Pregame: Illinois at Ohio State, Tuesday, December 9th, 6:30pm CT, Peacock/YTTV

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#76      
BWA
IlliniFanTX said:
To be fair to Michigan (a sentence I hope to never write again), the league was just going by winning percentage because what else were they supposed to do... The most fair thing in my mind would've been to extrapolate their winning percentage (.824) over their three remaining games which would have given them 16.472 win and 3.528 losses (which still puts them in first place, unfortunately).

Now what I think we ALL would argue is that just 1 loss in those 3 games gives them the exact winning percentage as we had, which makes it feel very stupid to use winning percentage as the metric when there wasn't an even amount of games.
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The problem was that Michigan refused to reschedule the games. It was their choice. Everyone else made up their games.
 
#77      
Chuck Nuggets
Looking at the schedule, it is not out of the realm of possibilities Illinois could be 17-2 heading into the Purdue game January 24.

I give it about a 10% chance, but I see no games that are not winnable up to that point. 15-4 is probably the more realistic optimistic outcome.
 
#78      
EmeraldCityIllini
Chuck Nuggets said:
Looking at the schedule, it is not out of the realm of possibilities Illinois could be 17-2 heading into the Purdue game January 24.

I give it about a 10% chance, but I see no games that are not winnable up to that point. 15-4 is probably the more realistic optimistic outcome.
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Pretty locked into this 3-game stretch before Southern. This is a good OSU team at home and we're on a short turnaround from a highly emotional game.

If you can take care of business in this, home against Nebraska, and a very beatable Mizzou team - you're in a great spot. Just go win this and keep having some fun.
 
#79      
RollChief
Chuck Nuggets said:
Looking at the schedule, it is not out of the realm of possibilities Illinois could be 17-2 heading into the Purdue game January 24.

I give it about a 10% chance, but I see no games that are not winnable up to that point. 15-4 is probably the more realistic optimistic outcome.
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Very close estimate, according to KenPom! KenPom gives a percentage probability to win each game before they happen, and if you take the product of every game until Purdue, you get 9.72%.

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According to KP, our lowest chances of victory between now and Purdue are at Iowa (favored by 1 currently) and at Ohio State tomorrow, with both games predicted as wins for the O&B.
 
#81      
Emerson Bigguns
BuckFan12 said:
Fair Point haha It's a tough league so road games in the big 10 in general are hard to win. I do think the atmosphere the last two or 3 years in the Schott is night and day from what it used to be though. If you guys struggle it will have more to do with execution then the half empty arena LOL. But I agree we've played you guys fairly well historically at home. I was in the building for the Sylvester shot. Best game I've ever been to.
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How Dare You Phil Braun GIF by Eternal Family
 
#82      
skyIdub
Excited for a 20 minute interview with Columbus native and country star Dwight Yoakam discussing his marriage to Sharon Stone, and the shape of his cowboy hat during the first half.
 
#84      
Rebounding Dog
skyIdub said:
Excited for a 20 minute interview with Columbus native and country star Dwight Yoakam discussing his marriage to Sharon Stone, and the shape of his cowboy hat during the first half.
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Maybe we can get an extra 5 minutes on how he invented such a jack wagon of a character in Sling Blade! I like the dude btw… even if he is from the*uckeye state🙂
 
#85      
Chuck Nuggets
RollChief said:
Very close estimate, according to KenPom! KenPom gives a percentage probability to win each game before they happen, and if you take the product of every game until Purdue, you get 9.72%.

View attachment 45566

According to KP, our lowest chances of victory between now and Purdue are at Iowa (favored by 1 currently) and at Ohio State tomorrow, with both games predicted as wins for the O&B.
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Oh, nice. I was just spitballin'.
 
#88      
sacraig
RollChief said:
Very close estimate, according to KenPom! KenPom gives a percentage probability to win each game before they happen, and if you take the product of every game until Purdue, you get 9.72%.

View attachment 45566

According to KP, our lowest chances of victory between now and Purdue are at Iowa (favored by 1 currently) and at Ohio State tomorrow, with both games predicted as wins for the O&B.
Click to expand...
 
#89      
Loyalillini10
RabidDawgClassic said:
What’s always bugged me about 2021 was Michigan just dismissing those three missing games as “teams we would’ve beaten anyway.” But by that logic, Wisconsin needn’t have had to play their home finale the following year because they should’ve beaten Nebraska.
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I have a shirt that says, “Fighting Illini 2021 Big 10 championship.” The shirt doesn’t lie. Everyone knows who really won the B1G that year.
 
#91      
RabidDawgClassic
IlliniFanTX said:
To be fair to Michigan (a sentence I hope to never write again), the league was just going by winning percentage because what else were they supposed to do... The most fair thing in my mind would've been to extrapolate their winning percentage (.824) over their three remaining games which would have given them 16.472 win and 3.528 losses (which still puts them in first place, unfortunately).

Now what I think we ALL would argue is that just 1 loss in those 3 games gives them the exact winning percentage as we had, which makes it feel very stupid to use winning percentage as the metric when there wasn't an even amount of games.
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The biggest problem I have is the B1G strict adherence to the rules they created when, during the football season they changed the rules on the fly so that Ohio State could remain eligible for the B1G championship (and thus national championship). Normally I’d say “well, that’s the rules, it sucks but that’s what’s agreed upon,” but once the conference showed it was willing to adjust the rules to have the ends justify the means, it shouldn’t be a stretch to adjust the rules to award a shared title when one team played all of its games and the other one took three games off.
 
#92      
stevej64
Thank God it’s not an 11am game. Seems like we don’t wake up til later in the day.
 
#94      
OB positive
zentrails said:
The problem then becomes who do you play less, Boz or Keats?
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Both I know we would like to have Boswell out there 35+ minutes a game but look what happened with Frazier his last year when he played that many minutes. By the time the ncaa tournament rolled around he was beat up and not fully healthy from the overuse and damn pink-eye. He was lucky to be 60% at that time.
 
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#98      
BWA
OB positive said:
Both I know we would like to have Boswell out there 35+ minutes a game but look what happened with Frazier his last year when he played that many minutes. By the time the ncaa tournament rolled around he was beat up and not fully healthy from the overuse and damn pink-eye. He was lucky to be 60% at that time.
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Have to agree. There is at least some amount of load management needed throughout the year, especially against teams you should beat and when the schedule packs a few games together.
 
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