Illinois Hoops Recruiting Thread

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#504      
I could see Coleman playing the Andrej role of coming off the bench. Jake starts but Coleman still gets the most minutes.
I hope not. Let Jake come in and provide a heater off the bench. In big games it is tough to dig yourself out of a hole. We were able to against Iowa and Houston, but we were playing with fire, with Dre on the bench. Let Jake have his 10 to 15 minutes a game, but let's not play from behind to start the game.
 
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#505      
Right, as I said, that language you bolded is something nobody is saying. It was you who made the odd argument that, somehow, Petrovic being a big disappointment means a different Illinois team one year later doesn’t need a depth guard.

Nope. That's your strawman.
I never made that argument. I posited as to the difference between obtaining ANOTHER depth guard in the portal (like Petro) vs. what we already have in house (freshmen).

So that everyone can see how obvious your strawman is without navigating back to my post...here the post you quoted....

"For all of you hand wringing about “we need another guard” please go back and read all of the posts after Petro signing last summer.
Then make your case for doing the same thing again this summer."
 
#506      
I know everyone is excited about “the Retention” but on paper we are a worse team next year than we were this year. Lots of variables have to hit for us to maintain.

And we don’t have enough defense or athleticism yet.
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Wagler is a lotto pick. Vaaks was not. Both were/are rising sophomores. Kylan’s injury hurt his offense. But it’s a stretch to say Coleman as a freshman will be a clear upgrade.

And I expect some YoY improvement but Tomi actually declined YoY this past year. We’re banking a lot on step ups from Dre and Mirk. The YoY improvement could happen but it’s no guaranteed thing.

Ask Loyer and TKR.
 
#509      
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Wagler is a lotto pick. Vaaks was not. Both were/are rising sophomores. Kylan’s injury hurt his offense. But it’s a stretch to say Coleman as a freshman will be a clear upgrade.

And I expect some YoY improvement but Tomi actually declined YoY this past year. We’re banking a lot on step ups from Dre and Mirk. The YoY improvement could happen but it’s no guaranteed thing.

Ask Loyer and TKR.
So we should have gone to the portal instead of retaining our guys who all would’ve been top guys in the portal had they entered? 🤔🤦🏻‍♂️
 
#510      
I hope not. Let Jake come in and provide a heater off the bench. In big games it is tough to dig yourself out of a hole. We were able to against Iowa and Houston, but we were playing with fire, with Dre on the bench. Let Jake have his 10 to 15 minutes a game, but let's not play from behind to start the game.
I don’t think starting Jake was the problem….most efficient offense was with Jake on the court.
 
#511      
I hope not. Let Jake come in and provide a heater off the bench. In big games it is tough to dig yourself out of a hole. We were able to against Iowa and Houston, but we were playing with fire, with Dre on the bench. Let Jake have his 10 to 15 minutes a game, but let's not play from behind to start the game.
Tournament Andrej doesn't happen if he's handed a starting role and doesn't improve his D & rebounding.

Davis earned that starting role and I would be shocked if he doesn't continue to put in the work. I'd rather make Coleman take it from him.
 
#512      
Interesting comment and here's why.... The big question is, can all of or a majority of the returners take the leap, right? Tomi, in my opinion took a step back from his first year here last season. At the very end of the season he started to pick it up again. I thought Mirk was fantastic, will he take a leap from fantastic? I really think Big Z could be the wild card, b/c I think he could end up being one of our best players if the he's in the right system/roll. It's very possible we could be better next year with this core or we could be worse. How many of these guys will be better than last year and by how much? I love returning the core. I'm pleased we have signed good freshmen and signed Vaaks. But how does a transfer end up fitting/playing? How often are freshmen (even 5 stars) studs their first year? Only time will tell. I'm in the camp that if we have Blackwell on this team we're one of the best team's in the nation, period. But if he doesn't want to be here we don't want him. It's still possible we could be a top 3 team without him, but it all depends on how these 5 improve heading into next season. If 3 or 4 out of 5 are better than this past year, we'll be really really good! I'd still like to add a bench roll big man who can just defend. That covers us in the event of foul trouble/injury. I love those 6'10" monsters in the paint who can body up anyone, alter shots, and rebound. If they can't score, we win! ILL
Honestly I think the majority here can get behind this sentiment, and that it sums up the discourse since #theRetention wrapped up. How optimistic we are coming off a great season with great potential for the next, and an incredible returning roster that we cannot wait to see come November. But that there are also just a couple tweaks in the formula that look visible to those of us not in the practice facility. Blackwell could have made us undoubtedly favorites, but if he doesn’t want in, we don’t want him anyway. No matter what, we’re going to be a threat all season.
 
#513      
I know everyone is excited about “the Retention” but on paper we are a worse team next year than we were this year. Lots of variables have to hit for us to maintain.

And we don’t have enough defense or athleticism yet.
Explain.

