and compare the rankings to 2021:

2011 = RSCI #24, 29, 35, 49, 65, 76
2012 = RSCI #29, 35, 49, 65, 66, 69, 76, 78
2021 = RSCI #29, 32, 43, 45

Based on individual recruiting rankings it is not at all the case that Underwood has brought in (and accumulated on individual teams) more talent than Weber did during those years. But those teams did not reach similar levels of success b/c the fit was really poor, the talent evaluation was also not as good and didn't appear to include the mental/competitive side in this eval (hence greater attrition), and players did not consistently improve year-in and year-out. Of course you need talent and of course this year's team had some top-end talent, but you also have to be able to fit those pieces together well and get them to function well within a system, and also have glue guys (Giorgi, DMW, Grandy) that make it all work. Most importantly, you need to be able to identify and differentiate between the Brian Cardwells (RSCI 49) and JCLs (38) vs. the Ayos (32) and Kofis (43). There is a reason this team had the most talent since 2005, and that is b/c the BU regime has shown it is far more capable at the above than the prior two regimes.

There were some years that Weber objectively put together very decent classes. And as much as I liked the man, and have a soft spot for him because of 2005, he made so many mistakes that he could never save himself.

For example, his class of 2005, the Fall after our amazing run, he only landed Jamar Smith and Chester Frazier and a Charles Jackson (I have no recollection of him), with a rank of 258. In 2006 he only landed Brian Carlwell (who might have been better but for the car accident with Jamar Smith) and Richard Semrau, with a rank of 54. For a team that went to the Sweet 16 in 2004, and the championship game in 2005, that type of recruiting was an enormous problem. That kind of recruiting was not going to replace losing Dee and Augustine, let alone Deron Williams or Luther Head calibre players.

And when he did start to land players like McCamey, Griffey, Richardson, Paul and Bertrand, because of the bad years previously (think 2008, Stan Simpson and nothing higher than a 3 star), the team was always disjointed and missing key parts.

Anyway, Underwood has been the answer to our prayers. He's bringing in balanced teams, good players, and his players improve every year. I can't imagine what the future holds for Curbelo. In fact I'm genuinely curious to see how Grandison does as a senior, I think he could be a hugely impactful player.
 
#600      
We literally had 2 All-Americans this year. Both of whom started or turned 21 this season.

Basketball is a game of stars, even at the college level.
I love how you use literally like it’s going out of style.

had Bruce actually played Meyers he would have literally been an all American by year two. But, coach Keady said that freshman sit.

Richmond was super talented. had he played three years he would have most likely had a great career as well.

Literally, we can all do that, the point is that team had talent that Weber refused to develop. And that’s why he’s gone now.
 
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