Bowl Projections

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#26      
Illini2010-11
MrBlueHandsOG said:
What are the “ceilings”? Win both: CFP or Citrus. Win one: Reliacooter Lose both: Mayo or SnoopDogg bowl
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Steve Harvey Wow GIF by NBC


I think you can delete the CFP from the "ceiling". Even winning just one of the last two games, I still think Citrus is ceiling (a lot of mediocrity in the B1G outside of the top 4).

Losing both: I think the ceiling would be Mayo Bowl followed by Music City Bowl. The B1G does not officially have tie-in with Arizona Bowl (Snoop Dog game), so I think that can be nearly completely removed from likelihood. I think Pinstripe Bowl might be the floor for this team.

But, get that 8th win, Illinois is likely in Tampa or Charlotte at worst.
 
#32      
Illini2010-11
It will be interesting to see what the committee determines of IU. In the true spotlight against a great team, they got dominated.

Still don't think a 1 loss B1G team will get left out, but if they lose to Purdue next week and Illinois wins, I have to think the Illini would jump IU in CFP rankings. The Illini still have near 0% chance of CFP berth, but it will be interesting how Citrus Bowl committee looks at selection. Are they contractually obligated to select IU over Illinois due to B1G record, or can they allow Illini to jump them (especially if Illinois is ranked higher)?
 
#36      
Navy_illini
It will be interesting with Ole Miss losing
ACC has a couple team ahead of us who will play in their Championship. We win next weekend and things go our way we will be close.
 
#46      
Illinicpa14
Navy_illini said:
Lost today
Ole Miss
Army
CU

A&M and Bama in trouble

Next week
Clemson South Carolina
UGA GT
KSU ISU

So who knows
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We’ve had a really nice year but no chance even with the chaos today. We have zero wins against current top 25 teams and looked non competitive against Oregon. As good as we played against Penn State, that’s a 2 TD loss against the other ranked team. 2 wins in OT and a win on the last play the game.

A 3 loss ole miss for example has a win over Georgia that will be much better than any win we have. A 2 loss ACC like Clemson will be in ahead of us. You’d have to count on basically a 10 team parlay of upsets.
 
#47      
LoveLovie
Now with Pat Bryant being a projected 3rd round pick in the espn draft board (before his amazing performance today), he's probably not going to opt out so he can play his way into $$ and a higher pick. That would obviously be huge if we got into the Citrus bowl with a tough opponent!
 
#49      
Illini2010-11
LoveLovie said:
Now with Pat Bryant being a projected 3rd round pick in the espn draft board (before his amazing performance today), he's probably not going to opt out so he can play his way into $$ and a higher pick. That would obviously be huge if we got into the Citrus bowl with a tough opponent!
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Unless it is a CFP game, I don't think the game will have much impact, if at all on draft stock. The combine would be much more meaningful, especially with all the opt outs expected on other side.

Of course I want him to play, but I think an opt out would be much smarter for him. Too much injury risk with much less upside. Maybe he will see things differently though.
 
#50      
LoveLovie
Illini2010-11 said:
Unless it is a CFP game, I don't think the game will have much impact, if at all on draft stock. The combine would be much more meaningful, especially with all the opt outs expected on other side.

Of course I want him to play, but I think an opt out would be much smarter for him. Too much injury risk with much less upside. Maybe he will see things differently though.
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Good point, and injury risk is a huge focus along with combine performance, but what if he has another very good performance again with his draft stock already trending up? I feel like optics are still a thing here. Nonetheless you're not wrong, and we'll see what he does. I will say if he performs against a more talented team than some of the mediocre teams we've played, I have to think that would matter more.
 
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