Not that it counts for anything, but my thoughts: I’m actually not sweating the RayJ decision too much. If he picks us, great, because we desperately need a point guard and he’s the best available and would slot in nicely next to TJ, Coleman and our other vet transfers.
If we don’t get him, I’m confident we will land at least a BIG replacement level PG. Last year we had bags for TJ, Mayer, and Coleman. And so with Mayer gone, we presumably have a pretty good bag to throw at the PG position. The bag, plus a clear role on at a minimum top half (probably top 4) BIG team who should be a lock for the tourney and compete for a top 5 seed, is too good an opportunity for us not to land someone competent.
And the fact is, you never know how guys will perform/fit in. There’s too many high profile transfers/HS players that over or under perform expectations to be too invested in one players decision. 3 big misses that come to mind that weren’t misses at all in hindsight are Cliff (top 3 player nationally but one forgettable season at KU), Okoro (we desperately needed a center and he was in our backyard. Couldn’t crack the rotation at Oregon and has been solid but nothing special at SLU), and Tre Mitchell (the stretch 4 that would have completed the puzzle. Couldn’t get off the bench at UT and transferred again).
And as far as hits, Plummer wasn’t on most top 100 impact transfer lists but was third team BIG, leading the conference in made 3’s, no one wanted Feliz out of JuCo, and a certain unheralded transfer from Bucknell absolutely throttled us 3 times last year.
So bottom line, I would rather win games than press conferences. Of course the 2 are correlated and Ray J probably has the best odds of making an impact, but you never know until the roster come together and we see how the pieces fit. Hope we get him but we will be fine either way.