But are the metrics accurate, or overrating them?
The metrics are accurate in the sense that their yards per play and all that really have been very impressive relative to their schedule strength.
They embarrassed MSU just as much as OSU did. They embarrassed Colorado even more than UCLA did. The metrics pick this stuff up.
It it nonetheless true that they haven't faced a defensive challenge, especially a pass rush challenge, like us. We are 6 for 6 causing opposing QB's a nightmare, with only Bazelak at Indiana being able to stick with it and fight back at the end.
Our problem defensively is that we are thusfar in the top 5 of the nation in time of possession, which is to say we've been one of the most well rested defenses in the country. We overtaxed the D at the end against Iowa and they found a way through, with the help of an embarrassingly bad offense. We overtaxed them at the end against Indiana and they finally broke.
We are going to overtax them again on Saturday, and Minnesota has a sledgehammer in Ibrahim to punish a tired D.
Minny is justifiably the favorite. But the games aren't played on paper. I think clearly the version of the game we win is one in which our pass rush induces turnovers which make life easier for our offense, and our run game finds a way to capitalize on short fields.