What other team is bringing back roughly 70% of their overall production? If you're referencing losing Wagler to the draft or Boswell to graduation, then literally every team is worse....on paper. If you compare Vaaks stats, on paper, with Keaton.....how much is the fallout....on paper?

What does the jump from a Freshman Vaaks with no talent around him to a Sophomore jump with shooters everywhere look like?

Losing Boswell/Petrovic, but picking up Coleman/Morillo, what's the comparison?

A full summer of practice together, having everyone admitted and cleared, along with the retention......what does that do?

How good will the freshmen be come March?

I'm not going to jinx us on health.

When you take on transfers, all you're assessing is numbers. You have no clue what the fit is. What if we take on Blackwell and he doesn't move the ball around? What if his personality doesn't mesh with the retained players who are very, very close? Is he the odd man out?

You just never know.

Btw.... Michigan lost the conference player of the year. On paper, they're worse.

Edit: Mirk, Drej and Tomi would have all be top 15 transfers in the portal.
 
#515      
I know everyone is excited about “the Retention” but on paper we are a worse team next year than we were this year. Lots of variables have to hit for us to maintain.

And we don’t have enough defense or athleticism yet.
Worse than the team at the end of the season because you lost a lottery pick. But we are much better on paper than than we were on paper to start last year.
 
#516      
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Wagler is a lotto pick. Vaaks was not. Both were/are rising sophomores. Kylan’s injury hurt his offense. But it’s a stretch to say Coleman as a freshman will be a clear upgrade.

And I expect some YoY improvement but Tomi actually declined YoY this past year. We’re banking a lot on step ups from Dre and Mirk. The YoY improvement could happen but it’s no guaranteed thing.

Ask Loyer and TKR.
Every single year over a dozen guys are lotto picks and somehow college basketball still has good players every year. You'd think we'd be down to guys who just constantly dribble off their foot by now. Very strange.
 
#517      
It is interesting that the better a program does, the more angry the fan base becomes.

Since we were in a battle with Duke this offseason, I spent quite a bit of time on their boards. They’re absolutely miserable.
Of course they're miserable - have you met many Duke people?!

A former colleague got his law degree at Duke. While there, he picked up a masters in public policy just to meet other people who were not Duke law students.
 
#518      
It is interesting that the better a program does, the more angry the fan base becomes.

Since we were in a battle with Duke this offseason, I spent quite a bit of time on their boards. They’re absolutely miserable.
Big success breeds bigger expectations. We keep making sweet sixteen and elite eights for each of the next 5-7 years but no championship games, the fan base will re-calibrate failure from the groce years of being excited just to make the tournament. Until we fail consistently at a higher level, our expectations will remain lower.
 
#521      
I don’t think starting Jake was the problem….most efficient offense was with Jake on the court.
This is where I think the concerns about adding a high-usage Blackwell are legit. Sure, he'd score a lot more and make more "wow" plays than Jake, but it's not hard to imagine the offense as a unit being just one step away from firing on all cylinders consistently.

Starting tomi, mirk, andrej, jake and vaaks doesn't give me the same concerns about 'efficiency' as having blackwell in there instead of jake. But it sounds like we'll just never know.
 
#523      
So we should have gone to the portal instead of retaining our guys who all would’ve been top guys in the portal had they entered? 🤔🤦🏻‍♂️
Never said that.

In an earlier post, I described gaps we had in last year’s team:
- Perimeter defense
- Low post offense

These things allow for us to better weather cold 3 point shooting nights like what plagued us vs. UConn.

The shots that rimmed out were not some easy lay-ins. Whether that be Kylan, Andrej, or Mirk. If they were so easy why not dunk them instead of bringing the rim into question? There’s an athleticism gap here. Roddy Gayle, Burnett, and McKenney were 3 guards on Michigan that could dunk. And that’s before we even talk about the athleticism of their frontcourt with Yaxel and Morez.

Was it ideal for Keaton to go 2-10 from 3 launching 30ft’ers? Why didn’t we continue working the ball in and drawing fouls the way Michigan did? Cadeau shot the most free throws in the final.

We made the Final Four. No one is denying that achievement. We played 1 team seeded higher than 9 en route. Beating Houston in Houston extinguished a lot of the demons from the 2022 loss.

But we’ve now lost three straight times to UConn. One blowout. One comfortable win. And one that was within 2 possessions but never closer the entire second half. How much did Tarris Reed Jr hurt us with dunks and low post finishes? Have we addressed that gap?
 
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#524      
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Wagler is a lotto pick. Vaaks was not. Both were/are rising sophomores. Kylan’s injury hurt his offense. But it’s a stretch to say Coleman as a freshman will be a clear upgrade.

And I expect some YoY improvement but Tomi actually declined YoY this past year. We’re banking a lot on step ups from Dre and Mirk. The YoY improvement could happen but it’s no guaranteed thing.

Ask Loyer and TKR.
Good point. We sort of assume all our returning players will get better. But that's not always the case.
 
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