Bracketology

Fighter of the Nightman said:

I thought I saw once that the Committee looks at “good” results (Q1 and Q2) and “bad” results (Q3 and Q4). So another way to look at it is Illinois is 5-4 and Duke is 4-4 in games vs. “good” opponents.

However, I’m under the impression that Q1 and Q4 results are seen as the extremes that act as tiebreakers. So Duke gets the edge. But I think some here are underrating our good Q2 record. REALLY wish we’d gotten past Maryland.

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We need Maryland to start winning games, except versus us. How hot will they have to get to turn that into a tier 2 L?

Second place is 1st loser said:

We need Maryland to start winning games, except versus us. How hot will they have to get to turn that into a tier 2 L?

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You can definitely jump up or down in the NET on a daily basis… Maryland could be in the top 80 before they play another game based on the teams around them… We want Maryland to win (and win big) but also want the teams in the 75 range to lose some too.

In a few weeks we’ll get where we stand. This article also gives historicals of how much teams gain - which is typically not a lot in the final month of jumping up seeds.

January 31st update:

NET: 12
Kenpom: 9
T-Rank: 11
BPI: 11
SOR: 16
KPI: 13

Quad 1: 3-4
Quad 2: 3-0
Quad 3: 5-1
Quad 4: 5-0

FYI…Ohio State NET 73
Maryland NET 81

^ Expanding upon this, this is where our remaining games fall as of today ... TONS of opportunities to earn a really great seed if we have truly turned a corner during last night's game:

vs. #58 Nebraska (Quad 2)
at #24 Michigan State (Quad 1)
vs. #103 Michigan (Quad 3)
at #81 Maryland (Quad 2 ... becomes Quad 1 if they get to #75)
at #127 Penn State (Quad 2)
vs. #60 Iowa (Quad 2)
vs. #94 Minnesota (Quad 3)
at #11 Wisconsin (Quad 1)
vs. #2 Purdue (Quad 1)
at #60 Iowa (Quad 1)

So anywhere from 4-5 Quad 1 opportunities remaining and anywhere from 3-4 Quad 2 opportunities remaining. Our resume will truly be made during these next 10 games. People have been talking about our lack of Quad 1 wins, but (ignoring any movements in the rankings, which are bound to happen), say we only lose at MSU and at Wisconsin, for example. Our resume before the BTT looks like this all of a sudden:

Quad 1: 5-6
Quad 2: 7-0
Quad 3: 7-1
Quad 4: 5-0

That will stack up quite nicely against the field, if you ask me...

Good read. The lowest NET never to make the tournament was Rutgers 40 NET 10-10 Q1 and Q2 last year but also made the tournament as NET 77

Also interesting point on MWC schedule tough games and play for blowouts