Bracketology
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Bracket matrix update (% to make / Team) based on model and simulations of remaining games:
In or nearly so
100% Wiscy
99% Purdue
93% Maryland
Good or decent shot
70% NW (it's gonna happen!)
60% Indiana
56% Minnesota
45% Michigan
43% MSU
Almost eliminated
12% tOSU
7% Illinois
Gotta win the BTT
2% Iowa
2% Penn State
1% Nebraska
0% Rutgers
In or nearly so
100% Wiscy
99% Purdue
93% Maryland
Good or decent shot
70% NW (it's gonna happen!)
60% Indiana
56% Minnesota
45% Michigan
43% MSU
Almost eliminated
12% tOSU
7% Illinois
Gotta win the BTT
2% Iowa
2% Penn State
1% Nebraska
0% Rutgers
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Illini1221
Peru,IL
Indiana won't have a chance without Blackmon and Anunoby. I'd put them behind us in tournament likelihood. (Obviously bracket matrix came up with this, but just saying)
Yeah, that 60% probably doesn't reflect the player losses. Wouldn't bet on them making it.
Will be interesting to see what happens with the B1G teams down the stretch. 4 look good as noted, and even though the league is down this season getting only 5 seems too few. I think MN should still get there even with their current losing streak. Their schedule lightens up a bit which should help. A 6th team is tough to pick, probably MSU has the best chance but their resume is not a whole lot better than ours and they already have 9 losses. Next 2 games are on the road, huge test for them.
kaptain80
- STL
NIT... Emotionally: pass, we deserve better, etc. Practically: it's good game experience for the younger guys, so I want us to make it.
Wow. It's gotten really quiet on this thread. Did I miss something? :hand:
Shouldn't the Illini be somewhere between Rutgers and Nebraska right now?
Is there another tournament below the NIT that's possible?
IlliniForTheWin
- Georgia
Ok, thanks.
IlliniForTheWin
- Georgia
I can guarantee that Indiana will not be in the CBI
The Illini's RPI are the only thing that are even giving them a shred of a chance.
Not really anymore. We're at like 70 or something now.
Our R.I.P. is 100%
That's dead on.
They're a real killer.
We are 53 now, but projected to end the season 70ish.
http://www.rpiforecast.com/stats.html
If we win out and get some help we could end up with a very similar RPI to Northwestern, and both on the bubble. How fun would that be? I think the committee gives the Cats their first tourney, and we'll get to hear how great Duke is because of it.
Illwinsagain
- Cary, IL
I thought they weren't supposed to know team names...
If somehow, we get to 9-9, win a BTT game and sweep NW, I can't see them in ahead of us. However, I don’t see us doing what I said, so tbe point is moot.
Based upon the analysis at http://barttorvik.com/conf.php?conf=B10, there are 8 teams projected to finish between 7-11 and 9-9. I think that there could be possibly as many as seven teams at 9-9 (especially since I think NW is just as likely to finish at 9-9 as the projected 11-7). This could be good for as high as fourth place in the B1G. If Illinois can get to 9-9, then the B1G tourney will decide their fate. If they finish well enough to get to 9-9, I like those odds.
I actually think this would be a quite humorous and ironic result. The fanbase wanting Groce's head despite a top 4 conference finish, lol.
I actually think this would be a quite humorous and ironic result. The fanbase wanting Groce's head despite a top 4 conference finish, lol.
OrangeAndBlues
- Indianapolis
It would be a pathetic top four finish in a very down year for the conference. Nothing to hang your hat on.
mattcoldagelli
- The Transfer Portal with Do Not Contact Tag
Not your *best* beach house though.
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