I really want you to be correct, but frankly, nothing except a big buyout will give me any confidence. The thought that he'd move to KSU (his alma mater and started dream job) for less money is not completely off the wall. I don't buy point 3, I don't think point 4 means it can't happen, and point 5 would mean a lot more if KSU weren't his dream job.
Like I said, I hope you're right. I doubt it'll happen. But I'll be wearing my cup next March if BW is fired until KSU had completed their search.
The first time I heard that mentioned, I got a little worried, mostly in a "well that would sure suck" kind of way. But I got over that pretty quickly and am now of a "if that happens, it happens" mindset. It's hard to compete with the allure of home for most people, and while it would suck, I wouldn't blame him if it did happen. Of course, that was before I actually realized the ties he has to the state of Illinois as well.
Regardless of any of that, you cannot make these types of hires while worrying about something that might happen in the future. Identify your man, and go out and get him no matter what. Plus I trust that JW's lawyer side got some kind of assurances and/or will structure the contract in a way that makes an early exit difficult. And even if the worst case happens, JW is quickly proving himself as very proactive and someone who won't be caught with his pants down. Far less need to worry now than in the past.
Put the cup away, we're about to be the ones delivering some of the punches and kicks