Historical standards matter.
In the 20 years leading up to the Harbaugh hire, Michigan was 176-80 with a 69% winning percentage. In Harbaugh’s first 6 years, Michigan went 49-22 which is also a 69% winning percentage. So Harbaugh’s first 6 years were pretty much in line with the historical standards of Michigan.
In the 20 years leading up to the Beliema hire, Illinois went 81-130 with a 38% winning percentage. In Beliema‘s first 3 years, Illinois has gone 18-19 which is a 48% winning percentage, 10 points higher than the 20 year average. I imagine if we looked at conference only, the improvement would be even more stark.
I feel like a great goal for the program throughout the rest of the 2020’s is a 58% winning percentage. That’s 7-5 on average with some 8-4’s and 6-6’s sprinkled in. That would be 20 points higher than our previous 20 year average and would be a great building block towards a sustainably successful program.