Bracketology

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#28      
If we get a 5 seed (which could happen if we win all but Purdue and make a run in the BTT), the last 4 seeds I’d wanna play are Tennessee and UCONN.

Based on their record vs their KenPom efficiency, they’re both gonna get under seeded.

Could see Creighton getting under seeded as well based on record.
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Agree on UConn. Give me Tennessee all day. They have zero offense. Their metrics are very similar to Rutgers. We play teams like that so much better.
 
#29      

lstewart53x3

Scottsdale, Arizona
Agree on UConn. Give me Tennessee all day. They have zero offense. Their metrics are very similar to Rutgers. We play teams like that so much better.
Edited my post after checking both team’s NET team sheet and they’re probably more likely to both get 2-3 seeds than 4’s.
 
#31      
At this point in the year the bracket is pretty much set except for a handful of true bubble spots. Sure a team can implode and lose a spot like Ohio State already has, but that may be one or two teams total, and the teams pushing up off the bubble to take their spot are all heavily flawed.

P5 + BigE CONFERENCES
ACC : 4 in, 1 bubble
Big10 : 8 in, 3 bubble
Big12 : 7 in, 3 bubble
BigE : 5 in, 1 bubble
PAC : 2 in, 5 bubble
SEC : 7 in, 3 bubble

64 SET TEAMS
33 power conference “locks”
26 mid-major champs
5 mid-major non-champs, but top 40 NET

4 TRUE BUBBLE TEAMS SELECTED FROM;
16 power conference bubble teams
6 mid-major top 60 NET bubble teams

This year the only teams seeded below us that would scare me would be an under-seeded Big12 team that was pushed down for bracket balance, or another mid-major disaster like the last 2 years.

The BigEast, PAC, and ACC have been garbage this year. I would happily take any of those teams this year in the 2nd round.

Watching the games the BIG12 is legit, and the SEC is cannibalizing itself much like the Big10 but I could see some random SEC player Jalen Picketing us.
 
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#32      

theNewGuy

Dallas, TX
Funny how this is from UofI.

5 seed is the best odds to make sweet 16 but then you run into a 1 seed most likely.
6 seed gives you more of a chance to make a longer run in March.

I think a 6 seed would be ideal.

I genuinely think we could beat any team in the tourney.

Does it seem like this year there just isn't an alpha team?
Everyone (except Houston) has 4+ losses and Houston plays in the American and lost to temple at home.
 
#33      
At this point in the year the bracket is pretty much set except for a handful of true bubble spots. Sure a team can implode and lose a spot like Ohio State already has, but that may be one or two teams total, and the teams pushing up off the bubble to take their spot are all heavily flawed.

P5 + BigE CONFERENCES
ACC : 4 in, 1 bubble
Big10 : 8 in, 3 bubble
Big12 : 7 in, 3 bubble
BigE : 5 in, 1 bubble
PAC : 2 in, 5 bubble
SEC : 7 in, 3 bubble

64 SET TEAMS
33 power conference “locks”
26 mid-major champs
5 mid-major non-champs, but top 40 NET

4 TRUE BUBBLE TEAMS SELECTED FROM;
16 power conference bubble teams
6 mid-major top 60 NET bubble teams

This year the only teams seeded below us that would scare me would be an under-seeded Big12 team that was pushed down for bracket balance, or another mid-major disaster like the last 2 years.

The BigEast, PAC, and ACC have been garbage this year. I would happily take any of those teams this year in the 2nd round.

Watching the games the BIG12 is legit, and the SEC is cannibalizing itself much like the Big10 but I could see some random SEC player Jalen Picketing us.

It would not shock me in the slightest if Ohio State won the Big Ten Tournament. That team is way too talented and that clean slate is probably the sort of thing they need.
 
#35      
it would shock me. Seems like they have packed up and ready for season to be over.

Big Ten Tournament = Clean Slate. So much talent offensively that they can catch a hot streak. They would be my sleeper pick.
 
#38      
Funny how this is from UofI.

5 seed is the best odds to make sweet 16 but then you run into a 1 seed most likely.
6 seed gives you more of a chance to make a longer run in March.

I think a 6 seed would be ideal.

I genuinely think we could beat any team in the tourney.

Does it seem like this year there just isn't an alpha team?
Everyone (except Houston) has 4+ losses and Houston plays in the American and lost to temple at home.
I think that in order to beat anyone in the country we’d need to shoot 40%+ as a team from three which would be an uncharacteristic game. If the stars align and shots are falling on a given night I agree.
 
#39      

theNewGuy

Dallas, TX
I think that in order to beat anyone in the country we’d need to shoot 40%+ as a team from three which would be an uncharacteristic game. If the stars align and shots are falling on a given night I agree.
I think that just getting consistent scoring will be more important. (not going more than 2 possessions in a row without points)
This team is very stout defensively that they can block and create turnovers to go on some big runs. Key is to not let the opponent do that to you.

Mayer has been hot from 3. Epps had a good game and felt a rhythm. Goode is coming along slowly. TJ showed that he can shoot 3's against texas. RJ can build on the MN game. We have the ability to shoot 40%+ but we don't need it
 
#40      
I think that just getting consistent scoring will be more important. (not going more than 2 possessions in a row without points)
This team is very stout defensively that they can block and create turnovers to go on some big runs. Key is to not let the opponent do that to you.

Mayer has been hot from 3. Epps had a good game and felt a rhythm. Goode is coming along slowly. TJ showed that he can shoot 3's against texas. RJ can build on the MN game. We have the ability to shoot 40%+ but we don't need it
Agree, but we will need in the 30's. We can't have any more games going 0-12 in a half or 5-29 in full games. If they aren't falling we have to develop a consistent way to avoid long scoreless stretches that put us out of games.
 
#43      

He stresses how the resume is propped up from the lack of a bad loss (so far, anyway). The bracket matrix runs between a best case 6 seed, and worst case 10 seed. Could be a big swing either way with the mix of teams remaining.
 
#46      
He has top 5/10 recruiting class coming in so doubt it
I mean, I guess. What's the reason for the collapse though this year? I haven't followed them at all outside the standings and boxscores. If there is a transfer exodus I don't see a recruiting class meaning much.

They've lost 13 of their last 14 games after being ranked to start the year. Can you imagine if that happened to Illinois? Being ranked and then losing 13 games in 7 weeks? This site cannot handle Mayer taking bad threes, can you imagine what it would be like here if they lost 13 games since January 1st? There would definitely be a strong contigent calling for a coaching change.
 
#47      

Zorak

Naperville
WE could still get a 4 or 5. Those pre conference wins were HUGE. Saturday was BIG. Even though we did not win, we played a top 15 team tough at home without our best closer. We just need to take care of business.
No one cares how well you play when you don't win.
 
#48      

DeonThomas

South Carolina
It would not shock me in the slightest if Ohio State won the Big Ten Tournament. That team is way too talented and that clean slate is probably the sort of thing they need.
Disagree. Believe I've now seen everyone play at least 2-3 times (except for Michigan for some reason), and OSU looks to be a "bottom 2" team in the conference to me. Their offense is terrible and their guards don't seem to get much penetration. I've got OSU and Minny as having no chance to win two consecutive games in the BTT.
 
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