AP poll is what have you done for me lately, bracket projections are full body of work.
I agree that the AP doesn't (and shouldn't) mean much.
But I'm not sure the bracket projections are based on a full body of work either. Going by the
Massey Composite, many other ranking systems agree that Alabama (#12), Baylor (#14), and Kansas (#17) are behind us (#11). This may change as more rankings systems release their weekly updates later today.
It looks like NET hurts us (#15) and helps Alabama (#8), but definitely doesn't explain Kansas (#18) or even Baylor (#14).
It isn't just that the composite ranking is dominated by bad ranking systems. Pomeroy is mentioned frequently around here, and we're 10 (Alabama: 11, Baylor: 14, Kansas: 18).
Seems like significant bias in the projected brackets towards Kansas and some towards Baylor.